Richard Baldwin Profile picture
May 18 3 tweets 2 min read
“In these negotiations the EU was (and is) in a stronger position, because it matters far more to the UK than them

“This is power, which matters in international relations

Who knew?” #BrexitReality #BrexitShambles #Brexit

📊&🔗in🧵👇@martinwolf_
Worse economic performance
Lost trade opportunities

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More from @BaldwinRE

May 17
Icymi
Former Russian foreign minister Andrei Kozyrev:

‘I don’t buy this talk that Putin cannot back down’

Snippets in 🧵👇
on.ft.com/3JDleyx
“I don’t buy all this talk that he cannot back down. For [Joe] Biden, [Boris] Johnson, the western politicians, backing down means you will lose public opinion.”

Putin does not have this worry.
“Russian population will suffer but it’s a necessary evil, he says. “Unfortunately to wake them up you have to create a situation” where the empty refrigerator pierces the propaganda being shown on TV, he says.”
Read 4 tweets
Mar 19
Rundown & analysis by @ChrisGiles_ Charts in 🧵👇

on.ft.com/3ijv7VV
Energy price shocks
Fiscal stimulus would buffer the downside
Read 4 tweets
Nov 20, 2021
Charts in 🧵👇

@ChrisGiles_
Inflation: is now the time to get worried? on.ft.com/3FtURsf
Scales are different but trends are the same #inflation
Forecasted inflation is up

BUT, US near 4% while Eurozone barely over 2%

Don’t confound US-specific & with global issues
Read 6 tweets
Nov 19, 2021
The Brexit stand-off: Boris Johnson’s Christmas truce ft.com/content/4678cf… @FT #Brexit Image
“UK government insiders said the meeting marked a significant shift in approach” Image
“Tory MPs:”If Brexit is the issue at the next election, we will be seen as being incompetent for not having dealt with it,” says one”

“Johnson and Frost signed the protocol in 2019 but have been trying to disown parts of it ever since” Image
Read 6 tweets
Feb 3, 2021
_
IMHO we should not use PPP-adjusted figures to compare size of national GDPs

For size what matters is int’l purchasing power of nations - not the domestic purchasing power

PPP is good for per capita GDP as a welfare measure (utility=consumption) on.ft.com/36D3aD7
_
That’s better @martinwolf_
_
Maybe we should develop a price index for military spending to compare national potentials for military power?

Does it already exist???
Read 6 tweets
Oct 4, 2020
_
Gary Gereffi (Dr. GVC): Case study of GVCs resilience, and C19
|
"On balance, the U.S. shortage of N95 respirators during the COVID-19 pandemic is more a policy failure than a
market failure"
|
More snippets and reference 👉
_
The COVID-19 pandemic has caused a dramatic shortage in the medical supplies due to a massive surge in demand as the disease circled the globe during the first half of 2020
|
Prior to the crisis, there was an interdependence of trade and production for medical supplies,
_
with adv'd countries like the US & Germany specializing in
high-tech medical devices sector, while low-cost production hubs such as China and Malaysia were leading producers of less technologically sophisticated personal protective equipment (PPE) products such as face masks
|
Read 5 tweets

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