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Oct 31 • 13 tweets • 12 min read
1/12 Update 🧵 about the suspected drone launch site in Mayak, Crimea.Two weeks ago i published an article about Mayak radar station in which research & sat. images showed Mayak radar station in Crimea was the most likely source of drone attacks on Odessa

2/12 in this 🧵 further evidence was found to support the claim of this being the launch point of the Shahed-136 drones, further information (#OSINT & #HUMINT) revealed that Iranian instructors/operators are also present at Dzankoj airport (read 🧵 ⬇️)
3/12 We were able to obtain new high res. 🛰 imagery(30 cm) from the Mayak site, which indefinitly proves the presence of the launchers there. It also shows the kind of setup they will probably use when they know they are out of reach of UA forces and under the umbrella of 🇷🇺 AD
4/12 to give you an idea,of what happens when we get new imagery, ⬇️ the image you would typicaly receive from the providers, as you can see the lighter bits seem "over exposed",using software you can correct this making it possible to get even more detail(see tiles on the domes)
5/12 Using this technique, we were able to positivly identify all of the assets on this base. As you can see in the image ⬇️ 3 different mobile radars are on-site, designed to detect low&slow flying objects (drones) which atm are the greatest threat for units in Crimea, together
6/12 with the NEBO-M radar complex(dome) they should be able to detect any air attack vehicles up to 300 km.More info on these radar systems can be found in the links below⬇️

radartutorial.eu/19.kartei/02.s…

en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kasta_2E

defence-blog.com/ukrainian-army…

en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nebo-M
7/12 Back to the launchers 😉 in the 🧵 published on 12 oct. We could see the 2 trailer like objects resembling the Shahed-136 launch vehicles (without the cab attached) which match the known size,with enhanced images,we were able to establish that the left trailer was sloped.
8/12 we were also able to distinguish the drone command vehicle which was placed just outside of the base perimiter & the camouflaged command & control center located next to it. A tent which could be the living quaters for the operators can also clearly been seen in this image.
9/12 we were able using known imagery of the drone launchers & command vehicle to establish their dimensions and they line up with the objects found in the imagery we aquired. Also we received #HUMINT confirming drone launches in this area in the period from 1st of oct.

#OSINT
10/12 the conclusion can be that operating these drones from here is a safe bet for 🇷🇺.It's out of range of anything 🇺🇦 has atm, and is well protected against drone and other arial attacks, due to the contingent of AD located nearby. Also the remote loc. makes SOF action unlikely
11/12 This is one of the reasons 🇺🇦 should get the capabillity to strike at these places, giving them ATACMS with a 300 km. range would enable them to hit these locations and protect their civillian pop. against these strikes that are terrorizing them.

#OSINT #ATACMSforUkraine
12/12 🛰 images are expensive (up to $30/km2). If you would like to see more investigations like these, and want to support our cause please consider donating to one of us, thanks 🙏

buymeacoffee.com/NLwartrack0

ko-fi.com/tehrhart
ko-fi.com/intelcoupsure
paypal.me/defmon3
@SESU_UA @DefenceU @DI_Ukraine @ChuckPfarrer @AndrewPerpetua @TrentTelenko @robert_bor @kromark @bradyafr @vcdgf555 @Orion__int @SehaRajvosa @bayraktar_1love @A_z_im @general_ben @PaulJawin @GeoConfirmed @secretsqrl123

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More from @NLwartracker

NLwartracker Profile picture
Oct 26
A little 🧵Based on reports from partisans and WEBINT and other #OSINT, we have put together a list of locations where Iranians have reportedly been spotted recently. Most of these sightings take place in Crimea, although also Belarus seems to be a hotspot
Russia is using the Ukrainian peninsula to launch Iranian-made kamikaze drones on civilian infrastructure in the southern part of Ukraine, main targets seem to be civilian targets such as the powergrid and municipal services.
Opuk Training Ground :
Partisan reports suggest that Iranians have been operating around this military facility. We were unable to observe any unusual activity in this area. However we will be keeping tabs on the area.
Read 13 tweets
NLwartracker Profile picture
Oct 19
Little 🧵 on the visits of Mr. #HIMARS to the town of #Beryslav ,Kherson oblast. The 🇺🇦 forces have been prepping the battlefield in the Kherson region for almost two months now. Destroying not only supply warehouses, but also C&C facilities around the clock. Starting off
29th of august when three targets the city admin, police complex & supply warehouse where hit simultaniously, resulting in the complete destruction of these. The police complex [Geolocation 46.83848, 33.42661] consisted of 3 buildings that were destroyed by a volley of missiles.
At exactly the same time, the municipal complex [Geolocation 46.83662, 33.42513] was hit resulting in the destruction of another 3 buildings, as can be seen the strikes were very accurated because also a building across the street was hit, no collateral damage can be seen.
Read 5 tweets
NLwartracker Profile picture
Oct 17
1/7 🧵 about the air defenses located at Dzankoj military airbase in Crimea. Due to the arrival of Iranian Sahed-136 drones me and other #OSINT researchers were looking at different loc. which could be used to launch these. #Dzankoj airbase was one of the most likely candidates.
2/7 Located about 300 km. from Odessa, it would be well in reach of the drones. However on the airbase it self we found no evidence of it being used to launch these attacks.What did stand out was a large contigent of airdefense units, S-300 & the more modern S-400 launchers.
3/7 While have a closer look, we discovered at least 10 TEL's (transporter erector launcher) at this location, as well as multiple state of the art radar systems connect to those systems. Also a large number of missile canisters can be seen. These are used for quick reloads.
Read 8 tweets
NLwartracker Profile picture
Oct 12
🧵 Since 13 september when UK intelligence reported iranian drones (Shahed-136) were active in Ukraïne since then many attacks occured, at first mainly in the Odessa direction & now all over the country. Because long range and mobility, launch locations would be hard to find
Strong indications were these attacks originated from Crimea, most likely from known mil. sites where they would operate without being spotted by civilians who could report the location to 🇺🇦 intelligence. After checking these sites all over Crimea we found something interesting
At the radar site of Mayak [45.346067, 32.523761] between 9 & 13 sept. 2 distinct white objects appeared. These objects measured 12×2.5 which seemed to match known images of the trailer. Also they seemed te be connected to a smaller object just outside the perimiter of the base.
Read 7 tweets
NLwartracker Profile picture
Oct 6
With 🇺🇦 advancing all over NE Kherson, and steadily closing in on Nova Khakova with the dam over the Dnipro river. Questions arise where could 🇷🇺 retreating forces try to make a stand. We have been monitoring this area and have seen an increase in activity around the dam.
As you can see 🇷🇺 have established a whole ring of defensive works, which they began building end of July. This makes lead to believe that they were allready getting ready for an eventual retreat & defense of the area. As can be seen the at the entrance road to the dam itself.
Just outside Vesele near the gas station on the E58 highway the town on the N side of the dam on the a large trench area can be seen as well as multiple vehicle dugin positions, these pos. are linked to pos. to the easteren side of town. This is probably the last line of defense
Read 8 tweets
NLwartracker Profile picture
Oct 3
Yesterday we got word of 🇺🇦 forces liberating Zolota Balka, right now however we can confirm that they secured the towns of Myroliubivka, Lyubymivka which had been contested since middle of august, also we have visual confirmation that 🇺🇦 troops entered Khreschenivka ⬇️
To do this 🇺🇦 forces had to break the 🇷🇺 defenses @ the T2207 highway around Petrivka. On 31-08 🇺🇦 forces tried to break the line here but failed, but managed to degrade defenses here,IMO this combined with interdicted supply routes let to the failure of 🇷🇺defenses yesterday.
The Zolota Balka def. where located on the hills east of town, with a view of the T0403 highway, harder to approach then the def. at Petrivka, as these were broken, Zolota balka became a pocket for 🇷🇺 forces, the only way out would be under 🇺🇦 fire covering the T-0403.
Read 6 tweets

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