Kai Kupferschmidt Profile picture
Apr 25 12 tweets 6 min read
Quickly catching the special session on hepatitis of unknown aetiology at #ECCMID22 before heading back to Germany.
Aikaterini Mougkou of @ECDC_EU gives an update on cases in EU
Currently reported cases are higher than expected in Ireland and Netherlands, maybe Denmark.
@ECDC_EU Some of the limitations of the data:
- "it is unclear if there's underestimation of cases as not all countries have robust data systems and not all cases have been defined with the same criteria”
- "We do not know if there are children with subclinical presentation"
@ECDC_EU "We don't have answers yet, but we do have hypotheses and perhaps the first few pieces of the puzzle as we start to test those hypotheses”, says @meera_chand.
"I hope by sharing this today, that we will be able to accelerate investigations in other countries”
@ECDC_EU @meera_chand The 81 cases resident in England are not known to be epidemiologically linked, dispersed all over the country, says @meera_chand. Vast majority of cases are 1-6 years old. 7 cases have needed transplantation, no deaths.
@ECDC_EU @meera_chand Paediatric liver units are seeing increased activity, “but we don't see a huge change in wider NHS presentations of jaundice and hepatitis through normal clinical coded data”, says @meera_chand
Some low level fluctuations "which we're investigating in more detail at the moment”.
@ECDC_EU @meera_chand Nothing stuck out in broad questionnaires on food, drugs, medical history, epidemiological links etc.
Paracetamol clearly needed to be considered, she says, but no indication for that playing a role.
Pathogen testing:
lot of variability in timing of tests which may affect chance of capturing the pathogen
„But what you can see here is that we have a high adenovirus positivity it's present in 40 of 53 confirmed cases which have been tested so around 75%“
Presenting some interesting data on the spike in adenovirus infections particularly in GI samples in young children in recent weeks. (Of course other pathogens have seen similar patterns to some extent)
So main hypothesis:
Adenovirus infection plus some co-factor. That co-factor could be
- susceptibility (lack of prior exposure during pandemic)
- prior infection with #SARSCoV2 (maybe just Omicron) or other infection
- coinfection with #SARSCoV2 or other infection
- toxin, drug
Other hypotheses:
- novel adenovirus variant
- drug, toxin, environmental exposure
- novel pathogen alone or as co-infection
- new variant of #SARSCoV2
Q: Does the increase in adenovirus infections alone explain the increase in severe cases?
“We've had a lot of discussion about this”, says @meera_chand, worth thinking about, but "adenovirus hepatitis in immunocompetent child is a very, very uncommon phenomenon"

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More from @kakape

Apr 26
„If you’ve been paying attention to how things work in our plutocratic society, this turn of events won’t surprise you. The arsonists routinely cosplay as firefighters.“

nytimes.com/2022/04/26/opi…
„Mr. Musk operates from a flawed, if widespread, misapprehension ... In his vision, what we may, with help from the philosopher Isaiah Berlin, call negative freedom of speech, the freedom to speak without restraint by powerful authorities, is the only freedom of speech.“
„But there is also what we may call positive freedom of speech: affirmative steps to create conditions that allow all people to feel and be free to say what they think.“
Read 5 tweets
Apr 23
New @WHO update notes „169 cases of acute hepatitis of unknown origin have been reported“ from Europe and US.
17 children have required liver transplantation; at least one death has been reported.

who.int/emergencies/di… Image
„Adenovirus has been detected in at least 74 cases, and of the number of cases with information on molecular testing, 18 have been identified as F type 41. #SARSCoV2 was identified in 20 cases of those that were tested.“
19 were detected with #SARSCoV2 and adenovirus co-infection
Both UK and Netherlands have reportes increase in adenovirus circulation, but „this could represent the identification of an existing rare outcome occurring at levels not previously detected that is now being recognized due to increased testing“
Read 6 tweets
Apr 14
“The leading hypotheses centre around adenovirus—either a new variant with a distinct clinical syndrome or a routinely circulating variant that is more severely impacting younger children who are immunologically naïve"

A paper on Scotland’s hepatitis cases in children just out
Paper is called "Investigation into cases of hepatitis of unknown aetiology among young children, Scotland, 1 January 2022 to 12 April 2022” and in @Eurosurveillanc here:

eurosurveillance.org/content/10.280…
@Eurosurveillanc A comparison of the number of children presenting acutely with abnormal liver function tests in March 2022 to the Royal Hospital for Children, Glasgow with those in March 2019, 2020, 2021 "confirmed higher-than-expected numbers in 2022 among children under 5 years of age"
Read 16 tweets
Apr 13
With UK health authorities investigating an unusually high number of hepatitis cases in children (in which usual viruses HepA to HepE have been excluded), the @ECDC_EU has called on clinicians in European countries to look out for and report similar cases:
ecdc.europa.eu/en/news-events…
@ECDC_EU "Clinicians are encouraged to report cases of acute hepatitis in children up to the age of 16 years with a serum transaminase >500 IU/L, in which hepatitis A to E has been excluded, to National Public Health Institutes."
@ECDC_EU "Some of the children hospitalised in England did test positive for SARS-CoV-2 and others for adenovirus. There is currently no clear connection between the reported cases."
Read 4 tweets
Apr 13
“The good news: Last week the lowest number of #COVID19 deaths was recorded since the early days of the pandemic”, says @drtedros in @WHO presser.
“However, some countries are still witnessing serious spikes in cases which is putting pressure on hospitals."
@DrTedros @WHO “The ability to monitor trends is compromised as testing has significantly reduced”, says @DrTedros. IHR emergency committee met and #covid19 remains a PHEIC, he notes. "I agree that far from being the time to drop our guard, this is the moment to work even harder to save lives."
@DrTedros @WHO “Just as I said last year that trickle down vaccination is not an effective strategy for fighting a deadly respiratory virus, trickle down treatment and testing are similarly reckless”, says @drtedros.
Read 9 tweets
Mar 30
Today, @WHO is releasing an updated response plan for #covid19 that lays out three possible scenarios for how the pandemic could solve this year, says @DrTedros at presser.
@WHO @DrTedros “The most likely scenario is that the virus continues to evolve but the severity of disease it causes reduces over time as immunity increases due to vaccination and infection”, says @DrTedros.
Spikes from waning immunity might require periodic boosting for vulnerable populations
@WHO @DrTedros "In the best-case scenario we may see less severe variants emerge, and boosters or new formulations of vaccines wouldn't be necessary”, says @DrTedros.
"In the worst-case scenario, a more virulent and highly transmissible variant emerges."
Read 21 tweets

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