SBA Profile picture
Apr 28, 2022 16 tweets 9 min read Read on X
Come on #Elliott, only a 45 page deck?

Triple digits or bust.
I love how most of the value in $SU to be created is just by closing the multiple gap with $CNQ
#Elliott leading with an #ESG focus makes sense - no one can be seen to pull back on these initiatives... you know like $SU itself did when it delayed the Coker to CoGen project.
Pretty solid 3 step plan -

1. Management, begets
2. Ops, begets
3. better cap returns.
(4). Profit/ $SU #Elliott
I remember where I was watching this get rolled out $MPC $SU #Elliott
Why is SBA a $CNQ stan account in one chart/

$SU #Elliott
$SU's valuation is as depressed as SBA
#Elliott dropping some TRIF bombs in here $SU
Obviously $CNQ is sub optimal here - but what really stands out is $IMO - if I meet some employee in a bar and we start talking about @ImperialOil they invariably start talking about how proud of the safety culture they are - it is really impressive.
One small quibble with #Elliott here, it is kind of odd to be comparing to total $CNQ output and not just their oil sands ops...

Yes $SU's numbers include offshore too but these are very different beasts.

Does show that $CNQ is a master of any domain it enters.
Oh 30 dollar opex, the #Suncrude advantage. $SU

#Elliott
I am all for owning $SU, but the decision to shut a train down at Fort Hills is... you know the reason for the drop off - that is come important context - it wasn't like they for that much worse at mining.

But ya, not great.

#Elliott
#Elliott even firing shots at $SU's beloved refining group.

There is always room to make @johnwhi60696884 happier.
$CNQ is based AF.

Such a baller comparison.

$SU #Elliott
I know you don't want to make the bear case for a company in your turn-a-round deck #Elliott but there is no reason $SU's OS ops should get an $CNQ multiple - the RLI issue is still hanging there like a sword of damocles.

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More from @SadBillAckman

Jun 29, 2022
SBA Capital offers some thoughts on Whitecap’s acquisition of XTO Energy Canada $WCP Image
Who would have seen this outcome for deals that started in the bar at the Whistler energy conference, probably no one in the room at the time – anyhow; $WCP has a deck out and a call in about an hour – lets go! Image
Depending on how you count the value of BnD $WCP is paying ~ what $CVE did per flowing BOE for a lot less developed asset, and an asset with a lot move variability and execution risk.
Read 18 tweets
Jun 29, 2022
We are doing another #CookingWithSBA sponsored by $TPZ tonight - starting off by butterflying out a chicken breast.
Now I screwed up a bit here because I forgot to add some flower to both sides.... #CookingWithSBA
Get some asparagus in some hot fat. #CookingWithSBA
Read 10 tweets
Jun 28, 2022
Someone is making a play in the south, deep south of Alberta
7460m well!

This area is a grave yard of optimistic wild drilling Image
lance exploration has gone deep into this play Image
Read 5 tweets
Jun 28, 2022
Sorry, brb got to call Grandma.
Why was Grandma talking to Anna who I don't remember?
I forget people easily
Read 6 tweets
Jun 28, 2022
A couple thoughts from my over stimulated mind this AM on the occasion of $POU getting a 10% NCIB approved. Image
Of their last NCIB they didn’t use much and what was deployed was spend at less than half of todays share price – I like this because it shows they know themselves and aren’t doing a stupid thing like $POU is want to do.
But it raises an interesting question in my mind – $POU has always been a play thing for the plurality owners – could POU use some of it’s cash to lock in a buyback price on it’s shares?
Read 4 tweets
Jun 28, 2022
SBA Cap offers this clip to the people of @en_germany in this time of your energy crisis. #Germany #EnergyShock #Russia #MadeYourBed
Oh, more #German energy policy. Angela Merkel
Good luck @GermanyDiplo, your energy policy has fucked the world.
Read 4 tweets

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