J. like JJ 🇫🇷 🇺🇦 Profile picture
Aug 31, 2022 19 tweets 14 min read Read on X
1/ Operational situation update regarding the #russian_invasion in #Ukraine on August 31, 2022.
-minor changes on the front line-
There is still some major operations in the initiative of Ukr in #Kherson area & Ru have some big losses right now.
#UkraineMap #CarteUkraine Image
2/ About #Kherson to #Mykolaiv area.. this is what the FEBA line could look like right now. i know it's not the most "sexy" map... but there is some areas where doubts remains -so best case scenario is red dot line.
There is for sure a huge push on the main axis to #Kherson but Image
3/ no visual confirmations yet as i can really tell. but we know that Ru this morning shelled #Oleksandrivka, #Lyubomyrivka, #Novomykolayivka, #Lupareve, #Chervonyi Yar, #Novohryhorivka, #Stepove, #Pervomayske, #Kyselivka (north), #Partyzanske etc
plus Ru indications on areas...
4/ on the #Kherson #Krivyyrih Rih axis.. also several changes as we had visual confirmation of part #Arkhangelske was at one point under Ukr control as other cities, but apparently some ru moves went the other way this afternoon so it's hard to be certain there. but close enough! Image
5/ the other very interesting point is the area around #Andriivka #Bilohirvka as it seems to be a major break through there, but one more time conflicting report for this area. best case scenario Ukr are advancing maybe (pincer move) to try to take #Davydivbrid . would be awesome
6/ Also about the #Bakhmut south situation, all the day major attacks happened but Ukrainian Defense Forces have repelled attempts to attack the enemy in the directions of Vesela Valley, #Bakhmut, #Zaitseve, #Mayorsk (black arrow - they try sometimes there) and #Kodema
#Ukraine Image
7/ last gen staff report of the day : ImageImage
8/ from this morning report : Ru units continued shelling from barrel artillery and multiple rocket launcher systems and jet strikes near #Dolyna, #Krasnopilla, #Bohorodychne & #Virnopilla
so i don't get the pseudo Ukr advance as it seems to be the same FEBA line there... Image
9/ In the Avdiivka direction, Ru fired mortars, tanks, barrel and rocket artillery near Avdiivka, Opytne, Umanske, Pervomaiske ...., tried to improve the tactical position in the directions of Krasnohorivka & Mariinka, traditionally suffered losses & retreated.
yep same map Image
10/ In the #Zaporijia direction, Ru is carried out shelling along the contact line. The enemy is regrouping units and units of the 3rd Army Corps on the temporarily occupied territory of the #Zaporizhzhia region with the aim of resuming the offensive in the specified direction.
11/ Quick thread on the losses of this last couple of days as it sounds really important in the Ru rank.
I wanted to explain that for a long time... i made a word script - you can read below the alleged Russians losses in Ukraine. ImageImage
12 A/ so here are my (partly) my thoughts about it. Image
12 B/ Image
12 C/ and that's it.
sorry it's not a full proper analysis of the subject but at the end of an 10 hours days, it's quite hard to do something more than a "correct" memo.
ok..; thank you! Image
13/ More pamphlets appeared in #Kherson. Partisans are adding some more pressure (and recently killed "figures proéminente" de la compromission avec l'envahisseur Russe (yeah i don't have it in English tonight..) Image
14/ #Ukraine AF looks still active! & teddy bear is still doing great job being wingman! amazin pics from last days - flew 16 missions, striking Ru ammo depots, hardware etc. #Geoloc would be great! ImageImage

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More from @HeliosRunner

Mar 1
Incredible leaks regarding #Taurus
1/
2/ #TaurusLeak reveals the complete breach of all secured protocol / incompetence of German officers in the #Luftwaffe - German gov is really mad about it right now. Also all intel services are all hands on deck right now.
3/ so allegedly "being wiretapped, conspiratorial telephone conference by the Bundeswehr leadership, they plan to trick the federal government regarding the 🇩🇪 cruise missile in order to bring about delivery. Goal? Among other things, the attack on the Crimean Bridge" (sic)
Read 24 tweets
Feb 6
voilà voilà... j'en ai encore parlé hier soir
(j'ai juste supprimer le post hier soir parce que j'avais trop de messages, mais il semble maintenant que tout le monde va être au courant)
Par contre bcp de choses sont encore à régler. ce n'est pas facile surtout en ce moment.. 1/ Image
2/ Paris et Kiev finalisent les préparatifs de la visite du président @EmmanuelMacron en #Ukraine, en se concentrant sur un accord pour que la France fournisse des avions de combat multirôles #Mirage 2000D. Le ministre ukrainien de la Défense, Rustem #Umerov, est attendu
@EmmanuelMacron 3/ cette semaine à Paris pour finaliser les accords avec le ministre français de la Défense @SebLecornu . Le plan initial prévoyait le transfert de six avions, mais ce nombre est désormais porté à 12. La France recherche également des missiles et des solutions de formation, avec
Read 5 tweets
Nov 8, 2023
1/ #Gaza map update #IDF despite really hard battle involving dismounting troops/Spec forces at night r allegedly breaking through to Gaza City center, but as we can't confirm it, we can still produce this map that is made on only verified locations (blue limits for IDF)
#Israel Image
2/ from yesterday evening. i also had direct infos that the area between the north south axis, west to the defensive walls (stripe areas) are indeed totally under complete surveillance. What i was just not able to figure out is if there is a junction with troops coming from Beit Image
3/ hanoun or not. Also infos from journalist i've translate seems to confirms all the geoloc that were assessed to make this map.

Actually what an israeli journalist said on the ground is that all the main axis are AT least under direct control up to 500m to be able to interdict
Read 14 tweets
Nov 7, 2023
1/ So actually here is how we have to "read it" :
"i don't give a damn fck abt palestinians, but as long as they all play in my hands (incl south Liban & Syria & Iran & Yemen) & that American are forced to stall their help toward Ukraine... i'm just super happy you idiots"
2/ there is no "friends" (out of best friends) for him, there is right now a HUGE amount of cards he can plays to create greater problems for people who are helping Ukraine.
between dozen millions of hebrew/jews around the world and BILLIONS of people he might use for his plan
3/ the "thinking process" was quite easy .
also never forget that there are lots of muslims in Russia and he certainly does not want right now, any problems with people he might need to send to the front line in Ukraine in order to serve as canon fodder Image
Read 10 tweets
Nov 3, 2023
#Gaza map update. #IDF has almost reached the main points of entry south of Gaza City, severing main LOCS to the southern Gaza Strip. Up north the situation is not that clear, but despite tremendous hard battles, it seems that they are able to still move forward
#Israel #Hamas Image
2/ in the meantime in lalaland Image
3/ also i do believe talking to a good friend of mine...
that this famous map with tunnels' sketches is really for kids
not saying they don't exist of course, but that the actual lines are really not looking like that ! Image
Read 18 tweets
Oct 28, 2023
1/ Tellement de choses à dire.... difficile de savoir par ou commencer.
en tout cas une chose est sure : il n'a pas de F-35 et le matos US du type F-16 serait vite inutilisable s'il veut jouer au con, et d'autre part, ses S-400... c'est de la m...
soit il n'a que de la gueule et
2/ c'est pour jouer la carte "oui mon peuple je t'ai compris et tu as milles fois raisons.." et il ne fait rien derrière que de gesticuler. Soit il ne veut pas passer pour une simple grande gueule et là concrètement il peut y avoir "un peu de sport" en perspective pour ts les
3/ occidentaux.

on pourrait se dire que c'est pour mettre une pression enorme sur Israel pour qu'ils arrêtent assez vite les bombardements et redonne des accès humanitaire etc
mais il faut tout de même écouter son discours
Read 14 tweets

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