A requiem for Jason Kenney: He rose to power as Stephen Harper’s most capable lieutenant, but once he sat in the big chair it quickly became apparent that his political smarts lay in tactics, not strategy #ableg
2. We saw this most prominently in his handling of Covid, but his ‘fight back’ strategy attacking environmentalists as the source of Alberta’s woes also floundered as the lavishly-funded War Room & Allan Inquiry served up only political punchlines (I certainly had a few laughs)
3. Kenney’s ‘Jobs, Economy, Pipelines’ mantra played well on campaign trail but like King Canute ordering the tide to go out, his majestic words were no match for what the energy transition he so despised is doing to Albertan economy or what climate change is doing to its people
4. The energy transition (necessary to avoid climate chaos) brings economic & political disruption. Alberta, once a bastion of stability with 3 changes of government & 12 Premiers in its first century, will soon have its 7th Premier since 2011 (only Notley survived a full term)
5. The question on my mind: What will the loss of Canada’s most prominent and most effective proponent of petro-nationalism as means of blocking action on climate change mean for our politics? #cdnpoli
6. Kenney's history on the anti-climate file is surprisingly deep. It is no accident that Ezra Levant’s pre-Rebel organization “Ethical Oil” was staffed by Kenney political staffers (Alykhan Velshi & Jamie Ellerton). At national & provl levels, Kenney mainstreamed Levant’s work
7. Kenney recruited Doug Ford, and by extension Ontario, into the “resistance” against the carbon tax & climate action in general, redefining Conservative politics on this issue (in a way that is not likely in their long-term electoral benefit) macleans.ca/politics/ottaw…
8. Kenney’s hawkishness in opposing any measures to address climate crisis allowed the major oil companies to seem reasonable in comparison (oil cos now publicly support climate action in principle, while opposing any specific actions that would reduce demand for oil).
9. Kenney will be replaced as Premier of Alberta but none of the heir-apparents will have his national profile or be able to play his erstwhile role as federal / CPC kingmaker.
It's a new day in Canadian climate politics /fin

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More from @climatekeith

Apr 7
So I'm a wee bit into the whiskey (courtesy of Bay du Nord decision) and rereading the Minister's letter to Suncor rejecting (for now) its 225K bpd oil sands expansion project that also came out today: iaac-aeic.gc.ca/050/documents/…
2. The key thing here is the process launched today to establish 'best in class' emissions levels newswire.ca/news-releases/…
@ProfKHarrison @bataille_chris @ghoberg @molszyns @enviroeconomics
3. Part of rationale for approving Bay du Nord is its promised 8 kg/barrel GHGs (I disagree with the rationale, but that'll be another thread).
According to ECCC, average oil sands emissions are 80 kg/barrel. Suncor claims its Fort Hills (newest/best) project is 40 kg/barrel
Read 5 tweets
Apr 4
Thread: As we digest the #IPCC report, let’s recall how Working Groups divide up the analysis (and why WG 3 is so important):
WG1: basic climate science (why are we fucked?)
WG2: impacts (how fucked are we?)
WG3: mitigation (how do we unfuck ourselves?)
h/t @GreenSolitaire
@GreenSolitaire Five things that I saw as new/different in the 2022 WG 3 report:
1. Tech (good news)
2. Social science (not just an engineering problem)
3. Inequality (within, not just between, nations)
4. Fossil fuels (out of the closet)
5. Finance (it matters / is taking us in wrong direction)
Tech good news: Cost of wind & solar power + batteries has dropped below fossil fuel, making electrification not only necessary (from climate perspective) but cheaper than sticking with fossil fuels. Bad news: lower costs doesn’t fix everything Image
Read 12 tweets
Dec 7, 2021
I am currently dangling from a tripod, blocking the entrance to @rbc, the 5th largest fossil fuel funder in the world because decades of politely asking banks to stop fueling climate change hasn’t worked.
Yes I am too old for this shit.
We’re disrupting bank business-as-usual because BAU is killing us. Canada’s big 5 banks have put over $800 billion into fossil fuels since the Paris Agreement was signed. RBC has put $390M into the Coastal Gaslink pipeline #fossilbanks
Read 10 tweets
Oct 28, 2021
Canadian oil companies and their industry lobby groups were also deeply embedded in campaigns of climate denial and delay
Some of the earliest research was done by @exxonmobil and its Canadian arm @ImperialOil, whose scientists had found a clear and credible link between oil and gas combustion and global warming by the 1970s, but the companies went on to deny the problem thetyee.ca/News/2019/12/1…
A 1980 report from Imperial concluded that “there is no doubt that increases in fossil fuel usage and decreases of forest cover are aggravating the potential problem.” desmog.com/2016/04/26/the…
Read 16 tweets
Sep 7, 2021
Dear @TomOlsenXIX: Why isn’t @CDNEnergyCentre registered as a Third Party for #elxn44? elections.ca/WPAPPS/WPR/EN/…
The #ableg War Room is clearly promoting positions clearly identified with a #cdnpoli political party, so seems like they should register elections.ca/content.aspx?s… 1/n
@TomOlsenXIX @CDNEnergyCentre 2. For example, we know that the War Room is paying Hamish Marshall’s company ($6K/month?) to help promote its petitions calgary.ctvnews.ca/alberta-s-priv…
@TomOlsenXIX @CDNEnergyCentre 3. The currently-highlighted petition is “Stop the Just Transition.” Just Transition is a key election platform commitment for the federal Liberal, NDP and Green parties (but not CPC) supportcanadianenergy.ca/stop_the_just_…
Read 10 tweets
Aug 17, 2021
1. CTV has a story on how the #ableg Privacy Commissioner is investigating the War Room’s hiring of Hamish Marshall’s PR/lobbying firm calgary.ctvnews.ca/alberta-s-priv… #cdnpoli
2. It all started with the War Room’s Netflix/Bigfoot petition alerting me to fact that @CDNEnergyCentre was running petitions. Why, I wondered, was a publicly-funded comms outfit gathering names & postal codes like a political party?
3. The War Room is funded thru tax revenues but was set up as a separate corporation with 3 UCP Cabinet ministers on board of directors to TRY to shield it from Freedom of Information requests (more on that later).
Read 13 tweets

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