NEW report: Many gov's and companies present fossil gas as a "bridging fuel" on the way to a renewables based electricity sector.
We've tested this claim: to limit #globalwarming to 1.5°C, fossil gas must exit the global power system by 2040, very soon after #coal.
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Globally, fossil gas electricity generation should start declining immediately, falling to just 15% of total electricity generation by 2030 & 10% by 2035.
Rich countries must move first.
Developing countries will need support to shift to renewable energy systems at pace. 2/6
The report phase-out dates are averages at the regional level. Meaning, it can be earlier if a country already has little or no gas in the electricity system. For those countries highly reliant on fossil gas power generation, the phase-out has to be a little later.
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Fossil gas is phased out at most 5-10 years after coal in both developed and developing economies.
Given the dramatic plummet in the cost of renewable energy, investing in new fossil gas power generation carries the risk of creating stranded assets.
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The findings are based on 1.5°C emissions pathways assessed by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change #IPCC, which are designed to show the most cost-effective way to limit warming to 1.5°C.
As #Australia reels from unprecedented bushfires, the disconnect between its vulnerability to #climate change and the inadequacy of its government's response is coming under international scrutiny.
We have produced a mountain of research on this -
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1/ #Australia is on fire due in large part to #climate change yet the government is looking for ways to weaken the Paris Agreement by using 40 y. o. Kyoto protocol credits to meet its 2030 targets. We show there's no legal basis for this bit.ly/Aus_KPCO@TheAusInstitute
2/ Our calculations show just how bad using Kyoto carryover units to meet #ParisAgreement commitments would be for #climate action: an extra 0.1˚C of warming that wld not otherwise hv occurred due to delays in energy & economic system transformation bit.ly/Art6_KPCO