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May 18, 2022 β€’ 8 tweets β€’ 5 min read β€’ Read on X
Didn't have time to watch the full episode of The Daily Briefing with @leadlagreport & @AshBennington?

Here's a 🧡 to get you caught up.

1/8 "Believe me when I say this, the #stockmarket will break #inflation faster than the #Fed."
2/8 The Fed & policy rate normalization πŸ‘‡

"...No amount of intelligence increases the clarity of one's crystal ball..."
3/8 @leadlagreport on crashes πŸ‘‡

"When you have so much leverage, the risk is not that the Fed is late to hiking rates. The risk is that the market crashes and they have to then re-lever it up again."
4/8 "Overconfidence leads to leverage. Leverage leads to crashes."
5/8 "The narrative that housing has to stay elevated because of this housing shortage is complete and utter nonsense."
6/8 "...The best thing to do is go through pain... You're talking about decades of a mismanaged economy that was never really full of capitalists, that decided that debt didn't matter..."
7/8 @leadlagreport on #crypto πŸ‘‡ #Terra_Luna

"...People suddenly realizing that #stablecoin is a great marketing term, but there's nothing stable about it."

"I don't think a lot of the #BTC maxis have really thought through the implications of words..."
8/8 Final thoughts...

"Betting on the end of the world is a very hard trade, because it only happens once."

β€’ β€’ β€’

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More from @RealVision

May 9
🧡 Markets Are About to Explode β€” And Almost Everyone Is Positioned Wrong

The #MacroInvestingTool data is clear.

The dollar just triggered a macro slingshot that historically launches stocks and crypto into the stratosphere.

{thread} πŸ‘‡Image
πŸ“Œ Bookmark this β€” it could define the next 12 months and become your cheat code for Q2 positioning.

If you’re still bracing for recession, you’re looking in the rearview mirror.

Forward indicators say: risk-on.

Let’s break it down…
The $DXY just did something it rarely does:

πŸ”» Dropped >3 standard deviations in 2 weeks.

This move only happened 4 other times in 12 years.

Each time? Stocks and crypto soared. Image
Read 12 tweets
Jan 7, 2024
A New Multipolar World Order 🌐

Felix Zulauf joined @RaoulGMI for a deep dive on macro, geopolitics, and where the world is heading this year.

Please enjoy five takeaways:

1/ It's GAME OVER for the US πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ
2/ Germany's Economic Decline: "Germany is not competitive anymore" πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ
πŸ‘‡ Subscribe to @RaoulGMI's channel and get a weekly dose of alpha so you don't f*ck this up!
Read 7 tweets
Nov 7, 2023
Store of value = an asset with the ability to rise when cash falls.

A lot of people have this misconception that a store of value should hold it's price, but as @agurevich23 says, "your store of value should climb when money expands and cash becomes less valuable."

A πŸ§΅πŸ‘‡ (1/9)
2/9: The real power to shape the economy lies hidden in plain sight: banking regulations.

"The most unambiguous way to affect monetary policy is to tighten or loosen banking regulations."

It's a lever more potent than interest rates or balance sheet adjustments.
3/9: When interest rates rise, it's not the indebted who are the economy's bellwether, but the cash-rich.

"It's the strong players...that will drive the economy down" by choosing to contract their balance sheets.

A surprising twist in the tale of fiscal fitness.
Read 9 tweets
Sep 23, 2023
We've wrapped up our Crash or Boom series...

Let's recap what the last 2 weeks have taught us.

A πŸ§΅πŸ‘‡ (1/13)
2/13: Part 1: Crash or Boom?

We've started off with @RaoulGMI laying out his thesis on the Crash or Boom narrative and how he's positioning for it.

*Spoiler: he's "real bloody bullish."

πŸ‘‰ rvtv.io/46k98Fe
3/13: Part 2: The #Recession Plot Thickens

In part 2 @AndreasSteno welcomed @MikaelSarwe to discuss his thesis on the recession narrative.

πŸ‘‰ rvtv.io/3LkXamB
Read 14 tweets
Sep 21, 2023
A Boom is coming for emerging markets (EMs) and #uranium...

That's according to @hkuppy & @gave_vincent of @Gavekal, two of the foremost minds in macro and commodity space.

Let's analyze why they think that.

A πŸ§΅πŸ‘‡ (1/8) Image
2/ So we mentioned a boom in #uranium...

Now why is that?

Well according to Kuppy; "the supply number isn't there."
3/ Now, Vincent is also a fan of uranium, but he has something more to say about #energy as an asset class in general.

*Spoiler: he thinks it's a new anti-fragile asset class...
Read 9 tweets
May 1, 2023
How to spot market opportunities...

The current market environment is one of the toughest we've ever seen, but that doesn’t mean it’s impossible.

Every day, new opportunities emerge...

πŸ§΅πŸ‘‡(1/9)
2/9: Winning at investing takes constant work and evolution...

That's why we launched The Game of Investing, a bi-weekly newsletter delivering real lessons from experts to help you level up.

If you're serious about your investing, sign up hereπŸ‘‡
rvtv.io/3k8x3Vo
3/9: In Issue 1 of The Game, macro expert @elementmacro walks us through why developing a repeatable process that suits our own unique personality, goals, and time horizon is so important to surviving today’s markets.

β€œ90% of investing is managing your emotions,” Mike says.
Read 9 tweets

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