1/🧵: Call for @MacroVoices ATOMIC ENERGY guest recommendations
This thread will lay out my editorial objectives for bringing one or more atomic energy experts on @MacroVoices to discuss the future of nuclear energy and the formative global energy crisis.
@MacroVoices 2/ I am convinced that the formative global energy crisis will finally FORCE the world to grow up and recognize that nuclear energy has always been the greenest, safest, and most renewable source of energy to power the global economy.
IMHO, the light water, site-built reactors of the 1970s have to go. Despite that nuclear is statistically the safest form of energy, it could be a LOT safer if we got rid of designs susceptible to meltdown, no matter how small the risk.
@MacroVoices 3/ Further, MOST of the reason the nuclear power trend of the 70s was an abject FAILURE had to do with massive cost- overruns on huge public infrastructure projects wrought with corruption and graft.
Nuclear reactors should be built in factories with super high quality standards
@MacroVoices 4/For INVESTORS, the big question is "Ok, if the Westinghouse-style light water reactors of the 1970s have to go, what's going to be the big winner and how do we invest in it now?"
I have no clue what the answer is. Goal of the thread is to identify who does.
@MacroVoices 5/I'd prefer to AVOID guys who feel sure THEY have the answer. Those will be interesting interviews eventually. But I want to start with experts who are on top of ALL the many technologies and designs, who can objectively compare what Gates is doing with Natrium to what someone
@MacroVoices 6/else is doing with micro-reactors vs. what still another team is doing with (something I don't know about yet).
Who are the best experts in the industry to explain the "Future of Nuclear Energy" to investors?
I've already gottena few recommendations for "Uranium Insider", and
@MacroVoices 7/early replies to this thread before it's even finished seem to be reaffirming that.
Remembering this is for INVESTORS, not nuclear design engineers, who are the best guests we should invite to lay out a roadmap for where nuclear power generation technology is headed in coming
8/years?
I'd prefer to AVOID guests who have a strong "I know the answer" bias, and favor guests whose attitude is "I don't know who will win the great competition, but I see the following players as favorites for the following specific reasons..."
9/ I'd also favor guests with a strong understanding of the capital formation process.
There have always been smart nuclear scientists who knew all along that nuclear was the safest greenest form of energy, LEAVING THEM BAFFLED as to why the sector wasn't getting the CAPEX it
10/deserved.
Those guys don't fit my audience. I need people who are able to see WHY the whole public attitude toward atomic energy is about to change, WHY capital investment trends will reverse, and know from an INVESTMENT perspective which designs will attract the most capital
11/ So those are the objevitves and criteria.
Who are your favorite picks (names of individuals) we should invite on @MacroVoices to lay out a nuclear roadmap of the 2020s for investors, and WHY do you think they're the best fit?
Thanks in advance for your suggestions!
/END 🧵
@MacroVoices ADENDUM/
Oops--looks like a tweet got lost between 2/ and 3/. But I think the overall gist of the thread is still clear.
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1/🧵 Tuesday was Sloppy Selling (Market Manipulation?) day in CL futs
This Tuesday's trading on $CLZ22 shown in 30-sec intervals. This is NOT NATURAL MARKET ACTION.
The market didn't "Sell off on news". Four separate DUMPS of >2000 contracts in 30 seconds starting at 08:45, and
2/ numerous other 30-sec bars with more than 1k contracts. ALL the big volume bars are RED.
In THEORY, clustered stop-loss orders being activated simultaneously could cause one of these, but no way I buy that explanation for all of them.
Someone with SERIOUS capital to
3/ sacrifice was pounding the market lower, on purpose from the looks of things.
I haven't yet taken the next step of digging into the time & sales charts for exact order sizes in those big red volume candles, but I have a strong hunch what I'd find.
2/ It's clear from several delegate comments that there is an organized effort afoot on OPEC+'s part to prime the market for a big production cut.
They started with "Maybe a cut", when that wore off they raisede to "Maybe a cut of a full MILLION barrels", then raised to 2mm bbl.
3/ So it's clear at least some OPEC+ delegates are working together to support the price.
But there are several nuances to this situation. The primary points to understand are underproduction and possibility of "voluntary" cuts by KSA and Russia beyond those agreed by OPEC+.
1/🧵
Glad you asked bc we need listener input on best guest(s) to cover this topic.
To your question of what the chances of another 2007-8 degree housing crash are in the face of rapidly increasing mortgage rates,
my absolute strongest conviction answer is that... (cont'd)
As I see it, the drivers for higher rates are stronger now than in 07/08, so in theory you could argue this time will be worse!
But I don't buy that argument. What REALLY went wrong in 07/08 was most of the defaulting mortgages should never have
3/ been made to uncreditworthy borrowers.
So IF you believe the industry corrected its bad habits and only made solid loads since 2010, the clear conclusion should be this time won't be nearly as bad because you don't have outright FRAUD exaccerbating a credit event.
Yesterday you suspended my account without warning because I tweeted an unredacted version of the below graphic containing my rejection of an interview invitation from @CNBC that was inappropriate to my professional focus.
@Twitter@elonmusk@CNBC 2/ First off, I want to publicly apologize to the @CNBC producer whose name and e-mail address I failed to redact before tweeting that graphic.
The rule I violated by doing that is a good rule, and I was wrong. I acknowledge fault for this mistake, which was inadvertent.
1/🧵: STOP BEING STUPID, PEOPLE! @elonmusk ISN'T TRYING TO BUY TWITTER.
To be sure, @elonmusk is the most talented and accomplished con man in American history, and that's made him the richest man in the world.
But look, he's not STUPID. This is an obvious misdirection, and I'm
@elonmusk 2/ astonished that anyone anywhere is foolish enough to be taking seriously the notion Elon is about to buy Twitter for upwards of $43mm.
For starters, even Elon doesn't have that much cash and would have to sell a lot more Tesla. He could raise that cash, but why?
@elonmusk 3/ Now don't get me wrong. I'm definitely persuaded that Elon is serious about taking over the market space of Twitter and controlling his own social media platform that does what Twitter does, but better and with less censorship.
1/🧵
I'm quite surprised by how many people seem to have misunderstood my entire point about the potential of a decentralized supranational global reserve currency.
Since Ryan was far more polite than the last guy to bring this up, I'll do a quick thread to elaborate.
2/ Let's draw an analogy to Bitcoin, since so many of you are so entranced by it.
What's so cool about bitcoin? Precisely as Ryan says here, it's the fact that the system is able to operate with no 'owner' or 'controller' who is in charge of the currency system.
3/ Now consider Robert Triffin's writings about reserve currencies (he called them parallel currencies).
Triffin's Dilemma states that the issuer of the global reserve currency MUST run a massive current account deficit in order to supply the rest of the world with its currency