Recently, there has been coverage of Russian mobilisation of new troops for #Ukraine. There has been some chaos, but it has been an uneven process across many Russian #training depots. So I thought I would discuss what a modern military training system should look like. 1/25 🧵
2/ What is my background to talk about this? I was a soldier for 35 years & commanded at many levels including a combined arms Brigade. I also reviewed & led the @AustralianArmy training, education, lessons & #doctrine system in 2016-2017. researchcentre.army.gov.au/sites/default/…
3/ Before I get into the structural aspects, there are some key ideas underpinning military training: alignment with core institutional mission (combat), honest assessment, realism, adaptivity, doctrinal alignment, continuous learning & good resourcing. And excellent instructors!
4/ So, what does an effective, contemporary military #training system look like? First, it is a system that integrates training, education, doctrine and lessons. These are important pillars themselves but they must be connected and integrated through strategic leadership.
5/ Second, it has both individual and collective elements. This is important. Individuals must be ‘brilliant at the basics’ before they can fight as a team.
6/ As I wrote in my 2016 review of Australian Army training and education: “Training is a planned process that inculcates and modifies knowledge, skills and attitudes through learning experience to achieve effective performance in an activity or range of activities….”
7/ “It ensures that personnel can apply standard solutions to predictable circumstances; that is, they can deal with a familiar problem in a familiar context.” Training is for the known. Education, however, is for the unknown and unpredictable.
8/ Also from my 2016 review: “Education develops thinking processes that allow trained individuals to make connections between their training and the situations in which they find themselves in order to apply the best course of action to the situation.”
9/ “Education broadens an individual’s horizons, allowing training to be assimilated more quickly and with greater understanding. Education helps develop individuals and leaders who can think, apply knowledge, solve problems under uncertain or ambiguous conditions…”
10/ “…and communicate these solutions. Through education, soldiers find reasoned & viable solutions to complex & unanticipated situations...they can deal with complex problems in unfamiliar contexts.” The trick in military learning is the right blend of training & education.
11/ An individual training and education system is a continuum. Individuals undertake basic training, progress to specialist training (infantry, engineers, armour, logistics, etc) and then are allocated to a unit where they use this individual training.
12/ For officers, this is similar although the type of basic training also includes leadership development, tactics, admin, logistics and other elements of leading soldiers and other military personnel.
13/ For both soldiers and officers, they require ongoing development as they become more experienced and as they demonstrate capacity to assume more responsibility and lead bigger teams.
14/ For soldiers, there will normally be a non-commissioned officer training continuum where they progress from Lance Corporal to Warrant Officer. These are technical experts in the profession of arms, provide battlefield discipline & are a link between officers and soldiers.
15/ With military officers, there is also a training and education continuum. This prepares them to lead larger organisations (up to Division & Corps). This continuum also prepares them for staff work, which is the planning, admin & other things that keep an organization running.
16/ A final part of individual training and education is self study. This is a responsibility of a professional, and means that individuals must commit their own time to studying developments in the profession of arms to complement formal learning and their experience.
17/ The other important part of a training and education system is collective training. This is how effective sections/squads, platoons, battalions, brigades, divisions, etc are built. I know, this is Army centric!
18/ This involves a range of activities including briefings and table top activities, simulation and small scale activities in barracks, as well as command post exercises and large field exercises. In good organisations, there is a training design for each, and assessment plans.
19/ Collective training can be run and assessed internally, or it can be run and assessed by specialist combat training centres. A mix of both is desirable. But in both, an honest and open system of assessment and feedback is necessary.
20/ A couple of final points. First, individual and collective training should be doctrinally sound. Doctrine is based on the hard won lessons of our forebears, and provides a level of standardization that is important in large organisations.
21/ Second, there must be a feedback loop from combat and other elements of a military institution to adapt and improve training. An honest, transparent lessons learned process is part of this.
22/ Finally, failure is a deliberate part of training and education. People must be pushed to failure (carefully designed) in training and education. It is a fine way to learn safely.
23/ Running a systemic, centrally controlled but physically decentalised military learning system takes resources, leadership, discipline and focus. It is a very hard thing to do well, even for the best institutions.
24/ But, it can be an important part of the difference between success and failure on the battlefield. The Russians, with their mobilisation process, have not yet demonstrated a first-class training system. This will have battlefield ramifications. End
Recently, I have written how Russia’s strategy for Ukraine is evolving (again), as well as the potential impacts of winter. Looking beyond the next few months, what might Russia’s options be for 2023, and what are the vulnerabilities Ukraine can attack? 1/24 🧵
2/ Since the beginning of this war, Ukrainian resistance and battlefield success has forced Russia to constantly adapt their strategy. The war has not gone remotely like the Russians expected. They have had to continuously evolve (and downgrade) their ‘theory of victory’.
3/ So now, in November 2022, Russia’s #strategy is comprised of several elements. The 1st pillar of the Russian strategy is their strategic narrative that this is a war to resist #NATO aggression. A subordinate element is the ludicrous story about #Ukraine being run by Nazis.
This video from @Osinttechnical, despite some poor tactical flying, highlights a larger issue. What is the survivability of rotary wing aircraft on the modern (and future) battlefield? 1/7 🧵
2/ This is not an anti-helicopter tirade. I love our Army RW combat aviators. They have provided sterling and courageous service for decades. But perhaps it is time for a reassessment of their ability to operate effectively in some battlefield functions.
3/ These are platforms that have many easily detectable signatures, particularly noise and the signature of their blades. They are slow moving. And some of them carry a lot of humans!
More details are emerging about the Ukrainian attack on Russia’s Black Sea Fleet in occupied Crimea. Lots more clarity to come in the following days, but a few immediate observations are possible. 1/20 🧵 #Sevastopol
2/ First, it is clear that #Ukraine’s ability to target Russian forces continues to expand beyond the battlefield. Operational and strategic targets are now in their sights, underpinned by good intelligence and long range strike tools like #HIMSRS and maritime drones.
3/ This will place even more stress on a Russian military that is struggling to hold its ground in the areas of #Ukraine they have occupied. Mobilized troops will be little help in preventing the kind of attacks that just occurred in #Sevastopol
The winter months approach in #Ukraine. It will have an impact on the war, but it won’t shut down the war as some have theorised. A thread on the likely impact of winter on the war in #Ukraine. 1/25 🧵
2/ Recently, it has become common to compare the coming winter in #Ukraine with the Russo-Finnish Winter War, fought from November 1939 through to March 1940.
3/ The Finns resisted a massive Soviet invasion of their nation, resulting in a peace agreement temporarily ending hostilities. The Winter War is used as a historical example of David versus Goliath, as well as the clever use of terrain and weather by a defending military force.
In the last 48 hours, reports have emerged of a potential Russian withdrawal from its Dnipro west bank defensive positions. While this may fit General Surovikin’s overall strategy for #Ukraine, it will be difficult to execute successfully. 1/24 🧵
2/ Somewhere in the headquarters of a Russian Combined Army Army in south Ukraine, a staff officer is pulling out his doctrinal publication to plan an orderly withdrawal of Russian forces back across the Dnipro. Why are withdrawals conducted and what are some considerations?
3/ Withdrawals, which are considered a ‘retrograde operation’ in US Army doctrine, are designed to allow a force to disengage from the enemy and redeploy on a new mission or to a new location, while minimising casualties.
In the last few days, an interview given by the new Russian commander in #Ukraine, General Sergei Surovikin, was reported in the media. Noting that “the situation regarding the special operation is tense”, an assessment of his campaign options going forward is required. 1/25 🧵
2/ Surovikin clearly understands the political intent for his campaign. As noted in the interview, the desired outcome is “that Ukraine was independent from the West and NATO, a friendly state to Russia.”
3/ Whether this is possible or not from our perspective, these are his marching orders from Putin. cablefreetv.org/the-first-inte…