JesseJenkins Profile picture
Jul 7 9 tweets 4 min read
🚨 New ZERO Lab paper! 🚨
"Modeling the operational flexibility of natural gas combined cycle power plants coupled with flexible carbon capture and storage via solvent storage and flexible regeneration" led by @fangwei_cheng doi.org/10.1016/j.ijgg…

#MacroEnergySystems
This work is part of our modeling support & analysis for @ARPAE FLECCS program, which supports development of a dozen designs for flexible carbon capture at natural gas-fired power plants. We're helping ARPAE & FLECCS teams evaluate each design & select Phase 2 $$ to demo tech.
We developed a detailed, modular representation of a flexible solvent storage system that enables shifting of the energy consumption for solvent regeneration to times of low power prices. @fangwei_cheng has painstakingly implemented about 8 other detailed designs for FLECCS too.
Our approach breaks down combined cycle power plants into major subcomponents and uses linear constraint formulations to enforce energy and mass balances across the plant modules (e.g. gas turbine, steam turbine, capture unit, regenerator, lean and rich solvent storage).
In addition, thermal power plants are subjected to unit commitment (UC) constraints that are very time-consuming to solve via conventional methods, which use binary decision variables for start-up and shut-down decisions.
We thereby demonstrate that a linear relaxation of discrete UC decision variables coupled with a generator clustering method (pioneered by Bryan Palmintier at NREL) are applicable to model flexible CCS subcomponents with good accuracy and computational speed.
As compared to a conventional binary UC formulation, linear relaxation of a generator clustering formulation has is 18–527 times faster runtime, with errors of 0.01%-3.4% across all the evaluated metrics. As the saying goes: good enough for government work! 😉
The operating patterns & system performance suggest our modeling framework can accurately & tractably capture both plant-level & system-level outcomes in a grid-scale power system optimization model, paving way for further use of this technique in FLECCS work & subsequent papers.
Check out the full paper at doi.org/10.1016/j.ijgg…

And congrats to @fangwei_cheng on the first of many papers to come from her work leading ZERO Lab's FLECCS team.

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More from @JesseJenkins

Jul 8
NEW REPORT: Europe can ELIMINATE reliance on Russian #NaturalGas by augmenting #REPowerEU plans w/temporary boost in coal & recalibrated gas storage.
ZERO Lab modeled 🇪🇺+🇬🇧 gas & electric grids & find several paths to secure full independence from 🇷🇺 gas: zenodo.org/record/6811676… ImageImage
2. Success depends on larger reductions in gas-fired electricity generation by temporarily increasing coal use (a trend we're already seeing reuters.com/world/europe/e…), reducing electricity demand & accelerating renewable energy deployment. Multiple combos of these three can work. ImageImageImage
3. Despite increased reliance on coal for electricity generation, all successful gas independence scenarios result in significant declines in European greenhouse gas emissions as lower gas demand offsets emissions from increased coal combustion. Image
Read 23 tweets
Jun 30
SCOTUS decision on WV v EPA is out. Im actually breathing a sigh of relief. In what may be best of plausible outcomes, a radical SCOTUS that has been tearing up precedent all term left EPA’s authority to regulate climate-warming gases intact, though more narrowly constrained.
The Majority's introduction of 'major questions doctrine' will result in more legal uncertainty for new regulations, as lower courts have a new tool to reach for when they want to strike down a rule they dont like, increasing number of legal controversies & time to sort out. Bad.
Given all of the rulings this term, it felt like this Court was ready to 'shoot the moon' & go for the jugular to strike Court's general deference to agency interpretation of statute or ability of Congress to delegate details to administrative agencies at all. They did not. Good.
Read 12 tweets
May 11
This reporting from @robinsonmeyer is bleak. And extremely concerning.

'Pelosi repeatedly justified climate action by saying it was “for the children.”

But climate action was “for the children” in the 1990s. “We’re not doing this for the children ... We’re doing this for us!"' Image
The final sands are running out of the hourglass for Congress to act on climate AND energy security.
Where the hell is the urgency? Why are Pelosi, Schumer & Biden not working night and day to finish the job? Are they really happy to just ... fade into the night and the minority?
My lord. Is it really up to Joe Manchin to save us? Because he seems to be the only one to have recognized that the war in Ukraine changes the entire context for energy legislation. If there's any hope now, it is through marrying climate and energy security priorities.
Read 4 tweets
May 10
$34 billion and 10 years. The performance of Southern Co. & Westinghouse at Vogtle is utterly unacceptable. If it is best the sector can do, nuclear has no future. I think new small modular reactors can do better, but they have to prove it. No one will believe it until we see it.
For those missing conditional statement above: read it again. IF this is the best they can do. Challenge is to build confidence the sector can do better than this. We have examples that build hope from South Korea, China, the UAE. Yet we've seen repeated failure in the West too.
This was fun but now it's done...
Read 5 tweets
May 5
Folks. We're going to need nuclear power (fission or even fusion) to decarbonize the global economy. Nations like US, Canada, Australia, China etc blessed with land can drive to net-zero with renewables only IF they so choose. But a Net-zero India? South Korea? Japan? Indonesia?
Even EU officials are admitting Europe will need to import large quantities of green hydrogen from abroad due to constraints on siting sufficient wind and solar within the continent. rechargenews.com/energy-transit…
Perhaps a global trade in green hydrogen or ammonia can supply these land constrained nations. But will they wish to rely on imports? To what degree? Will it be cheaper than domestic nuclear?
Read 7 tweets
Apr 16
#Bitcoin folks touting it as a flexible electricity demand that's going to somehow run only on excess wind and solar energy & help decarbonize the grid: Show me the marginal value of a MWh of electricity turned into #BTC . Then compare said value to $0/MWh. Now please stop.
My math: based on 460,000 Bitcoin mined in 2020 and 80 million MWh electricity consumed that year, that's 0.00575 BTC per MWh. Current BTC value is about $40,000. Implies miners willing to pay up to $230 per MWh. Sources for coins mined and electricity consumed in screenshot ⤵️ Image
At this MWh to BTC conversion rate, BTC price would need to fall an order of magnitude to under $4,000 to be willing to curtail mining at electricity prices > ~$23/MWh, which might plausibly qualify as a truly flexible demand (arguably under $1,800 to curtail mining at ~$10/MWh).
Read 8 tweets

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