Big Tech charts thread🧵🧵🧵visualizing fundamentals, less words, visuals say 1,000 words:
$META Free Cash Flow please, overview:
👉Price/Free Cash Flow
👉Free Cash Flow growth (year over year)
👉Free Cash Flow / share
👉Free Cash Flow absolute value
$SPY $QQQ #Stocks #Equities Image
$META Facebook capital allocation:
👉CAPEX fully deployed again: $27.6bn & 23.4% out of Revenues
👉Stock Buyback Yield at a crazy 15.2%
Food for thought ... thoughts ?
$SPY $QQQ #Stocks #Equities Image
$GOOG Free Cash Flow please, overview:
👉Price/Free Cash Flow
👉Free Cash Flow growth (year over year)
👉Free Cash Flow / share
👉Free Cash Flow absolute value
$SPY $QQQ #Stocks #Equities Image
$GOOG Google capital allocation:
👉CAPEX fully deployed: $30.2bn & 10.7% out of Revenues
👉Buyback Yield at a record 4.6%
Food for thought ... thoughts ?
$SPY $QQQ #Stocks #Equities Image
$GOOG total return & drawdown:
👉38.69% return since January 2020, still very good (Covid crash, war, energy issues, inflation, interest rates etc)
👉note: a higher current drawdown than $QQQ
Food for thought ... thoughts ? Image
$MSFT Free Cash Flow please, overview:
👉Price/Free Cash Flow
👉Free Cash Flow growth (year over year)
👉Free Cash Flow / share
👉Free Cash Flow absolute value
$SPY $QQQ #Stocks #Equities Image
$MSFT Microsoft capital allocation:
👉CAPEX deployed: $24.3bn & 12% out of Revenues
👉Buyback Yield not much as usual: 1.6%
Food for thought ... thoughts ?
$SPY $QQQ #Stocks #Equities Image
$NFLX Netflix Free Cash Flow please, overview:
👉Price/Free Cash Flow
👉Free Cash Flow growth (year over year)
👉Free Cash Flow / share
👉Free Cash Flow absolute value
Note for how long free cash flow was negative ... Image
$NFLX CAPEX aka capital spending:
👉CAPEX deployed: $462m & a small 1.47% out of Revenues ... food for thought ... thoughts ?
$SPY $QQQ #Stocks #Equities Image
$NFLX Total Return & Free Cash Flow / Share:
👉Note the crazy 7,646% parabolic run in price ... while free cash flow / share was still heavily negative ...
👉wasn't it all about free cash flow / share ? ...
$SPY $QQQ #Stocks #Equities Image
$NVDA Free Cash Flow please, overview:
👉Price/Free Cash Flow
👉Free Cash Flow growth (year over year)
👉Free Cash Flow / share
👉Free Cash Flow absolute value
$SPY $QQQ #Stocks #Equities Image
$NVDA NVIDIA capital allocation:
👉CAPEX deployed: $1.2bn & 4.3% out of Revenues
👉Stock Buyback Yield at 2.1%
Food for thought ... thoughts ?
$SPY $QQQ #Stocks #Equities Image
Big Tech
👉Operating Expenses & Free Cash Flow
🧐Growth firms need to spend to grow, right ?
How about internal clean-up/efficiencies ? Time for cost cutting? Then returns shall follow
🧐 Growth firms need also to deliver to investors Free Cash Flow $GOOG $MSFT $META $NVDA $NFLX Image
Big Tech: Operating Expenses 'alone'
$GOOG $MSFT $META $NVDA $NFLX
$SPY $QQQ #Stocks #Equities Image
Bonus picks:
$V Visa Free Cash Flow please, overview:
👉Price/Free Cash Flow
👉Free Cash Flow growth (year over year)
👉Free Cash Flow / share
👉Free Cash Flow absolute value
$SPY $QQQ #Stocks #Equities Image
$V VISA capital allocation:
👉CAPEX deployed: $970m & 3.3% out of Revenues: light business, right ?
👉Stock Buyback Yield at 2.95%, shall grow: they just announced a new 12bn buyback program ... 5.1 buyback left from current program.
Thoughts ? $SPY $QQQ #Stocks #Equities Image
$V Visa dividend overview Image
@CharlieMunger00 do you like this ? :)
Bonus pick (2):
$TSLA Tesla Free Cash Flow please, overview:
👉Price/Free Cash Flow
👉Free Cash Flow growth (year over year)
👉Free Cash Flow / share
👉Free Cash Flow absolute value
Loads of years of negative free cash flow, yet all short sellers got burned ... Image
$TSLA CAPEX aka capital spending:
👉CAPEX fully deployed: $7.1bn & 9.5% out of Revenues ... decreasing given high revenue growth
$SPY $QQQ #Stocks #Equities Image
$TSLA Tesla price return & short interest: once free cash flow was on the horizon, all short sellers vanished ... hard to be a short seller in general: limited upside, unlimited downside ... $SPY $QQQ #Stocks #Equities Image
$AAPL Free Cash Flow please, overview:
👉Price/Free Cash Flow
👉Free Cash Flow growth (year over year)
👉Free Cash Flow / share
👉Free Cash Flow absolute value
@GeorgeC1953 😉 Image
$AAPL Apple capital allocation:
👉CAPEX deployed again in abs terms $10bn & constant at 2.72% out of Revenues
👉Stock Buyback Yield at 3.86%
Food for thought ... thoughts ? @GeorgeC1953 Image

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More from @Maverick_Equity

Jan 17
✍️ The State of the US Economy in 45 Charts, Edition #2 is now live ... link in bio! Enjoy!

GDP, Job market, Consumers, Interest rates & yields, Housing, Inflation and Recession probability. Research via sleek charts that say 10,000 words ... Enjoy!Image
Structure and Toc ...

And now a thread🧵with the main highlights! Image
1) Q3 2023 real GDP increased at an annual rate of 4.9% (q/q) … not bad at all …

👉 Q3 increase driven by increases in consumer spending and inventory investment. Imports, which are a subtraction in the calculation of GDP, increased. Overall, 14 of 22 industry groups contributed to the Q3 increase in real GDP

👉 the 4.9% growth rate is more than double the 2.35% median in the last 20 years

👉 note also the 2007-2009 recession, and also the 2020 Covid down & up swing

👉 reminder: every 6-8 years we get a recession, it’s just the business cycle … things recover, having a plan for when (not if) it happens makes it easy to weather the stormImage
Read 43 tweets
Jul 30, 2023
$TSLA Tesla Total Deliveries since 2012 ... ramping up actually just beginning? Food for thought ... Image
$TSLA Tesla Model 3/Y Production
Quarterly data since 2020
CAGR: 61.00% Image
$TSLA Tesla Model S/X Production
Quarterly data since 2020
CAGR: 2.41% Image
Read 4 tweets
Dec 7, 2022
👉🧐Contrarian indicator = hedge fund equity market exposure which is now exceptionally low ... as during 2008 Lehman, 2012 EuroZone Sovereign Debt Crisis, 2020 Covid crash & now with higher rates, recession likelihood ... Thoughts? Food for thought ?
$SPY #SPX #Stocks #Equities Image
Complementary another contrarian metric & view:
👉CEO Business Confidence Expectations for the Economy & S&P 500
Thoughts ?
$SPY #SPX #Stocks #Equities Image
Another contrarian sentiment metric, Europe edition
👉economic expectations/sentiment is about 2007-2009 Lehman implosion levels and worse than 2012 EuroZone Sovereign Debt Crisis ... Image
Read 4 tweets
Oct 31, 2022
Big Tech Q3 key remark: %YoY change in operating margin, let that sink in!
$META -14.0%
$GOOGL -7.5%
$AAPL -0.9%
$AMZN -2.4%
$MSFT -1.7%
Big tech drag on the S&P500 / $SPY
$META $GOOGL $AAPL $AMZN $MSFT $NVDA $TSLA
Big tech drag on the S&P500 / $SPY: % price YTD and holdings weight
$META $GOOGL $AAPL $AMZN $MSFT $NVDA $TSLA
Read 7 tweets
Oct 29, 2022
$KR 🧵on a name not popular and not covered cause boring ... but makes money: +96% since January 2020, +5% in 2022 a year when not much worked ...
$SPY #SPX $QQQ #Stocks #Equities Image
$KR Free Cash Flow please, overview:
👉Price/Free Cash Flow
👉Free Cash Flow growth (year over year)
👉Free Cash Flow / share
👉Free Cash Flow absolute value
$SPY #SPX $QQQ #Stocks #Equities Image
$KR The Kroger capital allocation: Image
Read 4 tweets
Oct 28, 2022
$PLTR Q3 earnings preview🧵7th Nov:
Valuation since DPO: Price, Actual & Estimated Sales with Free Cash Flow switching positive:
👉when PLTR was making 1bn Sales & Sales estimates were 1.3bn, price = 44
👉when PLTR is making 1.74bn in Sales & Sales est are 2.09bn, price = 8.61🧐 Image
$PLTR Earnings History & Surprises:
👉actual EPS vs EPS surprise
👉1 day price % reaction ... if you feel like trading the stock and/or options during the Q3 earnings have this in mind ... Image
$PLTR Financials Actuals & Consensus:
Wall Street consensus expects:
👉$475m Q3 Revenues while for Q4 $507m with revenue growth just 21% and 17%
👉 1.9bn for 2022, 2.3bn for 2023 and 3bn for 2024 with revenue growth just 23%, 24% and 25% =🧐materially below management guidance? ImageImage
Read 10 tweets

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