Ted Darling Profile picture
Aug 29 11 tweets 3 min read
Hello Monday and the resumption of primary trend!

$USD ↗️
$TNX ↗️
$WTIC ↗️
$ES ↘️
$GOLD ↘️
#Bitcoin ↘️

Let's dig into the 🧮!
Asia, ex-China, ↘️ ↘️

$NIKK 27879 -2.65%
$SSEC 3241 +0.15% ⬅️
$TWII 14926 -2.3%
$HSI 2427 -2.2%
$KOSPI 2427 -2.2%
$IDX 7108 -0.4%

Australia ↘️
$ASX 6955 -1.95%

India ↘️
$BSE 58047 -1.35%
Europe ↘️ at the open

$DAX 12803 -1.3%
$FTSE 7427 -0.7%
$CAC 6192 -1.3%
$AEX 696 -1.3%
$IBEX 7964 -1.25%
$MIB 21691 -0.95%
$SMI 10913 -0.25%
$MOEX 2290 +0.95% ⬅️🪆

$VSTOXX 28.87 🔺

$DAX range = 12758 - 13533 🐻
🇺🇸 futures ↘️ and near the bottom of range

$ES 4028 -0.75%
$NQ 12470 -1.1%
$RTY 1876 -1.25%

$VIX 27.08 🔺

$SPX range = 3992 - 4327 🐻
$VIX range = 18.12 - 26.97 ♉️⬅️
GOLD and metals ↘️↘️

$GOLD 1732 -1.0%
$SILVER 18.31 -2.3%
$COPPER 3.579 -3.2% ⬅️
$PLAT 836 -2.25%
$PALL 2103 -1.4%
$ALI - no trade
$ZINC no trade

$GOLD range = 1727 - 1785 🐻
$COPPER range = 3.47 - 3.75 🐻
Hydrocarbons ↗️

$WTIC 93.69 +0.7%
$BRENT 88.7 +0.7%
$NATGAS 9.514 +2.65%
$GASO 2.677 unch

$WTIC range = 86.71 - 95.82 🐻
$NATGAS range = 7.46 - 9.98 ♉️
Grains ↔️

$WHEAT 804.50 +0.05%
$CORIN 672.38 +1.25%
$SOYB 1451 -0.6%
#USGAR no trad

$DBA range = 19.63 - 20.87 🐻
$USD ↗️ 🆕 cycle high

$EUR 0.9932 -0.29%
$GBP 1.167 -0.65%
$AUD 0.685 -0.53%
$USD 109.26 +0.47%
$USDJPY 138.77 +0.9%
$USDCHF 0.97 +0.41%
$USDCAD 1.307 +0.27%
$USDRUB 60.363 🪆⬅️

$USD range = 106.81 - 109.37 ♉️
#Crytocurrencies pummeled ↘️ over the w/e

$BTC 19877 +1.6%
$ETH 1453 +1.6%

#Bitcoin range 18888 - 25573 🐻
UST yields ↗️ across the curve
10/2s to -36 BPS

$TNX range = 2.6 - 3.13 ♉️
$TLT range 110.54 - 115.62 🐻

Global 10Ys
UST 3.114 +0.079
GILT 2.605 -0.001
BUND 1.548 +0.15
ITA 3.864 +0.184 ⬅️
JPN 0.244 +0.028
AUS 3.712 -0.009
CAN 3.017 +0.003
Equities and $GOLD are very oversold
Yields and $USD are overdone to the upside

If you want to be cute, #BTFD in equities for a trade after a 🐻 open.

I'm looking at $XLY with a range of 156 - 173 ♉️

Otherwise, stick with primary trends and have a super profitable 💰 day!

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More from @tdarling1

Aug 30
Hello Turnaround Tuesday!

This equity market keeps giving you opportunities to reduce exposure long side and to add 🩳

Kashkari be damned!

Let's dig into the 🧮!
Asia is the mirror image of yesterday 🪞
🇯🇵↗️ 🇨🇳 ↘️

$NIKK 28196 +1.15%
$SSEC 3227 -0.4%
$TWII 14954 +0.2%
$HSI 19910 -0.55%
$KOSPI 2451 +1.0%
$IDX 7159 +0.4%

Australia ↗️
$ASX 6998 +0.45%

India ↗️
$BSE 59150 +2.05% ⬅️ ♉️
Europe ↗️ at the open

$DAX 13080 +1.45%
$FTSE 7465 +0.5%
$CAC 6390 +1.1%
$AEX 706 +1.15%
$IBEX 8071 +1.0%
$MIB 22112 +1.25%
$SMI 10976 +0.75%
$MOEX 2310 +0.6% 🪆

$VSTOXX 27.22 🔻

$DAX range = 12679 - 13503 🐻
Read 11 tweets
Aug 28
🐻♉️↗️↘️↔️⚠️🚩🔺🔻🧮 💰

1/7 🧵

Global Macro Review 08/28/2022

What a difference a week and an 8-minute JH speech make.

Trend indicators green into #OPEX, only to have JPOW reiterate, "Our responsibility to deliver price stability is unconditional.”

Let’s dig into the 🧮!
2/7

Having retraced 50-60% off their lows, US equities ↘️ hard on Powell’s speech

$SPX -4.05% (w) -2.4% (T)
$COMP -4.45% (w) +0.1% (T)
$IWM -2.9% (w) 0.7% (T)

Chart: $COMPQ failed to retrace 50% before ↘️ Image
2a/7

Equity vol ↗️ and firmly in the 🪓🪣

$VIX 25.56 +4.96 pts
$VXN 31.72 +4.98 pts
$RVX 30.48 +5.14 pts
$VSTOXX +2.08 pts
$VXEEM 21.28 +1.85 pts

Chart: $VIX back > 25 Image
Read 19 tweets
Aug 21
🐻♉️↗️↘️↔️⚠️🚩🔺🔻🧮 💰

1/9 🧵

Global Macro Review 08/21/2022

$UUP 🚀
$VIX ↗️
$TLT ↘️
$GLD ↘️
$EFA ↘️
$BNO ↘️
$DBA ↘️

An aberration? or a resumption of primary Trend = (T)

Let’s dig into the 🧮!
2/9

🤴🏽 💵 aka the wrecking 🎳

$UUP +2.4% (w) +5.05% (T)
$FXF -1.75% (w) +1.45% (T)
$FXC -1.8% (w) -1.25% (T)
$FXE -2.2% (w) -5.15% (T)
$FXB -2.55% (w) -5.3% (T)
$FXY -2.5% (w) -6.7% (T)
$FXA -3.44% (w) -2.25% (T)

Chart: $USD with room to run
2a/9

$EURUSD back to parity
Read 17 tweets
Aug 19
Hello Friday and the week to date!

$HYG -1.55%
$TLT -0.55%

$SPX +0.1%
$COMPQ -0.65%
$DAX -1.65%
$SSEC -0.6%
$NIKK +1.35%

$USD +1.94% ⬅️
$GBP -2.1%
$GOLD -2.7%

$WTIC -3.0%
$NATGAS +3.55%

$COPPER -1.25%

#Bitcoin -12.4% ⬅️

Let's dig into the pre #opex 🧮!
Asia closed ↔️ to ↘️

$NIKK 28930 -0.05%
$SSEC 3258 -0.6%
$TWII 15409 +0.1%
$HSI 19772 +0.05%
$KOSPI 2493 -0.6%
$IDX 7172 -0.2%

Australia ↔️
$ASX 7114 unch

India ↘️
$BSE 59639 -1.1%
Europe ↘️

$DAX 13558 -1.0%
$FTSE 7514 -0.35%
$CAC 6512 -0.7%
$AEX 772 -0.5%
$IBEX 8343 -1.05%
$MIB 22643 -1.5%
$SMI 11174 +0.05%
$MOEX 2185 -0.45% 🪆

$VSTOXX 23.54 🔺

$DAX range = 13535 - 13895 🐻
Read 11 tweets
Aug 14
🐻♉️↗️↘️↔️⚠️🚩🔺🔻🧮 💰

1/7 🧵

Global Macro Review 08/14/2022

A big decline in $CPI to +8.5% y/y, ➕ the July services #PMI ↗️ ➕ #NFP ↗️, kept the 🔥 burning on risk assets - enough to lure the ♉️

Is this a new ♉️ market or the end of the 🐻 rally?

Let’s dig into the 🧮!
2/7

Equity volatility ↘️ across market and 🐻 Trend (T)

$VX 19.53 -1.62 bps
$VXN 25.18 -1.95 bps
$RVX 24.23 -1.07 bps
$VSTOXX 21.21 -1.64 bps
$VXEEM 19.45 -2.41 bps

Chart: $VXEEM lending support to $EEM 🆕 ♉️
3/7

US equity indices 🚀

$SPX +3.25% (w) +6.35% (T) 🆕 ♉️
$COMPQ +3.1% (w) +10.55% (T)
$IWM +5.0% (w) +12.5% (T)

Chart: $IWM - small caps have retraced nearly 50% of the 6-mo decline
Read 16 tweets
Aug 12
Hello Friday and the Week to date

$SSEC +1.7%
$SPX +1.5%
$KOPSI +1.3%
$DAX +0.9%

$AUD +2.8%
$GBP +1.02%
$GOLD +0.9%
$USD -1.4%

$LUMBER +24.3%
$COTTON +8.8%
$BRENT +5.05%
$COPPER +4.35%
$BTC +3.5%

$TLT -1.8%

Let's dig into more 🧮!
Closed for 🏔️ day yesterday, 🇯🇵 played catch ↗️

$NIKK 28547 +2.6% 🇯🇵
$SSEC 7032 -0.55%
$TWII 15289 +0.6%
$HSI 20163 +0.4%
$KOSPI 2528 +0.15%
$IDX 7130 -0.45%

Australia ↘️
$ASX 7032 -0.55%

India ↗️
$BSE 59519 +0.3%
Europe ♉️↗️ at the open

$DAX 13779 +0.65%
$FTSE 7509 +0.6%
$CAC 6578 +0.5%
$AEX 726 -0.05%
$IBEX 8442 +0.75%
$MIB 22986 +0.55%
$SMI 11165 +0.1%
$MOEX 2140 +0.3% 🪆

$VSTOXX 21.15

$DAX range = 13376 - 13858 🐻
Read 11 tweets

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