An important characteristic demonstrated by @ZelenskyyUa is his willingness to take personal risk to visit soldiers in the field, and get his own sense of how military operations are unfolding. 1/7 🧵 #Ukraine #leadership
2/ These visits serve multiple ends. First, it allows @ZelenskyyUa to get a feel for the morale and capability of his military in the field. You can read reports all day, but there is no substitute for walking the ground with leaders at the tip of the spear.
3/ A second purpose is that it allows him to ask questions. This is an important function of a national political leader in their interaction with military commanders. It is explored by @EliotACohen in “Supreme Command”, and is an important aspect of healthy civ-mil relations.
4/ A third reason for the field visits by @ZelenskyyUa is to engage with the most junior soldiers in the field, to inspire them and to reiterate the purpose of their sacrifices. Purpose is the most important thing a leader can provide. #leadership
5/ A fourth reason is for @ZelenskyyUa to demonstrate that he has total trust in his Army. That he shows he remains comfortable in placing his life in the hands of his military is an important and strategic trust-building exercise between politicians and military leaders. #trust
6/ Fifth, this is an important way that @ZelenskyyUa differentiates himself from his adversary. I am pretty sure that Putin will not be accepting invitations to visit the poorly fed and led - but well armed - Russian troops in #Ukraine at any point in the near future.
7/ Finally, it draws the attention of audiences external to #Ukraine as part of their global influence campaign. This is smart. In demonstrating that he is not a ‘bunker leader’, @ZelenskyyUa shows us all that he is the leader of a nation worth supporting in the long term. End.

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More from @WarintheFuture

Jun 7
We are now past the 100 day mark since Russian began its invasion of #Ukraine. Today, an examination why strategic patience is needed in our support for Ukraine to defeat the Russian invasion. 1/24 Image
2/ Populations in democracies can be fickle. Opinions change often and attention spans can be short. But this is part of the to and fro, and open expression of views, that is so essential in democratic systems.
3/ One quality that is sometimes observed as lacking in democratic societies is patience. We have become used to rapid Amazon deliveries, 24/7 news cycles, and shorter, faster versions of old sports. This is hardly a new phenomenon.
Read 24 tweets
Jun 4
We have passed the 100-day mark since the Russian invasion of #Ukraine. Today, a review of the key strategic lessons so far. This isn’t a full list, just seven key observations. There will be many more as we continue to watch & learn from this war. 1/25 (Pic: @IAPonomarenko)
2/ In 100 days, Russian advances on Kyiv & Kharkiv have been thrown back by courageous battlefield tactics & strategic leadership from the Ukrainians. At the same time, the invading Russians have secured large parts of southern and eastern Ukraine. (Pic: @War_Mapper)
3/ From the Ukrainians, we have seen national unity, resilience, national mobilisation, good strategy, excellent global influence activities and superb leadership from their President.
Read 25 tweets
May 31
It is 96 days since Russia invaded #Ukraine. Today, an exploration of why this war may end up lasting longer that we expect, or hope. 1/25
2/ Over the weekend, reports emerged that the Ukrainian Army had launched an offensive in southern Ukraine. The scale, duration and impact of this counteroffensive remains, at this point, unknown. It is possible that this is an effort to draw off Russian from the Donbas. Map courtesty of @War_Mapper
3/ In the lead up to these Ukrainian attacks in the south, the Russians gained ground in their concentrated efforts in the Donbas.
Read 25 tweets
May 30
In the 95 days since Russia invaded #Ukraine, I have explored adaptation and how military institutions learn during war. Today I examine what the last couple of weeks in the Donbas tells us about how the Russians are learning in the ongoing #adaptation battle. 1/25
2/ Sir Michael Howard wrote in “The Uses and Abuses of Military History” that military institutions normally get the next war wrong, mostly for reasons beyond their control. As such, an important virtue for military organizations must be adaptability to unexpected events.
3/ In March I explored the concept of adaptation in war, as well as how Russian transformation efforts since 2008 appear to have paid minimal dividends for them at the tactical & strategic levels. abc.net.au/news/2022-03-1…
Read 25 tweets
May 28
In the last 93 days, we have seen a constantly shifting operational environment, with both Ukrainian & Russian militaries experiencing tactical success and failures. This is very much the norm in warfare. Today, I explore the shifting tides of war in #Ukraine. 1/25 Ukrainian soldier in front line trenches in the Donbas
2/ This week, the Russian military has made steady progress in the conduct of its eastern offensive in the Donbas. While it has made little progress around Izyum, one of the key Russian axes of advance, progress elsewhere has been more apparent.
3/ Around, Popasna, the Russians have consolidated their hold of the town and have pushed west and north to the main highway that runs further east to Severodonetsk. Russian vehicle in Popasna
Read 25 tweets
May 23
While the Russian Army’s offensive in the east continues, it is likely in the short term that they will reach the limit of their offensive capability. As such, today I explore what transitioning to a defensive strategy might mean for the Russians in Ukraine. 1/25
2/ The Russian Army has been attempting to re-boot its efforts in Ukraine. It fired senior commanders accused of failure, reorganised combat units, begun digging in defensive positions north of Kharkiv & conducted additional strategic missile strikes across Ukraine.
3/ The focus of Russian forces at present is eastern Ukraine, and in particular, securing the Donbas region. Compared to the grand aspirations of Putin in the war’s early days, this is a relatively modest target.
Read 25 tweets

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