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Marsilio's Market Musings

May 7 • 13 tweets • 5 min read

Visual financial astrology update for $ETH & $BTC #Bitcoin #Cryptos

Showing planets in tropical zodiac signs in color with #Tableau, a unique #Datavisualization

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Saturn

Sign change in 2017 2 days from BTC top
Saturn in Aquarius (light gray) supporting cryptos

Jupiter

Jupiter sign change May 2021 2 days from ETH major top

Jupiter in Aquarius (light gray) supported cryptos
Jupiter in Pisces (purple) weaker

Into Aries (red) this coming week! Should be a + for risk but still watching asset classes to see what responds.

North Node / NN

North node in Leo (gold) crypto rally, but not entire way
In Cancer (pink), bear market
In Gemini (light blue), rally again
In Taurus (green), weaker

Astro basics masculine / feminine signs

Mars

Mars sign change into Capricorn (dark gray) at low of year (also key low on indexes)
Mars in Aquarius (light gray) helped recent rally
Mars in Pisces (purple) weaker again
In Aries should help

Sun

Sun in Aries (red) recently stronger
Sun in Taurus (green) weaker - "additional risk with eclipses in this sign" same words 23-April

Venus

Venus in Capricorn (dark gray) Nov-2021 near major top
Venus in Aquarius (light gray) helped rally
Venus in Pisces (purple) weaker again
Venus in Aries (red) tried to lift but failing so far - think she needs some help from other planets

Mercury

Mercury in Taurus (green) was weaker; will Rx back into this sign in coming weeks

More frequent changes here, not all produce turn, but some changes of character

Mercury Motion

Blue = normal direct motion
Orange = slow under 1' per day
Red = Rx apparent retrograde motion

Several turns - already slow & Rx period coming up
These tend to be more bearish in bear environments

Moon data
BTC avg 15m bar % return

2021-current

Waxing in orange
Waning in pink

The real juice of this edge shown above is Q1 weak and Q4 strong

Moon Signs 2021-current

After Virgo, then better, at least on the averages

The variability underlying the averages, 2021-current

Lastly but not least

Weekday 2022-current
1 = Monday
7 = Sunday

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More from @MarsiliosMM

Marsilio's Market Musings

@MarsiliosMM

May 8

Special astro-market data thread

For the last year+ I have been extremely open about my methodology, data, how I generate the weekly views, my technical tools, etc

This combination developed over many years is what allows me to have *consistently* correct takes on markets

A particularly unique component of my method is the emphasis on the Terms, ancient divisions of the zodiac that were largely dropped not just recently but in the Renaissance for being too weird & irrational

So here are some charts & data that may convince you of their validity

To understand the basic structure

Zodiac = 360' circle
Sign = 30' portion

Each sign given 5 "Terms" - Mercury, Venus, Mars, Jupiter, Saturn

The degrees vary, the orders vary; there is some logic but it isn't just 6' per Term per sign

Short as 2', long as 12'

Read 32 tweets

Marsilio's Market Musings

@MarsiliosMM

May 6

Normal market view:

This week indexes & cryptos rallied when JPow ruled out rate hikes more than 50 bps, but then fell hard when everyone realized a series of rate hikes are on the way

Does this really make sense? Why was the rally so strong?

Astro market view:

Indexes & cryptos rallied big into Sun cnj Uranus, planet of surprises. After this aspect passed, both indexes & cryptos fell hard. Uranus more bullish due to change of term position just a few weeks ago. Heightened volatility is common for eclipse season.

This is the funny thing -

Once you learn astro, it really does make more sense than any other explanation

But you have to learn the language & integrate it with markets

Read 4 tweets

Marsilio's Market Musings

@MarsiliosMM

May 4

Fed & JPow my way

1 - let's take a look at CME fedwatch tool

Current rate is 50 bps. The data shows a range but let's use the top #. Market is expecting move to 100 bps (50 bps hike) with 96.8% odds. This is a done deal.

2 - Next meeting shows 96.8% chance of hike to 175, which is 75 bps after today's 50 bps hike. Market already knows the Fed is ramping up!

There is already a 3% chance of a full 100 bps hike to 200. This is really what is in question today, how much chance of next 1% hike.

This is kind of funny after all those years fretting about a possible 25 bps, but that's the wall of worry

Anyway, now the astro for JPow - no time, using 12 pm

This section for astro fluent but if not read conclusion at end

Several points here:

Read 9 tweets

Marsilio's Market Musings

@MarsiliosMM

May 2

Astro

Example of data driven finastro research & conclusions

Timely topic - Eclipses, or Sun encountering Nodes of Moon

This happens 2x per year, so usually at least 2 solar and 2 lunar eclipses every six months, sometimes things line up and there are 3

Thread >

Astro theories on nodes vary quite a lot, especially in personal astro

On one hand, in Western, North Node of the Moon (NN) is usually seen as benefic

However, eclipses temporarily obscure the light of Sun & Moon and many eclipses are seen as having unfortunate potential

In my market experience, Sun (& other planets but especially Sun) often creates wild, irrational, out-of-control moves, which can be great if nailed

So now to actual market data

But many questions:

Which index?
What timespan?
What market environment?

Read 13 tweets

Marsilio's Market Musings

@MarsiliosMM

May 1

Hi

Interesting astro & markets charts ahead - unique #Datavisualization with #Tableau

$SPX 2005-current
Colors show Pluto through Terms
Note 2008 - Pluto in Term Mars (red) rallied at 1st, but then most of meltdown Pluto in red

Now 2021-22 & change into red Mars near the top

https://twitter.com/MarsiliosMM/status/1471237209856479233

Volatility idea was not hindsight as I pointed out negative historical data in Dec-2021

https://twitter.com/MarsiliosMM/status/1471237209856479233

If you are new to this account, what are the "terms"?

Very ancient divisions of the zodiac not in regular use today by 99%+ of astrologers

Yet I find the data & market reactions compelling again and again

Read 20 tweets