Hello there!
At around 5 AM Fire breaks out on bridge linking Crimea and Russia, causing ‘significant damage’ / even total destruction some claims.
#Kerch bridge
At around 5 AM Fire breaks out on bridge linking Crimea and Russia, causing ‘significant damage’ / even total destruction some claims.
#Kerch bridge
2/ there are other videos showing the direct explosion & it seems to show indeed the total destruction of the bridge.
on 2 "stills" pic we can clearly see that the part of the bridge that support road has been totally "cut" (square section). but actually even on the back another
on 2 "stills" pic we can clearly see that the part of the bridge that support road has been totally "cut" (square section). but actually even on the back another
3/ section has been cut, and the structure of the bridge itself has been deeply impacted (yellow arrow) indicating a total bending of the main structure.
so even if the other half part seems "untouch" it is very unlikely (totally) that this part could be use in near future.
so even if the other half part seems "untouch" it is very unlikely (totally) that this part could be use in near future.
4/ as we sees it, the engineers will have to remove at least 3 block section on each sides, and to replace them (as the construction is modular) maybe even more, depending of the damages that where spread along the structure.
so it is "fixable" but could take long months !
so it is "fixable" but could take long months !
5/ as for the railway part, it seems that some part of steal beams could have been severed and even some part bent in the process - but the fire could affect the true perception of reality here... so will have to wait for Ru reports.
but that's the most "important" part here...
but that's the most "important" part here...
6/ because for military purpose this is the main "link" to Crimea and then the main land.
so if the railway part is fixed in couple weeks, this might not be as "important" as it seems, but if structure has been weakened, then it's really good as it would imply months of repairs.
so if the railway part is fixed in couple weeks, this might not be as "important" as it seems, but if structure has been weakened, then it's really good as it would imply months of repairs.
7/ some people already had it on wiki.. lolol
8/ as some people are asking now...
is the chicken or the eggs that came first..
hard to say now. need more videos and evidence
(i'm just watching other videos now showing explosions of the citern carriage)
is the chicken or the eggs that came first..
hard to say now. need more videos and evidence
(i'm just watching other videos now showing explosions of the citern carriage)
https://twitter.com/olliecarroll/status/1578595663126069248
9/ Girkin has clearly his own issues 🤡🤡
of course...
of course...
https://twitter.com/JimmySecUK/status/1578643704402714625
10/ this is one of the other vid out there
footage of the #Kerch Bridge explosion circulating.
This is typical security camera footage of the moment of the blast, which Russia’s anti-terror committee claims was caused by a trunk that exploded. lower part of the bridge on "pause"
footage of the #Kerch Bridge explosion circulating.
This is typical security camera footage of the moment of the blast, which Russia’s anti-terror committee claims was caused by a trunk that exploded. lower part of the bridge on "pause"
11/ I've just watched new videos on TV right now, updated russian vid.
well the structure of the railway bridge has been clearly compromised and severed in some points. even some pillar could have been weakened.
so this clearly implies months to demolish and rebuild.
#Kerch
well the structure of the railway bridge has been clearly compromised and severed in some points. even some pillar could have been weakened.
so this clearly implies months to demolish and rebuild.
#Kerch
12/ but don't be confused it could be rebuild, potentially, by the system itself of the construction it can be rebuild.
Now the next question is : will Ukraine let Russia rebuild it (spoiler alert no)
or will it use several other missiles to stop the rebuilding of say bridge...
Now the next question is : will Ukraine let Russia rebuild it (spoiler alert no)
or will it use several other missiles to stop the rebuilding of say bridge...
13/ so it's going to be interesting to see if Putin order the reconstruction of this part, or will just acknowledge the fact that it is destroyed and like for Snake island will just "leave it" as it is...
14/ Now as for the explosion itself..
here is a frame of a 10th of second before the explosion
on the bridge & i point here the truck that is called to be "responsible" and the train that was waiting on top of the railway bridge
here is a frame of a 10th of second before the explosion
on the bridge & i point here the truck that is called to be "responsible" and the train that was waiting on top of the railway bridge
15/ and this is how the light appears 10th of second after.
this is indicating another source of light that is clearly appearing on the film. and it does not seems to come from the truck.
and in the next one we are "blind" (still within the 3rd sec)
this is indicating another source of light that is clearly appearing on the film. and it does not seems to come from the truck.
and in the next one we are "blind" (still within the 3rd sec)
16/ and 5 frames later, we start to pick up the scene again and then we have multiple sources of same "energy" so it is quite hard to say, what was the exact source of first blow.
and at this point the next question is more , what kind of missile was used..
and at this point the next question is more , what kind of missile was used..
17/ so was it new missiles delivered by USA, mounted on jet fighter and then a typical attacked occurred (did they had intel that this fuel convoy was stuck on the railway bridge? and decided to have a swift operation in order to maximize the impact) or did they use another type
18/ of cruise missile (as i explained several time, that they have one, like they did on #Saki ! )
the only point is that this is a major major explosions here, not only a 250kgs explosion. we are more in the 500kg minimum "area" maybe even more.
the only point is that this is a major major explosions here, not only a 250kgs explosion. we are more in the 500kg minimum "area" maybe even more.
19/ why as i said it could not be the famous "truck" simply because of this image : (still tens of a second on the first image that appears after explosion)
imagine the said truck with 500kgs or a ton of explosives inside... you would not see it coming through like that.;)
Also
imagine the said truck with 500kgs or a ton of explosives inside... you would not see it coming through like that.;)
Also
20/ we can still picking up the source of energy (after balls of explosions)
and it is still link to first places where the light occurs in the first place...
So the explosion impacted the train that exploded and blew up other parts of the bridge.
but this is NOT mines under
and it is still link to first places where the light occurs in the first place...
So the explosion impacted the train that exploded and blew up other parts of the bridge.
but this is NOT mines under
21/ the train (partisans small actions)
and this is also not, as some "magazines" start to explains the famous water drone that would have come from above as the images and expected would have been absolutely different.
the railway convoy would not have suffered anything similar
and this is also not, as some "magazines" start to explains the famous water drone that would have come from above as the images and expected would have been absolutely different.
the railway convoy would not have suffered anything similar
22/ also there is this other videos that is pointing out under the bridge in the area and as we clearly can see after the explosion, this was not an explosion coming from under the road bridge or coming from under the train bridge (which would also not be consistent w evidences)
23/ this is the first image (still) that is coming after the blast, to confirm all i already said about it here.
Also the result on infrastructures would not have been the same if explosions would have come from below..
so let's stop right there this nonsense here..
Also the result on infrastructures would not have been the same if explosions would have come from below..
so let's stop right there this nonsense here..
24/ so as i explained back in #Sacki
there could be one (or 2 missiles? but hard to tell), the first one exploding just above the first part of the bridge and creating this famous "ground" effect.. destroying the infrastructure, and then hitting the fuel
https://twitter.com/HeliosRunner/status/1564190641122320384
there could be one (or 2 missiles? but hard to tell), the first one exploding just above the first part of the bridge and creating this famous "ground" effect.. destroying the infrastructure, and then hitting the fuel
25/ convoy and then creating a direct explosion (the first one on the bridge is not that big actually... but other parts exploded and fires picked up on the structure. (rewatch first vids of the thread)
So right now, that's about it about the explosions. more later.
So right now, that's about it about the explosions. more later.
27/ Apparently some other images would show that this was indeed a truck absolutely loaded with explosives, and coming from the Russian side...
that would have exploded, just in "front" of the fuel convoy...
i don't have these images... for now
that would have exploded, just in "front" of the fuel convoy...
i don't have these images... for now
28/ so this would be the famous truck
that was "exploded" (but a lot of question then.. as it would implies some sort of "kamikaze" that would nicely fit into the "terrorist" narrative that Russian are building up right now -how convenient! right!?)
a poor lad loaded with explos
that was "exploded" (but a lot of question then.. as it would implies some sort of "kamikaze" that would nicely fit into the "terrorist" narrative that Russian are building up right now -how convenient! right!?)
a poor lad loaded with explos
29/ explosives, & not aware of such explosives, but then you need OR someone following the convoy to detonate it at the right locations (here not) or detonated after hacking surveillance system to trigger at the right moment, or with a GPS track inside truck.
lots of questions.
lots of questions.
30/ Quick note:
some people "laughing" at russian "building" things so fragile. it is not, and you can't compare with GMLRS impact like needles into a skin compare to a blast effect like the one on Oklahoma Bombing on FBI building.
this Kerch bridge is (was) a totally normal one
some people "laughing" at russian "building" things so fragile. it is not, and you can't compare with GMLRS impact like needles into a skin compare to a blast effect like the one on Oklahoma Bombing on FBI building.
this Kerch bridge is (was) a totally normal one
31/ also people claiming it comes from the train, is also of course totally false. does not fit any evidences. none. zero. rewatch all recent vid if needed. the convoy is not even dislocated or "moved" aside, or bend etc...
And that's it for now.
And that's it for now.
32/ well ... told you...
33/ i've just watched another vid and enhance pic from a old friend of mine that has special equipment. and it seems indeed that the source of explosion is the truck i point out some tweets ago.
Also this still image from early morning shows the exact consistency with location
Also this still image from early morning shows the exact consistency with location
34/ Also a structural engineer confirmed me that it could totally be possible to rebuild all these part as they are build on purpose as "module" . but hard job, and not "fun" to do if you are expecting missiles to come on your head while doing the job..
let's see how this goes
let's see how this goes
35/ this is allegedly the truck that is presented as the one transporting the explosives.
now stupid new theories (or i should say people talking with zero knowledge of anything) have emerged that "strange" that the truck was not more "inspected"
lolololol is my first answer..
now stupid new theories (or i should say people talking with zero knowledge of anything) have emerged that "strange" that the truck was not more "inspected"
lolololol is my first answer..
36/ very easy to order a transport to a location in Crimea, fill it with a pre "arranged" palets of explosives appearing as simple "goods" palets.. put in the front - and load some more regular goods in the back so inspections when coming from Ru is almost Zero & this is normal.
37/ Also it was the best choice to carry massive explosives without risking any kind of interception by Jet fighter or else.
what we still don't know what kind of devices they used to start the explosion with the right timing, and also what kind of explosives..
but here too..
what we still don't know what kind of devices they used to start the explosion with the right timing, and also what kind of explosives..
but here too..
38/ no need to "invent" crazy stuff. you don't need to be in possession of tons of C4 in Russia.
you can make quite easily some loads of TATP and complete it -if necessary- with some other types of explosives.
TATP is quite known but for my french audience with no clue about it
you can make quite easily some loads of TATP and complete it -if necessary- with some other types of explosives.
TATP is quite known but for my french audience with no clue about it
40/ Also... no he does not have to be suicide!
sorry to break reality for you but this is war, and the ones who have organized this might have decided to just kill one more person.
(also other killed on the bridged)
sad but very "basic".
sorry to break reality for you but this is war, and the ones who have organized this might have decided to just kill one more person.
(also other killed on the bridged)
sad but very "basic".
41/ but of course..
we are happy to learn now that Ru had planned - back in the day- an entire system of systems, for the protection of the bridge!!
Awarded best protection in the world (by russian themselves) for an actual infrastructure !
IMPENETRABLE !
we are happy to learn now that Ru had planned - back in the day- an entire system of systems, for the protection of the bridge!!
Awarded best protection in the world (by russian themselves) for an actual infrastructure !
IMPENETRABLE !
42/ yeah thanks for mil friends to complete info..
you can go ANFO there too
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/ANFO
you can go ANFO there too
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/ANFO
43/ some people are showing enhanced vid color like
@Zacken shows here.
and it would show first idea of "missiles"
ok for me, i have no preferences.
but some imagery specialists explained this could also be artifacts pb with camera sensors / compressing
@Zacken shows here.
and it would show first idea of "missiles"
ok for me, i have no preferences.
but some imagery specialists explained this could also be artifacts pb with camera sensors / compressing
https://twitter.com/Zacken/status/1578689317253263360
44/ recording (interlinking half images) so when you enhanced it.. well you just show bigger time what you wanted to be confirmed in the first place..
but could be true. i'm really find with this if true.
but then it raises more problems.
if we take the supposed hight of explo
but could be true. i'm really find with this if true.
but then it raises more problems.
if we take the supposed hight of explo
45/ sion...; and then a single one there it would mean 100 ft high (so this is a stupid bomb suddenly as it does not hit the bridge or just above) and this would mean not 500kg - 1t of explosive but 2 to 5 tons of explosive.
46/ and then you would not have "only" few wagons that would have been directly hit by the massive explosions!
and the one aside not receiving any kind of "debris"
impacts from any projectiles a missiles would directly inflict to the said wagons.
and the one aside not receiving any kind of "debris"
impacts from any projectiles a missiles would directly inflict to the said wagons.
47/ another possibility would be 2 cruise missiles with 500kg load, exploding almost simultaneously
(back to one of my images) collapsing the bridge in 2 places and impacting by over pressure the fuel wagons and then some exploded, some not (like cars do on "hot New years") but
(back to one of my images) collapsing the bridge in 2 places and impacting by over pressure the fuel wagons and then some exploded, some not (like cars do on "hot New years") but
48/ the bridge collapsing on 2 parts is only to understand without that. the first explosion pushed the entire structure downward and pull parts of "modules" linked to it.. hence pulling down the road to the sea.
also only ONE blast on train bridge pillars !!! not 2 !
also only ONE blast on train bridge pillars !!! not 2 !
49/ anyway now i stop for good and will come back if something really new or confirmed by UKr officials.
and dont ATACMS' me on that one or i'm going to really get mad this time.
and dont ATACMS' me on that one or i'm going to really get mad this time.
50/ so there was this info that the passage / control of the Bridge was highly secured, right?!
but that's the "brochure" people!
that's not even for "real" all the time.
we just learn that Ru have some kind of "deal" with little mafia "traffic" to Crimea
but that's the "brochure" people!
that's not even for "real" all the time.
we just learn that Ru have some kind of "deal" with little mafia "traffic" to Crimea
https://twitter.com/nexta_tv/status/1578658153239306240
51/ and they normally just don't control all vehicles like trucks on the weed end, in order to let some "illicit" items going through the lines in order to "ease" military & their families there.. etc
so if Ukr tried several time to probe the control & had this time the perfect
so if Ukr tried several time to probe the control & had this time the perfect
52/ opportunity to send a vehicle full of explosive... it would explain the result.
size the opportunity. Volodymyr POSELSKYY from INAlco reported that tonight on national TV, after he studyed several reports & vids and more reports that came out from Ru today. Ru r mad right now
size the opportunity. Volodymyr POSELSKYY from INAlco reported that tonight on national TV, after he studyed several reports & vids and more reports that came out from Ru today. Ru r mad right now
53/ tomorrow i'll show & explain
100% sure why this has nothing to do with a "loch-ness boat" under the bridge.
and it's really easy to show & demonstrate actually...
100% sure why this has nothing to do with a "loch-ness boat" under the bridge.
and it's really easy to show & demonstrate actually...
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