Thread by @Gerashchenko_en

Some thoughts from an article "Why russia Will Lose the War" by Oleksander Shcherba @olex_scherba, Chief Advisor to Naftogaz CEO, diplomat.

1. putin has been preparing for this war for years. He wanted to make conquering Ukraine his main triumph. He amassed capital, raised hatred and chauvinism in russians and built up beliefs that Ukraine is waiting to be conquered.

2. When russians saw that Ukraine didn't want to be "liberated" and would put up a fight, they became disappointed and furious. This is why Bucha massacre happened, among many others.

3. This war will be the end of russia. The main question everyone still has - how much more grief and destruction putin will cause before he dies in his bunker?

4. Ukrainian heroism became a surprise for the whole world as well. Everyone expected the country to fall and capitulate. This would cement russian zones of influence and teach the West not to play games with russia.

5. The West used to believe that anything in the 21st century can be solved by democracy. Russia hasn't arrived to 21st century yet, so doesn't share this belief. Now it is threatening with nuclear strikes.

6. Russia is living in a collective dream together with putin but it will have to wake up. It will be painful. No one knows what will happen until then. Stakes are very high for putin.

7. This war could have become a global triumph of evil, but it hasn't. Ukraine keeps getting more, and russia keeps getting less. The scales have already tipped in our favor, and revenge for our tragedy will come.

Source: zn.ua/ukr/internal/u…
Author: @olex_scherba
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