1. #Ebola thread.
The numbers in the Ugandan outbreak are rising pretty rapidly. Last week this outbreak was the 11th largest on record. It's now the 8th. There's a fairly big gap between 8th and 7th, but I would not bet against this outbreak moving further up the top 10 list.
The numbers in the Ugandan outbreak are rising pretty rapidly. Last week this outbreak was the 11th largest on record. It's now the 8th. There's a fairly big gap between 8th and 7th, but I would not bet against this outbreak moving further up the top 10 list.
2. One of the reasons I think this #Ebola outbreak could get a lot larger is just the pace of the recent growth of cases & the presence of cases in Kampala. But also, the followup rate of contacts listed in the latest SitRep from Uganda is not great.
3. Uganda has been boasting a contact follow up rate of in the mid-to-high 90% range. It's down to 88%. And that's of the contacts they know if. If they are missing cases, there are more contacts they don't know of.
The bigger an outbreak gets, the harder this job becomes.
The bigger an outbreak gets, the harder this job becomes.
4. Last point: an explanation.
The numbers of #Ebola cases & deaths I used in the chart in my first tweet here include the 128 confirmed cases & 34 confirmed deaths Uganda announces, + 21 probable cases @WHO adds to the tally.
The latest SitRep is here: afro.who.int/sites/default/…
The numbers of #Ebola cases & deaths I used in the chart in my first tweet here include the 128 confirmed cases & 34 confirmed deaths Uganda announces, + 21 probable cases @WHO adds to the tally.
The latest SitRep is here: afro.who.int/sites/default/…
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