Thread by @JBelcourt73

So yesterday was a bad day for Russia. Ukraine continues to make gains in near Kherson and is across the Sieverski-Donets and Inhulets rivers which would be bad enough, but France also made things worse by announcing that she would restart all her nuclear plants. This should make

a net energy exporter. Maybe that is why Peskov is suddenly signaling that Kleptograd is ready to "talk". With 200k+ losses (kia,wia,mia, contract breakers, pow and deserters), the impending loss of its conquest crown jewel, sanctions leading to an industrial collapse things

have not been trending in the right direction for some time. The combination of Ukrainian gains and European energy relief heading into winter is very bad news. It's a pickle for which there is little hope of relief. First, Ukrainian fires dominance at the operational level means

Ukraine can sanitize sections of the battlefield making it impossible for Russian ADA, EW, C3 and long-range artillery to operate. In particular, recently we have seen the impact on Russian EW and ADA assets with the return of the Bayraktar. These and other drones being able to

operate freely over Russian heads is going to make the winter unbearable. @JaysonGeroux has an awesome primer on drones (I'm not Canadian)😛

https://twitter.com/JBelcourt73/status/1566621658324127745?s=20&t=rKVewOBl_O1sCTSZdHFOeQ

Most of the examples he gives are of operations in regions that don't get cold enough to gel diesel. How do you hide when the foliage drops and the background temps are colder than the freezer you stole? How do you dig in once spotted into ground as hard as steel? In the past

smart commanders who saw the writing on the wall would start preparing now for the snows then. There would be major efforts to build up defensive lines, supply caches, laying telephone lines etc well back from where the fighting is, but where the defending commanders wanted it to

end up. Anyone think Russian commanders have the freedom of action to adopt a defensive mindset and build a defensive belt farther back? I rather doubt it, I think Putin still thinks he is an agent of destiny and will dither too long. He wants Europe to force a frozen conflict so

he can rebuild and give his army time to adapt to the new way of war it finds itself confronting. Maintaining western support for Ukraine not only means providing arms, but letting Ukraine use them to force defeat on the Russian army. Reach out to your leaders the way I reach out

to @JohnBoozman, @SenTomCotton and @RepFrenchHill and let them know you support Ukraine and will only settle for liberation not frozen death. Speaking of political support and more bad news for Russia, Liz Truss is the new PM. May she be as robustly behind Ukraine as

Boris Johnson was. Also, be honest, Boris Johnson will never have to buy himself a drink in any bar in Ukraine. For all his other foibles dude had a very clear understanding of what was needed to oppose Russia and did a lot of heavy lifting for the cause of liberty. We can do our

part as well. Our donations matter, I give to @MriyaAid, @Teoyaomiquu and as a #Fella to the @georgian_legion. There are plenty of worthwhile Ukrainian groups to give to. Speaking of #WeAreNAFO , @Kama_Kamilia was on the @MriyaReport yesterday. I got to ask him a very important

question: how many of us are there from the forgers? He estimates 3-5K from the forgers plus untold numbers from #Fella- who can self forge and avatar-less fellas. I don't know about you but my see a fella, follow a fella is not keeping up and I hit follow to everyone I see.

Our non-negotiable expansion is now behaving like a mini universe. Now matter how fast we follow we cannot find us all. Of course, this means the genociders will never be able to ban us all. That brings up another point and a very astute observation by @YAmzallagh that Russian

embassies have begun to cry uncle on the meme front and are now trying to post idyllic pictures of Russia rather than push an anti-Ukraine narrative. They are getting swarmed under. Except in this World War Z, the zombies are shiba inus and no wall they build can keep us out.

In closing: 1. Ukraine is advancing, 2. France is generating, 3. Winter is coming, and the ice king has drone dominance, 4. The UK now has another UA+ PM, 5. #NAFO is expanding and 6. Embassies and Peskov are crying uncle. These are 6 very good reasons to be hopeful today.

Until Ukraine wins on Ukraine's terms: Slava Ukraini. #RussiaIsATerroristState #GenocideofUkrainians #UkraineWillWin @mfa_russia <--- still losing but now with pictures of flowers and onion domes.

@threadreaderapp unroll please

Proper link for @JaysonGeroux's drone primer.

https://twitter.com/JaysonGeroux/status/1566524703581392897?t=0BApL6N_9PcikpK7SozjKQ&s=19