Lets LπK at the tokenomics & catalysts of @GMX_IO.
$GMX is low float & generates #RealYield w/fees paid to stakers in $ETH.
Max supply is 13.25M $GMX
Current inflation occurs mostly from:
π«250k $GMX distributed linearly to team over 2yrs
π«750k $esGMX left in 2022
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Its important to recognize the supply of $GMX is very low. There is a total circulation of:
7,750,104 $GMX & 2,187,232 $esGMX = 9,937,336
This means, only 3.3M $GMX are left to POTENTIALLY enter circulation (24.9%). I say potentially bc most (only 37k) $esGMX is not vested.
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The $esGMX emissions schedule was revised to permit dynamic APR to $GLP w/a target APR of 35% for June 2022 & 25% starting August 2022.
Only 750k $esGMX remain for distribution: 400k to $GMX & 300k to $GLP (#Arbi & $AVAX).
Notably, $esGMX β¬οΈ sharply in Sept 2022 for $GMX.
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A total of 86% of the $GMX supply is currently staked & earning #RealYield on @GMX_IO.
A look at @nansen_ai shows that most $GMX hodlers have owned $GMX for >90 days (low turnover).
Even examining long term token holder balances, a clear trend to hodling is noted.
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Hodling of $GMX is encouraged by the concept of Multiplier Points. The longer you are staked, the more MPs you earn at 100% APR. MP's β¬οΈ the amount of protocol fees π° that stakers earn in $ETH.
In the future, MP APR may β¬οΈ...as such, stakers are incentivized to hodl.
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The amount of $GMX is dwindling on DEXs. Only 393k liquidity exists on @uniswap. Outflow has β¬οΈ in recent weeks as long term holders like @CryptoHayes continue to add to large investments in @GMX_IO. @nansen_ai also notes an β¬οΈ in the amount of smart money holdings of $GMX.
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I believe that $GMX has 4 near term catalysts that are bullish for continued accumulation & appreciation:
1β£ Transition to synthetics in 2 weeks - this means you can trade equities, commodities, FOREX & crypto (great thread on this from @cryp_growth:
2β£ @UmamiFinance's 20% APR $USDC vault launches soon ontop of $GLP to β¬οΈ TVL for greater OI & support of a planned 50x leverage increase
3β£ X4 is expected to launch in 2-3months
4β£ Expected β¬οΈ $ETH-maxi volume from @dYdX betrayal
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TLDR: I am π on @GMX_IO because The House usually wins. Owning a piece of the $GMX platform is like ownership in a casino.
Low fees & fast txns on #Arbitrum will continue to help grow swap volume, MEV revenue & OI generated fees for $GMX/ $GLP. π€π«
Disclaimer: I am a long term staker of $GMX. I believe that @GMX_IO will outperform in the near & long term.
As always, DYOR & dont trust an anon. Opinions are my own & this is NFA. I do have a referral link & I do not receive compensation in any form for my research or posts.π
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What does this mean? It means DeFi 3.0 protocols like @GMX_IO, that are low or non-inflationary, pay protocol revenue to stakers in non-native tokens like $ETH.
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Derivative exchanges like @GMX_IO & $GNS benefit token holders because trading profit thrives in volatility.
The House πgenerally wins.
Consider the $GMX net P&L below. This results in a 70% revenue distribution to $GMX's collateral vault, $GLP, & 30% π° to $GMX stakers.
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During a π¦, @GMX_IO loses value bc traders are unlikely to open new positions due to lack of volatility. This can lead to β¬οΈ token price short term.
However, as volatility goes up, for example, around release of the US FOMC minutes 7/6/22, trading volume + OI β¬οΈ=π°
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Bears are for building & Iβve noticed A LOT of dApps sprucing up their front ends.
Appearance matters. There is a legit need to make UIs more user friendly w/objective analytics.
β‘οΈ If you are a web3 protocol looking for a refresh, the best UI guy in the biz is @Tendeeno_
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If you are a @CurveFinance or @ConvexFinance maxi like myself, you may recognize @Tendeeno_'s work from Llama.Airforce. His UI for @0xAlunara + Benny arguably helped ignite the Curve Wars by providing a beautiful front end to demonstrate historic APR & bribe revenue.
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RIP $OHM forks are dead. π
Lets pour one out for the fallen: @squiddao, @snowdog, @KlimaDAO etc.
However, some $OHM forks still survive in name only bc they have pivoted to a stronger narrative & deforked.
Sit down, let me tell you the story of @UmamiFinance.
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In February 2021, a change in $UMAMI leadership resulted in a plan to pivot from its obviously failing roots. Reorganization of tokenomics was approved in March 2022 by the DAO. Rebasing was eliminated & a new strategy for delta neutral, yield farming was devised.
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Speculation abounds but the fact that @marshmello is well affiliated with @FortniteGame, owned by @EpicGames is extremely interesting.
Is "Metaverse Acquisitions Corp" a SPAC created to carve out a piece of Epic for developing an on chain open metverse for the gaming giant?
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On #Ethereum, @CurveFinance acts as a DeFi lynchpin w/20+ protocols that are built ontop of or around $CRV.
On #Arbitrum, I see @GMX_IO as an evolving defi primitive that will act as a base layer as well. 10+ protocols are building ontop of it w/more every day. π
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IMO, we're going to sπn start seeing a @cosmos -like effect begin to develop on the #ETH L2s: Modularity at its finest.
Microcosms of dApp communities will evolve on specific rollups: #Arbitrium for DeFi, @polygonhermeztr for GameFi, @starkware for centralized services, etc
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Among the present rollups, #Arbitrum is uniquely positioned to take avg of alt L1 volume moving back to the safety of #Ethereum.
Degens who have gotten used to cheap fees & fast txns will benefit greatly from @OffchainLabs's Nitro w/fees now $0.25-$0.50...ideal for DeFI
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The intersection of DeFiπ¦ & NFTsπ¨ continue to blur.
In the coming months, I expect to see growing use of a shared revenue model w/tokenization of assets denominated by NFTs thanks to the new integration of EIP-4626.
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EIP-4626 by @joey__santoro et al. was authored on 12/22/21. EIP-4626 implements a standard API for tokenized Vaults representing shares of a single underlying ERC-20 token. This EIP paves the way for distribution of yield to end users via treasury DAOs or lending platforms.
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Now defunct $ETH based OHM-fork, @SquidDAO, helped pioneer the concept of using an NFT to denominate a percent of treasury holdings. By holding a Squid NFT, owners received a % of fees generated + governance voting rights.
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