1/ Operational situation update regarding the #russian_invasion in #Ukraine on August 31, 2022.
-minor changes on the front line-
There is still some major operations in the initiative of Ukr in #Kherson area & Ru have some big losses right now. #UkraineMap#CarteUkraine
2/ About #Kherson to #Mykolaiv area.. this is what the FEBA line could look like right now. i know it's not the most "sexy" map... but there is some areas where doubts remains -so best case scenario is red dot line.
There is for sure a huge push on the main axis to #Kherson but
4/ on the #Kherson#Krivyyrih Rih axis.. also several changes as we had visual confirmation of part #Arkhangelske was at one point under Ukr control as other cities, but apparently some ru moves went the other way this afternoon so it's hard to be certain there. but close enough!
5/ the other very interesting point is the area around #Andriivka#Bilohirvka as it seems to be a major break through there, but one more time conflicting report for this area. best case scenario Ukr are advancing maybe (pincer move) to try to take #Davydivbrid . would be awesome
6/ Also about the #Bakhmut south situation, all the day major attacks happened but Ukrainian Defense Forces have repelled attempts to attack the enemy in the directions of Vesela Valley, #Bakhmut, #Zaitseve, #Mayorsk (black arrow - they try sometimes there) and #Kodema #Ukraine
7/ last gen staff report of the day :
8/ from this morning report : Ru units continued shelling from barrel artillery and multiple rocket launcher systems and jet strikes near #Dolyna, #Krasnopilla, #Bohorodychne & #Virnopilla
so i don't get the pseudo Ukr advance as it seems to be the same FEBA line there...
9/ In the Avdiivka direction, Ru fired mortars, tanks, barrel and rocket artillery near Avdiivka, Opytne, Umanske, Pervomaiske ...., tried to improve the tactical position in the directions of Krasnohorivka & Mariinka, traditionally suffered losses & retreated.
yep same map
10/ In the #Zaporijia direction, Ru is carried out shelling along the contact line. The enemy is regrouping units and units of the 3rd Army Corps on the temporarily occupied territory of the #Zaporizhzhia region with the aim of resuming the offensive in the specified direction.
11/ Quick thread on the losses of this last couple of days as it sounds really important in the Ru rank.
I wanted to explain that for a long time... i made a word script - you can read below the alleged Russians losses in Ukraine.
12 A/ so here are my (partly) my thoughts about it.
12 B/
12 C/ and that's it.
sorry it's not a full proper analysis of the subject but at the end of an 10 hours days, it's quite hard to do something more than a "correct" memo.
ok..; thank you!
13/ More pamphlets appeared in #Kherson. Partisans are adding some more pressure (and recently killed "figures proéminente" de la compromission avec l'envahisseur Russe (yeah i don't have it in English tonight..)
14/ #Ukraine AF looks still active! & teddy bear is still doing great job being wingman! amazin pics from last days - flew 16 missions, striking Ru ammo depots, hardware etc. #Geoloc would be great!
1/ breaking !! Si l'on reprend la carte que j'ai faite il y a 2 jours (j'ai l'impression que ça fait 1 semaine), voici donc quel serait apparemment le nouveau "deal" (plus ou moins approximatif sur la profondeur du corridor) que Putin voudrait imposer à l'Ukraine :
Alors ds les
2/ faits cela voudrait dire cession complète et "signée en tant que telle par traité!" de l'ensemble de l'Oblast de Donestk contre à peu près l'equivalent en terme de territoire des Oblasts de Kherson et Zaporijia, MAIS en laissant libre accès à la Crimée, pour les Ru du Donbas,
3/ par le biais d'un corridor (là je ne sais pas la largeur, mais en cherchant sur les tg Ru d'officiers que je suis) il semblerait qu'il faudrait qu'ils aient une profondeur stratégique suffisante en cas d'attaque des UKR dnc ils demanderait un retrait de qq 10aines de km
About Trump's Move :
1/12 Trump just blasted India for buying Russian oil and "not caring abt Ukraine deaths," announcing major tariffs. But his selective outrage and convenient timing reveal this isn't about Ukraine at all. Here's what's really happening.
2/ This morning, China essentially told Trump to pound sand (GFY) regarding his threats. Yet Trump focuses his rage on India - a democracy and strategic partner - while giving China a pass. If this was really about Ukraine, why not target the bigger Russian oil buyer first?
3/ Perfect Timing for US Corporations. These tariffs come just as companies like Apple and others were eyeing India as their new manufacturing haven - cheap, qualified labor to replace China. Convenient how tariffs now create "pressure" for better terms for US corporate re-entry
on this Assange release event...
(political choice before big next election)
let me put this link back here to show you that Ru were also already there for "long shots" way back then...
Network/ppl level/influencers/media/politics/"hacktivists" etc etc
3/ also a must read for people who will say next "ho! i didn't know about that..
and keep in mind Mueller investigation cannot give you half of the extent of the reality as they never had access to all the CIA sources... washingtonpost.com/opinions/2019/…
2/ #TaurusLeak reveals the complete breach of all secured protocol / incompetence of German officers in the #Luftwaffe - German gov is really mad about it right now. Also all intel services are all hands on deck right now.
3/ so allegedly "being wiretapped, conspiratorial telephone conference by the Bundeswehr leadership, they plan to trick the federal government regarding the 🇩🇪 cruise missile in order to bring about delivery. Goal? Among other things, the attack on the Crimean Bridge" (sic)
voilà voilà... j'en ai encore parlé hier soir
(j'ai juste supprimer le post hier soir parce que j'avais trop de messages, mais il semble maintenant que tout le monde va être au courant)
Par contre bcp de choses sont encore à régler. ce n'est pas facile surtout en ce moment.. 1/
2/ Paris et Kiev finalisent les préparatifs de la visite du président @EmmanuelMacron en #Ukraine, en se concentrant sur un accord pour que la France fournisse des avions de combat multirôles #Mirage 2000D. Le ministre ukrainien de la Défense, Rustem #Umerov, est attendu
@EmmanuelMacron 3/ cette semaine à Paris pour finaliser les accords avec le ministre français de la Défense @SebLecornu . Le plan initial prévoyait le transfert de six avions, mais ce nombre est désormais porté à 12. La France recherche également des missiles et des solutions de formation, avec
1/ #Gaza map update #IDF despite really hard battle involving dismounting troops/Spec forces at night r allegedly breaking through to Gaza City center, but as we can't confirm it, we can still produce this map that is made on only verified locations (blue limits for IDF)
#Israel
2/ from yesterday evening. i also had direct infos that the area between the north south axis, west to the defensive walls (stripe areas) are indeed totally under complete surveillance. What i was just not able to figure out is if there is a junction with troops coming from Beit
3/ hanoun or not. Also infos from journalist i've translate seems to confirms all the geoloc that were assessed to make this map.
Actually what an israeli journalist said on the ground is that all the main axis are AT least under direct control up to 500m to be able to interdict