J. like JJ 🇫🇷 🇺🇦 Profile picture
Oct 3, 2022 16 tweets 10 min read Read on X
1/ Operational situation update/ #russian_invasion in #Ukraine on October 3, 2022
The situation is still evolving at fast pace in #Luhansk. Lots of reports that #UAarmy is still moving forward & ready to make junction to aim #Svatove . Ru did not prepared enough.
#UkraineMap
2/ so basically this time, it seems that Ru MOD was strong enough to explain to Putin that #Borova would live the same fate as #Lyman then Russians get out of Borova today & Ukranians are in the city now.
they are all moving to the next line of defense near #Svatove area
3/ up north close to the border i have no info to make a solid assessment of the FEBA. so i guess Russia would want to try to keep under control the famous P-66 to control all the axis to #Svatove , but on the other hand, Ukr are gaining control of all H-26 to the south, to join
4/ the other part of Ukr forces coming from #Borova now.
it's hard to say if they really want to try to keep Svatove - Kreminna axis as a "living axis" or if they just want to try to keep it as a "front line" to protect the real important one : #Troitske #Starobilsk #Luhansk
5/ if you need a reminder of "zone defense" i explained in different tweet couple weeks ago..
(i can't find the major one i did back then though)
but ... some infos ...like here :
7/ Situation is also evolving in the south in Kherson, but i will try to resume later or tomorrow. can't follow everything right now...
Good evening you all!
9/ Russian sources say that #Rubijne - #Svatove axis highway in #Luhansk is partly under Ukrainian control in some points and also here below : that #UAarmy ZSU are storming #Krasnorichenske.
10/ so actually i have to update my previous map as the entire area limits as we know it has also changed in the #Borova area.
this is right now what the FEBA line could look like & understanding it will move even further tonight.
Ru as explained several time, r now experiencing
11/ a total meltdown...1929 Krash like. They are at the point of "cascading" effects (like for the titanic), when nothing can reverse the trend unless massive natural defense line (or frontier) help them stop the UA progress.
12/ et d'ailleurs mon court échange à ce sujet avec Cedric il y a une heure de ça...
13/ wow.... if true quite "big news"
Russian would have been ordered to move out from #Svatove as the situation is absolutely not defendable right now, so they will move away (but we don't know th final limit of the trip)
14/ i had ready a super Topo Map to explain how #Svatove was going to be a "butchery" for Russians..
-insert sad kid image-
so here... just for the map lovers... in less than 48-72h it will not be of any use...
15/

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More from @HeliosRunner

Aug 11
1/ breaking !! Si l'on reprend la carte que j'ai faite il y a 2 jours (j'ai l'impression que ça fait 1 semaine), voici donc quel serait apparemment le nouveau "deal" (plus ou moins approximatif sur la profondeur du corridor) que Putin voudrait imposer à l'Ukraine :
Alors ds les Image
2/ faits cela voudrait dire cession complète et "signée en tant que telle par traité!" de l'ensemble de l'Oblast de Donestk contre à peu près l'equivalent en terme de territoire des Oblasts de Kherson et Zaporijia, MAIS en laissant libre accès à la Crimée, pour les Ru du Donbas,
3/ par le biais d'un corridor (là je ne sais pas la largeur, mais en cherchant sur les tg Ru d'officiers que je suis) il semblerait qu'il faudrait qu'ils aient une profondeur stratégique suffisante en cas d'attaque des UKR dnc ils demanderait un retrait de qq 10aines de km
Read 6 tweets
Aug 4
About Trump's Move :
1/12 Trump just blasted India for buying Russian oil and "not caring abt Ukraine deaths," announcing major tariffs. But his selective outrage and convenient timing reveal this isn't about Ukraine at all. Here's what's really happening.
2/ This morning, China essentially told Trump to pound sand (GFY) regarding his threats. Yet Trump focuses his rage on India - a democracy and strategic partner - while giving China a pass. If this was really about Ukraine, why not target the bigger Russian oil buyer first?
3/ Perfect Timing for US Corporations. These tariffs come just as companies like Apple and others were eyeing India as their new manufacturing haven - cheap, qualified labor to replace China. Convenient how tariffs now create "pressure" for better terms for US corporate re-entry
Read 14 tweets
Jun 25, 2024
on this Assange release event...
(political choice before big next election)

let me put this link back here to show you that Ru were also already there for "long shots" way back then...
Network/ppl level/influencers/media/politics/"hacktivists" etc etc

bbc.com/news/technolog…
2/ #Assange is a Ru asset from day one (ok maybe day 2 lol) but that's all he is
foreignpolicy.com/2017/08/17/wik…
3/ also a must read for people who will say next "ho! i didn't know about that..

and keep in mind Mueller investigation cannot give you half of the extent of the reality as they never had access to all the CIA sources...
washingtonpost.com/opinions/2019/…
Read 4 tweets
Mar 1, 2024
Incredible leaks regarding #Taurus
1/
2/ #TaurusLeak reveals the complete breach of all secured protocol / incompetence of German officers in the #Luftwaffe - German gov is really mad about it right now. Also all intel services are all hands on deck right now.
3/ so allegedly "being wiretapped, conspiratorial telephone conference by the Bundeswehr leadership, they plan to trick the federal government regarding the 🇩🇪 cruise missile in order to bring about delivery. Goal? Among other things, the attack on the Crimean Bridge" (sic)
Read 24 tweets
Feb 6, 2024
voilà voilà... j'en ai encore parlé hier soir
(j'ai juste supprimer le post hier soir parce que j'avais trop de messages, mais il semble maintenant que tout le monde va être au courant)
Par contre bcp de choses sont encore à régler. ce n'est pas facile surtout en ce moment.. 1/ Image
2/ Paris et Kiev finalisent les préparatifs de la visite du président @EmmanuelMacron en #Ukraine, en se concentrant sur un accord pour que la France fournisse des avions de combat multirôles #Mirage 2000D. Le ministre ukrainien de la Défense, Rustem #Umerov, est attendu
@EmmanuelMacron 3/ cette semaine à Paris pour finaliser les accords avec le ministre français de la Défense @SebLecornu . Le plan initial prévoyait le transfert de six avions, mais ce nombre est désormais porté à 12. La France recherche également des missiles et des solutions de formation, avec
Read 5 tweets
Nov 8, 2023
1/ #Gaza map update #IDF despite really hard battle involving dismounting troops/Spec forces at night r allegedly breaking through to Gaza City center, but as we can't confirm it, we can still produce this map that is made on only verified locations (blue limits for IDF)
#Israel Image
2/ from yesterday evening. i also had direct infos that the area between the north south axis, west to the defensive walls (stripe areas) are indeed totally under complete surveillance. What i was just not able to figure out is if there is a junction with troops coming from Beit Image
3/ hanoun or not. Also infos from journalist i've translate seems to confirms all the geoloc that were assessed to make this map.

Actually what an israeli journalist said on the ground is that all the main axis are AT least under direct control up to 500m to be able to interdict
Read 14 tweets

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