I love how most of the value in $SU to be created is just by closing the multiple gap with $CNQ
#Elliott leading with an #ESG focus makes sense - no one can be seen to pull back on these initiatives... you know like $SU itself did when it delayed the Coker to CoGen project.
Obviously $CNQ is sub optimal here - but what really stands out is $IMO - if I meet some employee in a bar and we start talking about @ImperialOil they invariably start talking about how proud of the safety culture they are - it is really impressive.
One small quibble with #Elliott here, it is kind of odd to be comparing to total $CNQ output and not just their oil sands ops...
Yes $SU's numbers include offshore too but these are very different beasts.
Does show that $CNQ is a master of any domain it enters.
I am all for owning $SU, but the decision to shut a train down at Fort Hills is... you know the reason for the drop off - that is come important context - it wasn't like they for that much worse at mining.
I know you don't want to make the bear case for a company in your turn-a-round deck #Elliott but there is no reason $SU's OS ops should get an $CNQ multiple - the RLI issue is still hanging there like a sword of damocles.
SBA Capital offers some thoughts on Whitecap’s acquisition of XTO Energy Canada $WCP
Who would have seen this outcome for deals that started in the bar at the Whistler energy conference, probably no one in the room at the time – anyhow; $WCP has a deck out and a call in about an hour – lets go!
Depending on how you count the value of BnD $WCP is paying ~ what $CVE did per flowing BOE for a lot less developed asset, and an asset with a lot move variability and execution risk.
A couple thoughts from my over stimulated mind this AM on the occasion of $POU getting a 10% NCIB approved.
Of their last NCIB they didn’t use much and what was deployed was spend at less than half of todays share price – I like this because it shows they know themselves and aren’t doing a stupid thing like $POU is want to do.
But it raises an interesting question in my mind – $POU has always been a play thing for the plurality owners – could POU use some of it’s cash to lock in a buyback price on it’s shares?