1/ To be blunt, I don't want to hear about how you didn't find the leaders likeable, or the campaigns inspiring. I don't want to hear about the flaws in platforms, or how the polls look. There are so many people in this province counting on us to defeat the Ford PCs this #onpoli:
2/ Vote for the most vulnerable Ontarians with disabilities who are trapped in poverty, some of whom are seeking medically-assisted suicide (MAID) because of #ODSPoverty. #VoteForTheDisabled #VoteToEndODSPoverty

Vote to improve autism supports.
#VoteForTheAutismCommunity
3/ Vote for our doctors and nurses, the people you called heroes this pandemic and who are pleading with us to vote the PCs out of power and elect a government that will actually invest adequately in healthcare again. #VoteForNurses #VoteForDoctors
4/ Vote for the teachers and other education staff, who went above and beyond to make virtual learning work during the pandemic and who want a government that will listen to them to make class sizes smaller so they can deliver better education to our children. #VoteForTeachers
5/ Vote for working class Ontarians, who are getting crushed by inflation and who deserve a $20/hour minimum wage, 10 paid sick days, and many other worker protections. Everyone deserves to be able to afford the Basic necessities and have sick leave. #VoteForTheWorkingClass
6/ Vote for all the seniors who languish in for-proft Long Term Care, many of whom died preventable deaths this pandemic due to neglect. Vote for their surviving families who were denied the ability to sue for-profit #LTC homes by the Ford government. #VoteForLTCJustice
7/ Somehow progressives have forgotten how much is at stake. We have lost track of all the people counting on us to get the incompetent and corrupt Ford government out. Remember what is at stake. Remember the people counting on us to elect something better. GO VOTE. #onpoli

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More from @Historian_Matt

May 26
I get nervous whenever I see Russia make gains in Ukraine. But tides of war can dramatically change. In 1942 Germany seemed unstoppable and likely to break the USSR. But motivated resistance and massive Western support made the difference. It'll make a difference in Ukraine too. ImageImageImageImage
2/ Like Hitler's attack on Europe, Putin's seems doomed to fail in the long term. Sanctions will only continue to increase against Russia, while US lend-lease is only just beginning, and Ukraine is training its massive reserve army. Russian morale and troop resolve is weak.
3/ The weak link is the "strategic patience" approach of France, Germany and Italy, and the appeasement movement in the West. If adequate supplies do not get to Ukraine in time, and Western resolve wanes, Russia could hold onto territorial gains & prepare for its next offensive.
Read 6 tweets
May 26
1/ Normally PCs have the firmest vote commitment. Surprisingly, according to Leger's latest the NDP have the highest percentage of committed voters now. Less than half of Liberals and Greens are committed. Moreover, NDP is the 2nd choice for most voters (69% of Libs!). #onpoli ImageImage
2/ Only 1.5% of voters are both NDP-leaning and open to voting Liberal. OLP should focus the last week on winning the 4.92% of voters currently PC-leaning but open to voting for them. NDP should focus on winning over 2nd choice voters in their strongest 53 ridings.
3/ Polls paint a pretty gloomy picture, but they cannot account for turnout. Also nearly 10% of voters remain undecided. If the PCs fall below 36%, the OLP and NDP focus resources on their best ridings, and have better get-out-the-vote campaigns, the PCs will lose their majority.
Read 5 tweets
Feb 6
Liberals love to dunk on Poilievre, but too many arrogantly dismiss the very real possibility that this man could not only win the CPC leadership race but the next federal election too. That same kind of smug, dismissive arrogance is what delivered Trump & Ford to power. #cdnpoli
2/ Too many people on the ideological left & centre dismiss populists at their own peril. I thoroughly detest Poilievre and the ideology he stands for. But I also recognize his political shrewdness. I fear him a lot more than other likely CPC leader contenders for a few reasons.
3/ Poilievre, to the extent that he is ideological, is an old school conservative. But like the Jordan Peterson/Ben Shapiro types he is still able to tap into the rage and anti-intellectualism rising especially amongst male voters as a backlash against dramatic social changes.
Read 8 tweets
Feb 4
During the last election I encountered numerous essential workers in grocery and retail stores aged 16-17 who wanted to vote but couldn't. This is absurd. If we deem people responsible enough to work, drive, pay taxes, join political parties, etc. they should be allowed to vote.
I'm reminded of last fall when a contractor (age ~55) told me he accidentally voted PPC in the federal election because the candidate was a former provincial PC candidate and he confused PPC with PC/CPC. Point being; age does not determine political literacy or sound judgement.
We also know that the earlier people start to vote the more likely they are to become repeat/consistent voters. Lowering vote age would make it easier for first time voters. Many young people currently don't vote in their first election since they are away at college/university.
Read 5 tweets
Sep 22, 2021
1/ Funny how some people fearmonger about Proportional Representation giving the PPC a few seats. Do they forget its predacessor, the right-populist Reform Party, became *offical opposition* under FPTP, then they hijacked the PCs through a merger to form CPC, then formed gov?
FPTP is arguably a much worse system to give rise to the Far Right. Their voters aren't stupid. If they can't earn any representation with their own party they'll hijack the mainstream right-wing one. This is exactly what happened with Reform-to-CPC, and in US to Repubs w/ Trump.
3/ Clinging to a centuries-old, undemocratic electoral system that ensures most votes elect nobody, makes some votes worth more than others, and gives more seats to regional parties than national ones, is ridiculous. Especially when its just to disenfranchise political opponents.
Read 10 tweets
Sep 22, 2021
Ridings still in play for NDP
Vancouver Granville: 6,264 vote kits returned; 230 votes short

Davenport: 3,274 kits; 374 short

Windsor-Tecumseh: 2,245 kits; 501 short

Hamilton Mountain: 2,482 kits; 684 short

Parkdale-HP: 6,640 kits; 1,849 short

Spadina-FY: 5,069; 1,320 short
2/
Berthier-Maskinogé: 1,044 vote kits; 904 votes short

Northwest Territories: 1,281 kits, 829 short

Halifax: 3,348 kits, 1,299 short
My personal guess is they take Vancouver Granville, Davenport, Hamilton Mountain and Windsor-Tecumseh but fall short on the other 5.

Parkdale-HP a long shot, but maybe...

Most of the mail-in ballots in Spadina-FY likely returned before the Liberal candidate was kicked out.
Read 4 tweets

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