As we reported exclusively yesterday, the Iranian response to the draft #JCPOA revival text does not contain any further demands with regard to the IAEA safeguards probe. 1/
politico.com/news/2022/08/1…
There is no confirmation that Iran has accepted the EU proposal on the safeguards probe, but in the current Iran reply there is no more mention of it. This could be a signal that Iran is ready to move ahead on a deal, but it surely also depends on what their other demands are. 2/
Looking at the negotiations over the past 16 months, I would also not be surprised if Iran now pressurises the U.S. and the other parties into giving in more on sanctions and economic guarantees, and then reverts back and asks for more on safeguards probe. Tough call. 3/

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More from @StLiechtenstein

Aug 4
Senior EU official on #JCPOA talks: The current talks in Vienna are aimed at closing the text presented by @JosepBorrellF on July 21. The space for negotiation has been exhaused. We are discussing 4-5 "technical issues". We are "fine-tuning" them. #ViennaTalks 1/
On prospect of success: "I think there is a real possibility of having an agreement but it is not going to be easy." The sticking point on the IRGC delisting has been resolved. It has been agreed that it will be discussed in the future once the US and Iran can meet directly. 2/
The sticking point on guarantees has also been resolved. Iran is no longer demanding political guarantees. "We are addressing this concern [the guarantees] in the text in quite a substantial way. Iran is happy with what is included in the text on guarantees." 3/
Read 4 tweets
Jun 23
So, the first conference of the states parties to the Treaty on the Prohibition of Nuclear Weapons (TPNW) will conclude today in Vienna. After countless statements in support of eliminating nuclear weapons by those states that have ratified the Treaty .. #TPNW1MSP
1/
.. and some more statements by observing NATO countries mostly in support of their commitments under the nuclear alliance, TPNW states parties are set to adopt a political declaration today as well as an action plan. 2/
I have seen both draft documents (😱). The draft political declaration has been negotiated over several weeks and contains 15 paragraphs. 3/
Read 6 tweets
Apr 12
SCOOP: @OSCE expert mission report finds "clear patterns of international humanitarian law violations by the Russian forces in their conduct of hostilities" in #Ukraine. The report also finds "credible evidence" that "the most fundamental human rights" have been violated. 1/
The 110-page report (above is the executive summary) has been drafted by experts following the invocation of the so-called OSCE Moscow Mechanism by Ukraine & 45 OSCE states on 3 March. The experts were not able to visit #Ukraine but relied on multiple source for its report. 2/
The report investigates events 24 Feb-1 April, meaning it does not cover the atrocities committed in villages in the proximity of Kyiv, incl. Bucha. Russia was invited to cooperate with the expert mission but it refused. There is an exchange of letters attached to the report. 3/
Read 4 tweets
Apr 12
Seems there was no concrete outcome to the visit by Austrian Chancellor Nehammer to Moscow YTD. The visit was an Austrian initiative (nobody asked Austria to get engaged). Here is a summary in POLITICO Playbook politico.eu/newsletter/bru… & a short write-up politico.eu/article/austri… 1/
Putin also evidently did not show any interest in #Austria taking over a mediation role, since the Russian President apparently (according to #Nehammer) expressed repeated support for the Istanbul negotiation process. 2/
Speaking w/ journalists via video link YTD, Nehammer explained that he wanted to personally "look him in the eye" to tell Putin about the horrors of war. Nehammer said he felt that personal meetings were important. (I have doubts any of this impresses Putin, to put it mildly.) 3/
Read 4 tweets
Apr 11
Austrian Chancellor Karl Nehammer @karlnehammer just finished a video press conference from the Austrian Embassy in Moscow. He told journalists: "It was important for me to look into his (Putin's) eyes and tell him about the horrors of war and the war crimes in Bucha." 1/
Nehammer also said that he considered it important to create humanitarian corridors so that civilians in the East can flee prior to what he thinks will be a "fierce battle" that we should not "underestimate". 2/
Nehammer said that he had the impression that Putin had some form of confidence in the Istanbul negotiation process. This process should therefore be further supported. 3/
Read 4 tweets
Apr 5
Austrian Foreign Minister @a_schallenberg just gave a live interview on Austrian public TV taking questions on Ukraine. He was asked by anchor @ArminWolf why #Austria has not expelled any Russian diplomats after learning horrendous details about atrocities in #Bucha. 1/
Schallenberg: "I explicitly reserve the right to take this step and expel Russian diplomats if it is proven that there is a violation of the Vienna Convention on Diplomatic Relations." (Here is the convention: legal.un.org/ilc/texts/inst…) 2/
Schallenberg on ORF TV also "regrets" that the expulsions of Russian diplomats have not been taken "in concert" with all 27 EU member states. Says he would have preferred it that way. 3/
Read 5 tweets

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