W. S. Khan Profile picture
Jun 24 9 tweets 3 min read
Scoop: Pak nabs Mumbai "Mastermind"

Here's what you need to know:

- Sajid Mir is an alleged Lashkar-e-Taiba (LeT) operator
- Had $5 million reward on his head
- Was convicted in a Chicago court in 2011
- Pak claimed he was untraceable or dead for years

asia.nikkei.com/content/c82786…
What's the impact of #SajidMir arrest?

- India & others voted against Pak at last year's FATF plenary for inaction
- Now, his arrest has led Pak being eased off by FATF (depending on "on site" visit over summer)
- Arrest a part of Pak's drive to normalize ties with US & India
How was the arrest made?

#SajidMir's voice signature was gained through monitoring and analysis of the Pakistani communications system.

This was shared with Pakistan by an FATF member-state.

Pakistan was handed the actionable intelligence and compelled to take action.
What has happened since the arrest?

A reset of relations is under way.

Once the Pakistanis had taken the required action in April, Pakistan's chief of intelligence, Lt. Gen. Nadeem Anjum, the Director General of the #ISI, was invited to Washington to resume normalization.
Following Lt. Gen. Anjum’s visit, Foreign Minister @BBhuttoZardari also visited the US and met @SecBlinken last month, as talks of a reset began. While the FATF announced its eased restrictions for Pak last week, Bhutto-Zardari hinted at resumption of normalization with India.
Talks on counter-terrorism cooperation with Islamabad have also been underway in Washington for months, along with the resumption of normal military-to-military contacts.

These are premised on Pak helping US enhance its visibility in Afghanistan (US talking to others, too).
Last week, a large delegation of Pakistani military officials visited Washington & New York for interactions with the @DeptofDefense & other US administration officials.

Currently, around three dozen Pak military officers are in US military colleges, undergoing training.
However, Pakistan’s economy is in a downward spiral, and the country seeks American investment, and support in getting loans from the IMF, barring which a default is likely, according to experts.

The idea is to grow the relationship "beyond security."
As it seeks regional trade and normalization, Pakistan also has a back-channel of diplomacy ongoing with India, under the aegis of India's National Security Advisor Ajit Doval and Pakistan's Chief of Army Staff, General Qamar Javed Bajwa.

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More from @WajSKhan

Oct 12, 2021
This #DGISI business needs a book, and a prayer, but here are my two cents.

The ISI, when seen from a strictly military perspective, is possibly the largest and most powerful formation in Pakistan.
It has a three-star Lieutenant General running at least six (6) two-star Major Generals and their wings.

Traditionally, PakMil Lieutenant Generals, when they get to command positions, lead a Corps (yes, they get to be a part of the famous/infamous "Corps Commanders Conference").
However, most Corp Commanders have, on average, two to three Major Generals, each with a Division, reporting to them.

Sure, some corps / formations are larger than others (e.g. Kashmir-centric X Corps is huge when compared to the smaller Quetta-based Southern Command).
Read 17 tweets
Aug 6, 2021
As news of the Taliban’s first military takeover of a provincial capital after 20 years of fighting is breaking, here’s a thread [I hope to evolve] about what Washington is thinking about Afghanistan.
There are two schools in Washington for Afghanistan: the first thinks that the Taliban are doing whatever they’re doing to gain leverage in the peace process; that if Ashraf Ghani relents, then the talks will lead to a some kind of power sharing agreement.
This school believes that the Taliban are more savvy than they seem; that they will not gun for a total military takeover & risk pariah status; that current military gains are actually brinksmanship & that Ghani must relent. This school thinks that, ultimately, talking will work.
Read 8 tweets
Jul 26, 2021
THREAD: Is China heading towards CT/COIN in Afghanistan?

Early July, FM Wang Yi [before attack on Chinese engineers in Pak] said Beijing wants to:
"effectively contain spillover of Afghanistan's security risks, and ensure overall stability in the region."
fmprc.gov.cn/mfa_eng/zxxx_6…
Late July, post Dasu attack, Beijing started hyphenating Afghanistan with Pak attack. Asked "all parties concerned in Afghanistan to fully observe the ceasefire" but also vowed to "severely punish the perpetrators [of the attack on Chinese engineers]."

fmprc.gov.cn/mfa_eng/zxxx_6…
Over the weekend, promoting itself as lead proponent of peace, Beijing indicated that it has successfully signed on Pakistan as a helper in Afghan peace process:

"Pakistan is willing to work closely with China to push forward Afghanistan's peace"

fmprc.gov.cn/mfa_eng/zxxx_6…
Read 20 tweets
Mar 4, 2021
#ReportingPakistan

In an unexpected electoral setback which is shocking, even by #Pakistan's turbulent standards, cricketer-turned-prime minister #ImranKhan faces a crucial #VoteOfConfidence.

Here's a look at @ImranKhanPTI's political career, spanning over two decades.
Propelled by his celebrity & supported by his (now former) wife @Jemima_Khan, Khan's early political career saw him adopt the role of international activist. Here, in 1997, he's on a tour of South Africa with then-President Nelson Mandela.
Philanthropy would form the basis of his politics. The Shaukat Khanum, Pakistan's first cancer research hospital, would be inspired by his mother's demise & become his showcase for organizational change. Months before her own death in 1997, Princess Diana would help raise funds.
Read 24 tweets
Jul 26, 2020
Full disclosure for this thread: I don't vote. I follow the old ethical tenet that journalists & judges shouldn't vote.

Exactly two years ago, I was excited to see @ImranKhanPTI win an election & assume the helm of affairs in Pakistan, the country of my birth.

So although...
...I didn't vote, I was still excited to see him win.

Why?

See, with the 2018 polls @ImranKhanPTI had done what few politicians can do: he'd broken a system.

In this case, Pakistan's notorious -- and static -- two-party system.
Admittedly, not a lot politicians can challenge entrenched machines.

Many a candidate has tried to break America's two-party system. It hasn't worked. Examples abound in other democracies, too.

However, like Z.A. Bhutto before him (who broke the one-party system in Pak)...
Read 25 tweets
Aug 22, 2019
Received legal notices from @twitter for two days straight: the Gov of India has complained that I’ve violated the “laws of India.”

Till yesterday, @twitter cited certain tweets to be problematic (for India).

Today, my account @wajskhan in general is allegedly in violation.
So far, @twitter has been very straightforward, giving me my legal options.

Till yesterday, I was advised that among my choices, deleting certain tweets was one option.

However, not quite sure what to do today, considering my entire account - active since ‘09 - is at stake.
I’ve written back to @twitter but not heard back.

I worry that my account may be removed because of my critique of India’s policies & actions in #Kashmir.

Also believe that social media, already blacked out by India in Kashmir, is crucial for global discourse & truth-telling.
Read 7 tweets

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