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Alastair Thompson Profile picture
@althecat
Oct 16, 2022 • 8 tweets • 7 min read • Read on X
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#ExremeWeather #ClimateChange continuing event coverage initiation.

Vietnam has just seen landfall of a huge Tropical Storm - and now three more cyclones are forecast to follow the same path. The first being #Nemeng. Another slow wet giant storm. Image
Yesterday Typhoon #Sonca made landfall in Vietnam as a Tropical Storm - the 25th named storm of 2022. #Sonca was a huge slow moving wet behemoth like #Ian and #Julia (ATL). This characteristic has been a pattern with many post equinox nth. hemisphere storms. Image
#Sonca has also reportedly caused 4 fatalities already - but the event has only just finished.
But what is inthe forecast is potentially a lot worse for the Gulf of Tonkin area. The GFS long range model is forecasting two more tropical storms/typhoons to follow the same path as #Neneng #NenengPH aka #Nesat
The animation above shows 16 days of IWVT (Integrated Water Vapour Transport) this animation shows the raw Precipitatable data forecast.
IMPORTANT QUALIFICATION: Beyond five days simulation accuracy is not that great in complex situations like this involving massive amounts of atmospheric water - and the 2nd two storms at present exist only in the model at the moment & could take different paths or not form.
However the situation does look very dangerous - and deserves a close watch. The second and third storms are currently expected to be forming around the time that #NenangPH/#NenengPH/#Nesat is making landall in Vietnam on October 24. Image
This is the latest rainfall solution from the @NOAA GFS3 model.

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More from @althecat

Alastair Thompson Profile picture
Oct 3
This made me cry …. Tears streaming down my face. This is so very sad.

#Gazaunderattack
#GazaUnderFire
If @realDonaldTrump chooses to join Netanyahu’s genocidal campaign if he is not obeyed …. he WILL find himself indicted in the international criminal court in The Hague.

And he will then have to make a decision on whether he is willing to remain in the U.S.
@realDonaldTrump Should he proceed as he has intimated that he should now be pursued by protestors everywhere he goes.
Read 7 tweets
Alastair Thompson Profile picture
Sep 26
🔴 Al Jazeera English FLASHBACK| Live via @YouTubeyoutube.com/live/gCNeDWCI0…
Immediately after this speech NETANYAHU ORDERED AIR STRIKES ON LEBANON
From the inside the global forum of all of the UN Building.
Read 6 tweets
Alastair Thompson Profile picture
Sep 26
The best outcome of this would be if it turned into a Dunkirk result for the injured and wounded of Gaza to be taken to Europe for medical treatment.
There is a lot of concern about evacuations of civilians from Gaza in the flotilla as anyone leaving may not be able to return any time soon. /2
But the moral hazard here is palpable. There are thousands of injured and starving mostly women and children. And we saw the young babies dying in the hospitals in the early stages of this war. /3
Read 5 tweets
Alastair Thompson Profile picture
Sep 25
More and more naval vessels from Europe and the Middle East are being deployed to protect the Global Samir Flotilla as it moves slowly but surely towards Gaza where it intends to deliver aid and global attention. /1
Attacks from drones on the flotilla have resumed and Israel is presumably responsible for this. It is because of this that naval vessels from Europe are now joining the flotilla to protect their citizens rights of travel in international waters. /2
The escalation appears fairly slow at present and the flotilla is still within Greek waters at present /3
Read 9 tweets
Alastair Thompson Profile picture
Sep 22
The #Samud #GazaFlotilla is currently sailing across the Ionian Sea towards the island archipelago south east of Athens in the Western Mediterranean. Conditions appear good for this leg that departed from Sicily after leaving Tunisia. The Flotilla set off from Barcelona. Image
2/ this current leg is 860 kms roughly and lead boats in the 51 vessel flotilla are currently approaching south western Greece. You can follow the flotillas progress here >> flotilla-orpin.vercel.appImage
Image
3/ After two drone attacks on flotilla boats in Tunisia the flotilla sailed first to Sicily where it was joined by several more boats. And this map shows the path of the flotilla so far. The numbers in the dots indicate more vessels joining #GazaFlotilla Image
Read 8 tweets
Alastair Thompson Profile picture
Sep 21
The weakness of the uk prime minister is palpable. Astonishing. Pathetic.
Posting my reply again after X just quarantined my first draft by some digital voodoo
The uk is the primary transporter of materiel to Israel. And has been continuously since October 7th
Read 5 tweets

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