Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #Austria

Most recents (24)

"Country X has been lucky." "Nation Y has low population density." "Climate in tropical state Z has an impact."

Probably true, but then still:
#leadership
#strategy
#trust
#communications

massively influence a country's dealing with a #pandemic or a #crisis.

1/
Would countries have done better or worse with different #leadership and #strategy? I have NO DOUBT.

Key drivers like #leadership and #trust often seem underestimated or hard to grasp.

This is probably due to #complexity of the matter and that drivers are hard to measure.

2/
The drivers are all related:

#leadership ➡️ trust ➡️ successful execution of #strategy ➡️ empowered leadership ➡️ #trust

#Communications is the glue.

3/
Read 13 tweets
Thread: Wearing masks is our best defense against the #coronavirus.

@WhiteHouse press secretary said today that masks are no longer required in West Wing. Many tweets also advise against masks.

Result: Colossal failure of the US #COVID response.

thehill.com/homenews/admin…

1/
An example of anti-mask rhetoric can be seen in the video below by a Mr. Huff. I will explain why everything that he says here is scientifically incorrect and a danger to public health. (I do not know Mr. Huff or his motivations.)



2/
I am not comparing the US to the several dozen countries that have mostly controlled this epidemic, e.g., #Taiwan, #Iceland, #SouthKorea, #Japan, #Thailand, #NewZealand, #Australia, #Austria, #Switzerland, #Greece, #Norway, etc. Some of them never even had to lock down.

3/
Read 17 tweets
HILO: EL CORAZÓN RICO DE EUROPA. ¿QUÉ LECCIONES HEMOS DE APRENDER?
Examinemos este mapa del PIB per cápita en las regiones de #Europa. Entre otros lugares, observamos un núcleo de alta renta ubicado justo en el centro de Europa precisamente en torno a los Alpes. ¿Qué pasa aquí?
En este artículo se reflexiona sobre ello. La mayoría de las regiones "ricas" tienen una explicación para su riqueza. Pero aparentemente la región alpina (montañosa, ganadera, sin recursos) no la tiene. . GeaXplora lo ha investigado econlib.org/archives/2016/…
En efecto, la región alpina europea ha sido tradicionalmente una región dura, donde la agricultura es de subsistencia, y sólo la ganadería arraigó como actividad económica. Pensemos en que Suiza exportaba mercenarios históricamente porque no podían vivir de otra cosa.
Read 18 tweets
#Austria #Antisemitic Incident reported
-Images last thread-

Contrary to his previous assertions, the Austrian right-wing populist and former Vice Chancellor Heinz-Christian Strache apparently described Jews as "opponents" and "lustful for power".
Strache had previously claimed to have "never" made anti-Semitic comments. According to an expert, it was "with a certainty bordering on certainty" that Strache himself wrote the anti-Semitic statements by hand in a clearly anti-Semitic book.
When asked about his lawyer, Strache said that he could not remember the book or such a dedication. The 273-page book is the "Jewish Confessions from All Times and Countries" by the anti-Semitic author Hans Jonak von Freyenwald.
Read 17 tweets
IT’S HEATIN UP 🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥
when I tweet somethin like this I don't mean IT jokingly or something about me personally. I mean the sim ITself is bubblin... IT gives you all the signs you need if you just pay attention to IT now. ❤️🌊🔥🔥🔥👀
Read 1747 tweets
Thread: Predicting #COVID deaths in the US from 8k to 100k.

I started predicting the US COVID death toll ~2 months ago. All of my predictions to date have proven accurate. The most painful predictions I have ever made.

Why have we failed to stop the #coronavirus in the US?

1/
My first prediction on Apr 4 (toll @ 8k) was for the Easter Sunday (20k):



2/
In my Apr 12 thread (toll @ 20k), I explained the fundamental systems concepts for the #coronavirus epidemic:



3/
Read 20 tweets
-Long thread-

#Palestine #Austria #Israel #Ramallah

Austria has not recognized "Palestine" as a state. How can there be a “Representation of the State of Palestine” in Vienna?
The Palestinian Authority is mad at Austria.
The reason for this is a statement made by the legal department of the Austrian Foreign Ministry at the International Criminal Court in The Hague in mid-March. Roughly speaking, the republic questioned the ICC's jurisdiction over "Palestine" because it was not recognized
as a sovereign state. Although some other states, including Germany, have found much clearer words to the Court on this issue, the PA regards the Austrian statement as an unfriendly act and therefore quotes the Austrian representative in Ramallah to diplomatically wash her head.
Read 35 tweets
Speech in the #parliament of #Austria by #HerbertKickl:
"Herr Präsident,..Hohes Haus:..ich freue mich über die heutige #Sondersitzung―Kollege #Wöginger―vielleicht gerade deshalb auch weil ich sehe, dass es für manche eine Art Ärgernis darstellt―unter anderem für Dich―weil es
>
> für manche eine Art unzumutbare Belästigung darstellt.

Aber―das schreibe ich ihnen in Ihr koalitionäres Stammbuch hinein!―an diese Form der parlamentarischen Belästigung werden sie sich gewöhnen müssen, Herr #Wöginger!
Und Kollegin #Maurer! [applause]
>
> Denn das ist ein stück parlamentarische Normalität, und das Gegenteil des #Ausnahmezustand​es, der in Ihren gehirnen herumschwebt.

Und ich sage Ihnen eines: Es gibt auch genügend Bedarf für eine solche Sitzung,
>
Read 32 tweets
Thread: Dump bad equations. They lead to bad decisions.

On May 10, Mr. @BorisJohnson proposed a simple equation to determine #COVID Alert Level. He then explained how the reopening policy could be shaped based on this "Threat Level".



1/
In this thread, I will explain why this equation is not only wrong, but is also completely unnecessary — especially when we have clear alternative measures that can guide #COVID policies and decisions.

* Fast forward to tweet # 11 if you already know Dimensional Analysis.

2/
One of the first subjects in physics is "Dimensional Analysis". It needs to be emphasized more in high school and college physics courses.

See this @wikipedia article for a technical description:

en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dimension…

3/
Read 30 tweets
Without a country to call their own, the Donauschwaben have an identity problem. The Donauschwaben, anglicized “Danube Swabians”, came into existence in the 17th and 18th century when German pioneers settled in Habsburg, Hungary. #danubeswabian #german #donauschwaben
German troops, commanded by Prince Eugene of Savoy, a Frenchman in service of the Austro-Hungarian dual-monarchy in command of German troops, had recovered land from 150 years of Turkish misrule. #danubeswabian #german #donauschwaben
In the aftermath of the Second World War, the Donauschwaben were divided, stripped of their possessions and expelled from their homelands. #danubeswabian #expelledgermans #justiceforgermans #German
Read 9 tweets
El próximo 5 de mayo se cumple el 75 aniversario de la liberación del campo de concentración nazi de #Gusen (Austria), donde mataron a mi abuelo y a la mayoría de #deportados españoles, cerca de 4.000. En 2014 descubrí lo que pasaba en #Gusen y no daba crédito... Abro HILO 👇 Panorámica del campo de concentración nazi de Gusen (Austria)Francisco López García,
El campo nazi de #Gusen, al contrario de lo sucedido con el de #Mauthausen (a 5 kms de distancia), prácticamente había sido borrado del mapa. Y en su lugar existía una 'bucólica' urbanización austríaca. Foto área de la WWII del campo de concentración nazi de Gusen (Austria)Montaje fotográfico del campo de concentración nazi de Gusen durante la WWII superpuesto sobre una imagen aérea actual
Se ha considerado a #Gusen un subcampo de #Mauthausen. Pero fue un campo mucho mayor (con 2 áreas de túneles: Kellerbau y Bergkristall), más prisioneros y más víctimas mortales. Contó con sistema de numeración propio y su propio criminal como comandante: Karl Chmielewski (dcha.) Reproducción aérea a escala real de los campos de concentración nazis de Mauthausen (dcha.), Gusen (centro) y el sistema de túneles Bergkristall (izquierda). Karl Chmielewski, comandante de Gusen (de los 4 oficiales nazis que aparecen en la foto, el de la derecha).
Read 27 tweets
Thread: Exponential to Linear & Reopening

On Apr 17, Mr. Trump predicted a MAXIMUM #COVID death toll of 60–65k in 🇺🇸.

I predicted the toll would exceed 65k by today.

That was correct (up to a 24hr reporting delay). Current tally, May 1, is 65,435.



1/
This was my third correct prediction in a row.

My first prediction was on Apr 4 for Apr 12 (~20k deaths).



My second prediction was on Apr 12 for Apr 19 (~40k deaths).



2/
In this pedagogical thread, I will discuss the Exponential trends in cases & deaths, transition to Linear, and the implications for reopening.

To review basic definitions for a Dynamical System, State & Auxiliary Variables, Flows, & Parameters see:



3/
Read 41 tweets
"The sooner #China was included into the international community, the earlier it would learn to play along with international norms, the argument went. But, China’s current measures indicate otherwise. International norms are the ones being played." thediplomat.com/2020/04/how-ch…
"China’s attempts to make the @UN a tool for achieving its hegemonic ambition would erode the institution’s trustworthiness from within and render international cooperation parochial."
"China’s approach to international cooperation would defeat the UN’s purpose to settle distributional conflicts since, very soon, other stakeholders would realize that cooperation is a cloak for advancing China’s national interests."
Read 24 tweets
Thread: "How to predict #coronavirus trends with Kinematics of Epidemics?"

On Apr 4, I made a spot-on prediction for US #COVID deaths by Apr 12 (~20k).



My prediction on Apr 12 for today, Apr 19, was ~35–40k deaths.

It proved accurate AGAIN. Sadly.

1/
US #COVID death count is currently at 38,900 (@bing & @Google COVID Trackers).

In this pedagogical thread, I will explain how to use basic concepts of physics to make such predictions.

Specifically, I will describe the "Kinematics of the COVID Epidemic."

2/
A quick review of the basics.

The first subject area that is taught in Physics is Classical Mechanics. It was also historically the first area of Physics, mainly developed by Galileo (1564–1642) and Newton (1642–1727).

3/
Read 29 tweets
On Mar 24, we had ~800 #COVID deaths in the US. On Apr 4, when the count was at ~8,000, I predicted ~20,000 deaths by Easter Sunday, Apr 12.

My prediction was spot on. Current tally is 20,600.


1/
In this PEDAGOGICAL thread, I will explain how I came up with this number. This thread is not meant for systems experts.

I became interested in, and very concerned about, the spread of #coronavirus since January 2020, when I saw the initial datasets from #Wuhan.

2/
I am an applied mathematician, and I specialize in modeling dynamic systems, besides other things. I am not an epidemiologist, but the spread of infectious diseases are governed by the same mathematical rules that govern dynamical systems in general.

3/
Read 35 tweets
🌎 It's now time to create a new tweetstorm more focused on 2Q impact.

🇩🇪 #GERMANY TO EXTEND CORONAVIRUS RESTRICTIONS TO END-EASTER: NTV
🇩🇪 #GERMANY EXTENDS NATIONWIDE LOCKDOWN UNTIL APRIL 19 - BBG
Read 56 tweets
14 countries have so far used some form of #castransfer and #basicincome program as #coronavirus response.

Here is what we know:

1. #Australia: one-time cash payment $750 to seniors, veterans and low-income people
2. #China: expanding Dibao program’s value and coverage for affected families

3. #Hong-Kong: one-off cash injection to all 7M adult residents

4. #Indonesia: expansions of e-food vouchers by 33% for 6 months
5. #Ireland: sick pay, illness benefit and supplementary benefits for workers affected by virus-related measures

6. #Italy: €600 childcare voucher for workers with children below age of 12

7. #Japan: ¥5,000 vouchers to those loading ¥20,000 for smartphone payments
Read 93 tweets
It is time for one long #Coronavirus update. I have been resisting doing this as (1) I do not want to add to the hysteria & the panic & (2) I don't believe in doomsday predictions. Moreover, things have been moving so fast, who knows what's what. BUT it's time for real talk...
Overall, #Coronavirus (the outbreak of #COVID19) is REAL. The effects on your daily life from the fallout will be REAL. The impact society, economics, & politics in 2020 will be severe & REAL. None of this is Fake News. None of this should be downplayed. (2/
People who are trying to silence REAL discussion are doing a disservice to the public interest. This is a 9/11 & 2008 level event in terms of its impact on domestic & international dynamics. This thread is not about creating panic but encouraging a smarter response. (3/
Read 64 tweets
Hundreds of Iranians and supporters of the National Council of Resistance of #Iran organized the rallies in different cities of the EU and the United States o support anti-Iranian protests & #BoycottIranShamElections.
#MyVoteRegimeChange
21 Feb- Rally in #Austria & #Denmark, by the Supporters of Resistance of #Iran (#NCRI/#MEK). they called for boycotting the #IranShamElections & paid tribute to over 1500 martyrs of the Iran protests.
#MyVoteRegimeChange
Rally of Iranian in #Sweden for #BoycottIranShamElections – Feb 2020
Although they are far from home, their hearts are with their protesting compatriots in #Iran. They shout in solidarity with the Iranian people:
#MyVoteRegimeChange
@lysdeschamps @LToddWood
Read 8 tweets
Det är svårt att föreställa sig om det som sker i Kina. Uppenbarligen samlar de in dissidenter. All internet trafik är spärrad utom de källor som kommer via den kinesiska staten. Det som pågår i Kina angående #Coronavirus är en krigshandling av främmande makt.
Det här viruset är
gjord av människan. Ryssland, Indien, Taiwan vet att viruset innehåller HIV.

Därmed är skiten tillverkad av människan. Det sägs att den slår hårdare mot kinesiska män än mot andra raser, vilket betyder att denna "attack" kommer ej från deras egna led.

Fortsättning följer.
Russian scientists believe America created the Wuhan coronavirus to sabotage China dimsumdaily.hk/russian-scient… via @Dimsum Daily
Read 292 tweets
Going through the numbers released by @WHO (in turn are numbers released by China) from Jan 20th to Jan 27th.

Based on the released numbers, I did a simple analysis on the day-by-day increase in # of confirmed cases and # of dead owing to #coronavirus Image
The findings:(day2day)

1. The # of infected ⬆️ by an average factor of 1.49 ⬇️ to 1.4 *

2. The # of dead ⬆️ by an average factor of 1.68 ⬇️ to 1.6 *

3. The Death:Infected ratio is currently around 2.7 (# of deaths/100 infections)

* ⬇️ owing to conservative estimates + factors
Based on above trends:

1. The # of infected & the # of dead may reach a significant figure as early as Feb 6th *

2. The "Death:Infected Ratio" may ⬆️ sharply after Feb 2nd *

* Not posting my numbers here.

3. #nCoV is faster in it's infection rates compared to #SARS

ℹ️:@WHO
Read 173 tweets
Mr. Hogan is the new @Trade_EU Commissioner and is making his first trip outside the EU as part of the @vonderleyen Commission. He is speaking with @CSISEurope's Heather Conley and Scholl Chair Bill Reinsch.
Mr Hogan was previously Irish Minister for Environment, Community and Local Government. At The Europe Desk, we recently interview @HcMEntee, Irish Minister for European Affairs, on Ireland's role in transatlantic relations after #Brexit: podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/bri… @GUGlobalIrish
Read 47 tweets
THREAD 🧵
On Oct 23, 2019,Albanian Police revealed details on a network behind the #Iranian regime’s terror plot against #MEK,#Iran’s main opposition movement in Tirana
Here are further details on the network
#BlackListMOIS #ExpelIranDiplomatTerrorists

asp.gov.al/drejtori-i-per…
Members of #Iran’s terror network behind the terror plot, revealed by the police were:
-Peyman
-Alireza (Heydar) Naghashzadeh AKA Irwin Aram
-Abdolkhalegh Malekzadeh AKA Farhad
-Abdulselam Turgut

#BlackListMOIS #IRGCTerrorists #ExpelIranDiplomatTerrorists
But the details on who these people are, and their operation raises further questions & concerns regarding #Iran’s terror network & espionage operations abroad & particularly on European soil
#BlackListMOIS #IRGCTerrorists #ExpelIranDiplomatTerrorists
Read 20 tweets
⁉️WHAT⁉️

@SenatorWicker’s office says after 18 mo it has gotten NO answer from DOJ on why Ukrainian oligarch Dmitry Firtash—who bankrolled Paul Manafort & Giuliani’s #Ukrainegate henchmen—has not been extradited to the US to face federal #bribery charges.
nbcnews.com/politics/justi…
In June, #Austria approved the extradition of Firtash, who has been living there since his 2014 arrest.

Wicker wrote then-AG Sessions in Apr’2018 about Firtash, alleging that Firtash—ties to the #Russian🇷🇺mob—had made "hundreds of millions" in "illicit profits.”

#Ukrainegate
What does @SenatorWicker think about Firtash—whom Wicker correctly noted has close ties with the #Russian🇷🇺mob—bankrolling @realDonaldTrump’s and Giuliani’s #Ukrainegate henchmen⁉️

#ComplicitGOP

Read 3 tweets

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