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Oct 14 • 4 tweets • 2 min read
#TSKarl vs the Tehuantepecer
GFS3's latest prognostications on the Karl vs the Tehuantepecer battle. Karl gets shoved through the Tehuantepecer wind gap by an arctic blast, and then it all happens again....
.. and then a strong wind blows in from the North followed by an even stronger wind from the East that curls up through the Tehuantepecer wind gap, and whips a hurricane up over Mexico City, on a positive side it also, mercifully, blows away a lot of the rain clouds.
In the final chapter of the latest edition of the GFS3's Tehuantepecer diaries something resembling normality returns in the form of a large high pressure system surrounded by clouds which may look impressive from a satellite.

The end.

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More from @althecat

Alastair Thompson Profile picture
Oct 16
No the IC does not have a choice to make. You have a choice to make. Whether to sue for peace or not. Unfortunately this evenings statement is unclear.

This statement clearly undermines what you said in the previous statement. Which was different.

You need to make up your mind. Image
To spell this out.

"The IC has a choice to make"

&

"We also call on the IC to...."

Are not the same. Words matter. Also the party you are negotiating with is not the IC. It is the legitimate democratically elected and constituted Govt. of Ethiopia.
The assumption that anyone with a clue about this war and TPLF will make from this dissembling is:You are on the threshold of being defeated and you are yet again seeking someone to rescue you.

This will not happen. What can happen is a cessation of hostilities & talks.
Read 5 tweets
Alastair Thompson Profile picture
Oct 16
#ExtremeWeather #ClimateChangeNOW update THREAD (ongoing coverage)

While Tropical Storm #Karl is finished, the #ExtremeWeather event associated with #HurricaneJulia and #TSKarl is not yet over.
In the animation above you can see the end of #TSKarl #Karl as it, like its parent storm #HurricaneJulia was pushed through the Tehuantepec wind gap into the Gulf of Tehuantepec in the Pacific. Image
This animation pics up the story over southern Mexico's Pacific coast this afternoon and evening and shows several convective bursts over land. The one at the end on the bottom left hand side is directly over Acapulco.
Read 13 tweets
Alastair Thompson Profile picture
Oct 16
#ExremeWeather #ClimateChange continuing event coverage initiation.

Vietnam has just seen landfall of a huge Tropical Storm - and now three more cyclones are forecast to follow the same path. The first being #Nemeng. Another slow wet giant storm. Image
Yesterday Typhoon #Sonca made landfall in Vietnam as a Tropical Storm - the 25th named storm of 2022. #Sonca was a huge slow moving wet behemoth like #Ian and #Julia (ATL). This characteristic has been a pattern with many post equinox nth. hemisphere storms. Image
#Sonca has also reportedly caused 4 fatalities already - but the event has only just finished.
Read 8 tweets
Alastair Thompson Profile picture
Oct 15
Why do @StateDept @AsstSecStateAF and @StateDeptSpox simply call directly for what is needed. A TPLF called request for a cessation of hostilities and a return to peace talks. This the only path tto stop the killing. Peace is in the TPLF's gift.
@StateDept @AsstSecStateAF @StateDeptSpox The TPLF cannot win this war of seccession, everyone knows this except the TPLF and their Egyptian allies - but nobody says it to them? Why? There is only one path to peace but even now the both-sidesism continues. This was is and always will be a war of choice started by TPLF.
Preparations are now needed by both Ethiopia and the IC for a plan to win the peace. The people of Tigray have been traumatised - they have been told daily for two years that Ethiopia wishes to kill them all - i.e. #TigrayGenocide, which is not true and never has been.
Read 7 tweets
Alastair Thompson Profile picture
Oct 14
[#ExtremeWeather #ClimateChangeNow DATA ANOMALY THREAD – Central & North America]
In this thread I release five sets of data which appear to show atmospheric geo-engineering over North America at unprecedented scale, seemingly for the purpose of keeping hurricanes away.
During observations of #Invest91L #HurricaneJulia & #TSKarl in Central America there was an issue elephant sized mystery in the room – a tangential one, namely what is going on with the Arctic?
The constant impact of a the endless series of arctic blasts on forecasts came particularly obvious when hurricanes in both the Atlantic and Pacific were shown in a forecast moving south in model forecasts.
Read 33 tweets
Alastair Thompson Profile picture
Oct 13
#CentralAmerica #ExtremeWeather update thread.

Sunrise over #Karl is imminent. Its going to be another interesting day I think. Image
Image
1. Sunrise on Karl, it may be a trick of the early light but I can see a larger low level circulation that fully surrounds the 2nd larger part of Karl.

2. The second image says where we are supposed to be now in the model timeline and it certainly looks about right. ImageImage
Read 19 tweets

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