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Paul Maidowski Profile picture
@_ppmv
Oct 17, 2022 • 40 tweets • 28 min read • Read on X
My ancestor Arthur Schlossmann founded the world’s first pediatric clinic in Dresden in 1898, bringing infant mortality from >50% to 22%. This @UniklinikDUS is dedicated “To the savior of the children.” Don’t expose kids to SARS-CoV-2 in school/hospitals. It’s NOT inevitable. 1/k Image
Some think we need to learn to “live with” COVID-19, a virus that causes paediatric lymphocytopenia. This is the equivalent of thinking in 1898 that we need to learn to “live with” 50% child mortality. - No difficult call. Any toddler understands this. 2/k saebi.isgv.de/biografie/Arth… ImageImage
German national and medical history is rich in historical parallels. - Another ancestor is pediatrician Albert Eckstein. 3/k rp-online.de/nrw/staedte/du… ImageImage
Many have better insights into the treatment of SARS CoV 2 by professional associations or western medicine, but anyone who reads widely will see we face profound problems. As one anecdote, this thread by @KinderdocNina. (Neurologists, not pediatricians, but you get the idea) 4/k
Why is there so little resistance to the “we have to live with Covid” idea. Exceptions on #medtwitter & other venues stand out. But the trend is dark. If you don’t know what I mean, read anything by @fitterhappierAJ & other scientists who warn clearly. 5/k easychair.substack.com/p/dont-worry-a… Image
I’m not qualified to tell which clinical picture is emerging, but even the small part of the literature I surveyed is alarming. - Many will claim that we need to learn to “live with” SARS CoV 2 no matter what. We know this because they have shown us over the past three years. 6/k
To be blunt, unless you see our warnings comprehensively disproven, follow the precautionary principle and assume that scientists, activists, organizers like @dbdugger are more right than wrong. We are heading for significant problems that few people dare even discuss so far. 7/k
We are not even doing the perhaps counterintuitive analysis yet that could serve as basis for planning & solutions. Bring difficult questions to the attention of the HCWs, scientists & policymakers in your lives. Too much is at stake not to focus now. 8/k uniklinikum-dresden.de/de/das-kliniku… Image
If SARS cov 2 questions are too subtle or complex to change policy in time, take Ebola, in many ways as good or a better parallel than HIV. Good luck minimizing this one. We keep coming back to Jay Forrester‘s correct observations on system dynamics and medicine. 9/k
System dynamics is „at about the same state of advancement that engineering was when MIT first opened its doors in 1865, or that medicine was in the late 1800s when the Johns Hopkins School of Medicine was established.“ moodle.nccu.edu.tw/pluginfile.php…
„We have as much to learn yet about high-order nonlinear feedback structures around us as those earlier professions have already learned about their fields in the last 150 years.“ —Forrester 2007

We should waste no more years on foreseeable & foreseen unforced errors. Good luck!
Don’t think we exaggerate. Learn from history and learn fast. 13/k Image
In case the above was too subtle. 12/k
I admit it’s incredibly complex in part. Yet societies overcame terrible odds before. Many of us can do so too now. 14/k
Between 1 in 13 and 1 in 30 adults already live with long covid (=chronic SARS CoV 2 infection) in the U.S. and UK. - This is what the most important graph looks like for HIV. No one can guarantee that SARS CoV 2 doesn’t behave in similar patterns. Image
Not even climate experts discuss what is obviously a climate-relevant event in human history and arguably a social tipping point. Only China, perhaps counterintuitively, is not in denial. Ask serious analysts and policymakers working on these question: What’s the plan? 16/k
If you struggle to explain what you see around you, even change in people you knew well, I recommend @1goodtern's clear-eyed views on human souls. I previously mentioned this for climate; (don't mind layout - old draft & links won't work). Reread Arendt. Image
@1goodtern I don't think we are quite as far gone as the first warnings, here by @sammy4723, could imply. Will we get there if we let SARS CoV 2 evolve unmitigated in the population? Without a shred of doubt. Should you learn and take precautions? I do. Be well. 18/k
@1goodtern @sammy4723 Most weird SC2 sequelae "can be traced back to excessive Complement activation. Nearly every one of them. I've come to think of Complement as a timekeeper; catching Covid makes the hands of the timekeeper's clock move much faster." May this image help. f/k
@1goodtern @sammy4723 wow. @GVDBossche was right about immune escape. But it does NOT follow that we should expose children or vaccinated or unvaccinated adults repeatedly or even once to an HIV-like virus that causes chronic disease in 1/6 and brain damage (SAND) in ~2/3. 20/k
@1goodtern @sammy4723 @GVDBossche What you do "to protect yourself has now become an act of defiance against this wretched system. If you've experienced the push back simply by trying to avoid infection you have stood up for what is right; the right to not be infected. The right to live." - Will be proven right.
@1goodtern @sammy4723 @GVDBossche This quote shows what many who are aware of the near-mythical powers of SARS CoV 2 now anticipate. I think it is correct in as far as the virus is concerned; for 'the (political) system' not because it is made up of people who are mostly well-intentioned but in over their heads.
@1goodtern @sammy4723 @GVDBossche A tale of two events in Berlin yesterday. This on climate migration and #LossAndDamage was great, with strong female panelists and a focus on feminist FP. I added some Covid remarks (had to leave early) but complexity is too high for them to register. 23/k
@1goodtern @sammy4723 @GVDBossche More important, the Auswärtige Ausschuss shows what I long warned would happen. #ZeroCovid/#清零政策 strategy and any German/EU response were not even mentioned - in a hearing on systemic rivalry with China. @MiRo_SPD @TErndl? bundestag.de/ausschuesse/a0… 24/k ImageImage
@MiRo_SPD @TErndl @oertel_janka quoted XJP but her talk at #TDI22 showed she doesn't understand zero Covid policy. By the next election, Sept 2025, everyone will know the nature of SARS CoV 2. Sadly it will be too late. If you invite uncritical experts this is what you get.
@MiRo_SPD @TErndl @oertel_janka Debate in regular (=secret) AA hearings is too little too late. Vast investment is needed NOW to eliminate Covid. I've been warning for 1000 days, but was too cautious at times. Here: assume SARS CoV 2, an HIV-like virus, establishes viral reservoirs. 26/k
If you want real expertise, then I would totally take up offers like this one. Very minimal anger at the millions of lives needlessly lost already - and MANY more on the way - so this is a good deal. I would not wait, because it can only escalate the longer we twiddle our thumbs.
What to do. (1) Take up this offer by @RealCheckMarker + likeminded scientists. We face a world of undiagnosed SARS brain damage in most people (SAND). It can be a highly nonlinear process. You don’t have decades left; even for the HIV equivalent (HAND) we have no therapies. 28/k
(2) The goal is to stop any viral reservoirs and prevent progression to severe disease. A Twitter friend recently said he recognizes me a healer, which is kind but really only applies to good souls like @dbdugger. Here he makes an observation many medical professionals may share:
(2a) It’s good to hear clear language. I respect Dr Fauci’s skill in navigating the jungle of US Congress & conflicting interagency interests & wonder why so few asked why he is being pushed out at the end of 2022. But we need more who are willing to warn clearly. @SmithInAmerica
Read this carefully. We are heading for a world in which childbirth will be a significant risk again in countries that didn’t prevent infection. Few people will be privileged enough to live long past retirement age. If that’s the world you want, keep going. If not, change course.
As activists tend to get suspended, be sure to save or screenshoot information useful to you (today @DonEford). I don't expect us to be suspended fast, but thought the same for Don. We may now face real problems. You've been warned. researchgate.net/publication/36… Image
@DonEford This is what we know. Tell me of any errors - happy to update as public health advice comes online. There's a wealth of knowledge that can be made accessible, if we care. Schools are key to transmission, so parents and children need to understand. 33/k Image
@DonEford You now know why I've long claimed not 'climate policy' but SARS-CoV-2 initiated climate mitigation. For 5-10 years we've been warning that decarbonization would occur one way or another, by design or by disaster. Choose the "design" way. Much more humane.
@DonEford What worries me most is the neurocognitive impact of SARS CoV 2. How do we know? Here a study on SARS survivors 15 years after infection. There were no reinfections - arguably a best case scenario. Consider what this means for infants and adolescents! 35/k
@DonEford We need to focus. It's a formidable governance challenge because those who govern us are likely THEMSELVES affected - recall, most with SARS cov 2 Associated Neurocognitive Disorder (SAND) will be asymptomatic and won't even suspect it themselves.

Link: nature.com/articles/s4141…
@DonEford (1) The MoCA test is free for students/academics/profs, affordable for others. Dan assures me his SAND version doesn't look like this 😂. If it may help, follow his trials. (2) Start here & read deep. (3) All this is raw & cutting edge, I'm sorry. Be well,
@DonEford I need to change format because our collective (at least my) current MO is out of proportion with the severity of the challenge. Still, you can support my work on Patreon (DM for paypal). - Let's get to the heart of this. Thanks all, be safe+well everyone! patreon.com/paulmaidowski
@DonEford Also, @DonEford and many others activist-researchers remain suspended. Don alerted me to the fusogenic superpowers of SARS-CoV-2. (Note the HIV parallel!) We tied ourselves in a tight knot.

@elonmusk, check this. What will you do? - One essential shortcut Image
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More from @_ppmv

Paul Maidowski Profile picture
Apr 8
Hybrid immunity was invented in 2021 to sell the idea of SARS-CoV-2 infections as a good. There is no literature pre 2021. The idea to infect the global population with a SARS virus, including all 2 billion children aged 14 yo and younger, didn't exist. scholar.google.com/scholar?q=%22h…


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Arijit documented this too. If you read the papers, it's a false analogy and poor reasoning.
You can repeat the same with "immune debt" or "immunity debt", the original flawed idea invented by French pediatrician Cohen in 2021, setting off the whole strain of argument. An incredibly effective PR campaign, less good science.
scholar.google.com/scholar?hl=en&…


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Read 6 tweets
Paul Maidowski Profile picture
Mar 11
1. Europe imports all its bamboo. Plantations on fallow land are one good option to slow climate breakdown and create sustainable jobs. Bamboo is incredibly fast and, unlike timber, active management improves climate and ecological outcomes. Merits focus, baustoff-partner.de/d/moso-reiche-…

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SARS-CoV-2 wasn't the last disruption to import based businesses. Our basic climate policy warning for seven years now. One of the reasons I'd encourage everyone to look into starting to grow Moso bamboo (phyllostachys edulis) or other suitable species in Southern Europe as well. Image
3. Terrestrial mammals and C4 grasses evolved and adapted below a threshold of 550 ppm. Earth will cross it within the lifetime of kids born today. - Bamboo is our most efficient C3 plant. Cenozoic CO2 proxy (CENCO2PIP) Consortium☝️ science.org/doi/10.1126/sc…



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Read 24 tweets
Paul Maidowski Profile picture
Feb 26
You need a scale for the collapse of 'doomsday' glacier Thwaites. Compare the past two years: iceberg B22a broke off the glacier in 2002 and gained legs in 2023, freeing Thwaites to flow into the sea over the coming years: here it is today—that's 3,000 km2 worldview.earthdata.nasa.gov/?v=-2442135.48…


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3600 square kilometers, for the mathematicians here Image
What Bob says
Read 9 tweets
Paul Maidowski Profile picture
Jan 14
Excellent paper @ejustin46 found. Only one major problem
Granted, few if any papers so far explain the Orf8 gene in beta-CoVs but never mind, that’s why you have twitter
The real problem: you cannot analyze SARS-CoV-2 OR compare it to HIV-1 without accounting for reinfections, current policy worldwide because no one bothers to plan for stopping them, ie #ZeroCovid, just as we have #ZeroHIV policy. Absurd.
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Read 4 tweets
Paul Maidowski Profile picture
Jan 9
SARS-CoV should be compared to HIV. They are the two best researched viruses in history. "Compare and contrast X and Y" is about the most common essay question in middle school language classes worldwide; people who want to prevent this have ill (no dad joke intended) intentions.
As AJ says, different opinions are perfectly valid here as long as people read carefully. It will get very complex. This is why as political scientist, to me learning from the policy & social parallels to the HIV/AIDS pandemic is paramount. Compare away,
The pre-ART HIV era is before me, so I learn from books and experiences. The central lesson of #UUU (#UequalsU) is: Empower the public. Help them make informed decisions.

It REQUIRES clear language as we speak, and public debate.

Good early thread by me.
Read 6 tweets
Paul Maidowski Profile picture
Jan 7
Don’t use Covid/LC. The real term in the literature since 2003 has been SARS survivors. It’s a SARS virus, so this require no rocket scientist, a Google search suffices. Wild how you minimize your own condition out of ignorance, friends. Worst social movement strategy I’ve seen.
Why bad? If you define LongCovid narrowly as the most extreme forms of ME/CFS or whatever, you minimize the 200+ symptoms recognized by WHO, marginalize all the hundreds of millions living with chronic infection, and slow public recognition, R&D & prevention. All around failing.
Just attended a toddler's birthday party: EVERY family reports kids constantly sick this winter, some severe/hospitalized, plus parents out, some month-long Covid + X infections. - As expected. - None of them understand this virus, thanks to ☝️ failing Covid advocacy and policy.
Read 5 tweets

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