Steve āš” Profile picture
May 1 ā€¢ 3 tweets ā€¢ 3 min read
Has the S&P500 topped? I don't think so.

Long term fib channel and EWT count shows we are not done yet. Expect the market to top at the upper boundary of the channel.

#SP500 #SPX

šŸ§µ1/
Short term rejection from the 88.6% fib and upper trendline.

78.6% fib and 4000 psychological support just below current price. Further downside, if there is any, should be held there, not withstanding wicks.

#SP500 #SPX

šŸ§µ2/
It's about a 50% climb to the top of the fib channel, line in red, ~6200; which is a little more than a 61.8% extension for wave 5.

Top target range is 5600-6200.

#SP500 #SPX

šŸ§µ3/

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More from @decodejar

Mar 21
A thread of threads. #Bitcoin #Crypto

I believe I've done the due diligence to back my consistent stance that we are in a large wave 4 correction with a wave 5 impulse yet to come.

I spend a great deal of time looking at both side of the coin.

šŸ§µ1/5 Image
I considered many bearish macro counts in detail. I wrote a thread here:



You don't see those counts around CT as much anymore. Many of the proponents of them have moved on, posted new counts.

šŸ§µ2/5
In considering the large wave 4 correction, I have also always looked at many bearish options.



Today the only bear count I still maintain is the double zig zag. I think it's the only valid option left.

šŸ§µ3/5
Read 5 tweets
Mar 14
#Bitcoin Update.

I've had a few days off and sentiment seems to be even worse now! Looking at the charts though... nothing has happened. šŸ¤·ā€ā™‚ļø

Certainly a move is coming soon...

šŸ§µ1/7
Bearish scenarios seem to be in the same ball park:

- 29k is a popular bottom call on CT
- My EWT bear count has a fib target at 28,750
- Onchain models suggest a floor of 27k

There are also some calls for capitulation to the bottom of the regression channel (good luck)!

šŸ§µ2/7
Starting at the bottom, onchain models suggest a floor price of ~27k; the same floor set by the 2020 crash; an extraordinary event.

Charts from @TheRealPlanC and @therationalroot.

I'd wager we won't see those prices without a major catalyst, and the war didn't do it.

šŸ§µ3/7
Read 7 tweets
Feb 12
#Bitcoin EWT update.

1/ Wave 4 Double Combination.

I prefer this WXY over an ABC running flat because of low volume in the would-be C wave, and it counts better as a zig-zig. I'm being technical, but it changes the options.

Is it finished?

šŸ§µšŸ‘‡
2/ Wave 4 Running Triangle.

The WXY is a three wave structure; as is an ABCDE triangle. Two more three wave swings would give us a neat triangle.

The E wave could hold 40k support or find the lower trendline. That would suck in the H&S bears nicely!

šŸ‘‡
3/ Wave 5 Impulse.

If you're in the ABC running flat camp, or you think the WXY is completed, then this is your only option.

Impulse higher, find the top of the channel and moon! I say that for comedy, but the option is real.

It's just a little too messy off the low IMO.

šŸ‘‡
Read 5 tweets

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