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Mert N. Matsumoto (松本信秀) Profile picture
@ArveloaMert
Nov 8, 2022 • 11 tweets • 8 min read • Read on X
War continues to wage in #Ukraine by #Russia. Here some comprehensive analysis for understanding Russian and Ukrainian military strategy.

@ArveloaMert tarafından ⚡️ “Strategic Assesment of Ukrainian Counter-Offensive”
twitter.com/i/events/15689…
For the first part of Russian Maritime Strategy in the Russo-Ukrainian War which covers the developments between February and July.
@ArveloaMert tarafından ⚡️ "Maritime Strategy in Russo-Ukrainian War"
twitter.com/i/events/15146…
For the second part of Russian Maritime Strategy in the Russo-Ukrainian War that covers the period between July to recent Sivastopol drone attack by #Ukraine.
@ArveloaMert tarafından ⚡️ "Maritime Strategy in Russo-Ukrainian War 2"
twitter.com/i/events/15273…
For a new theoretical perspective from lessons of the war about strategic bombing, attack on critical infrastructure by missiles and drones and next-generation air defence theories;
@ArveloaMert tarafından ⚡️ "Theory of Layered Comprehensive Air Defence"
twitter.com/i/events/15899…
For understanding #Russia's threats on anti-satellite warfare and capabilities and NATO's possible plans to respond this threat you can look this;
@ArveloaMert tarafından ⚡️ "Russian Anti-Satellite Strategy"
twitter.com/i/events/15899…
War Termination is one of the hardest part of understanding the nature of warfare. Where we are now in this war on terminating it and what classical thought teaches us;
@ArveloaMert tarafından ⚡️ "Theories of War Termination in Russo-Ukrainian War"
twitter.com/i/events/15899…
Twitter removed moments. So I could not create them anymore. Here is my latest ‘Moment’ about the Ukrainian Counter Offensive in the war between #Ukraine and #Russia. I will continue to create more threads but this is the last edited moment.
twitter.com/i/events/15921…
Indeed, these links were and could not be updated anymore so if you want to see the further updates about these topics, you could click on the last twit and could scroll down to the actual feed of threads. 🧵
An additional new thread 🧵 for understanding the basic characteristics and requirements of positional defence and trench warfare between #Ukraine and #Russia, you can take a look to here; #RussiaUkraineWar #Rusya #Ukrayna
A quick thread on Music on War. How it affect the battleground and how much it is resilient. After Russian decision to send musicians and other entertainment features to Russian military in #Ukraine.
Another thread 🧵 about Russian occupation administration (OA) in #Ukraine. This is a widely neglected topic. OA is also part of larger military C2 structure in a war;

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More from @ArveloaMert

Mert N. Matsumoto (松本信秀) Profile picture
Sep 17
It's worth reading this impressive initial report from the Financial Times. It is linked to Israel and is quite significant in terms of offensive cyber operations. Lets analyze, #Israel's large scale cyber operation against #Hezbollah in #Lebanon.
ft.com/content/dbaac6…
1) Firstly, the attack was designed to cause real damage using cyber/virtual tools vs a strategically important network (communication infrastructure). It was carried out in a very organized manner, but it is also stated that the attack was not heavily based on 'remote intrusion'
2) Another observation is based on the fact that the batteries of pagers are unlikely to cause this level of injury. Lithium-ion batteries are dangerous and flammable, but the condition of the injured suggests the possibility that the batteries were designed to be more explosive.
Read 15 tweets
Mert N. Matsumoto (松本信秀) Profile picture
Oct 21, 2023
Lets start the twelfth and the newest thread on the strategy of the Russo-Ukrainian War that will cover fall offensives. #Avdiivka #Bakhmut #Ukraine #Robotyne #UkraineWar #Kherson #UkraineRussiaWar️ #Melitopol #Zaporizhzhia #Kyiv #Berdyansk #Verbove #Novoprokopivka #Tokmak Image
1) Here is the previous thread on the strategy of the Russo-Ukrainian War that includes issues like information warfare, Allied trainings for Ukraine, situation in #Avdiivka offensive and #Kherson counter offensive, Zaporizhzhia and modern day fortified wars and other issues.
2) Lets talk about #Russia’s losses of officers in #Ukraine. Russian Military lost unbelieavable number of 3000 officers in Ukraine from different ranks. However, the lion share the losses were concentrated on junior officers like Lieutenants and Majors. This group is important.
Read 109 tweets
Mert N. Matsumoto (松本信秀) Profile picture
Aug 23, 2023
Lets start our tenth and the newest thread on the strategy of Russo-Ukrainian War which will cover operations during the late August and early fall. #Bakhmut #Ukraine #Kreminna #Svatove #UkraineWar #UkraineRussiaWar️ #Melitopol #Zaporizhzhia #Kyiv #Mariupol #Berdyansk #Kherson Image
12) Few words on #Tokmak. We have to carefully asses the claims that state #Russia’s defences in the town is in the brink of imminent collapse. The town is one of the #Ukraine’s critical operational goals with Melitopol. Its South has key railroad link that makes the land bridge. Image
12) #Tokmak is heavily fortified town which increasingly become a target of #Ukraine’s long range strikes. But still the town is main position for #Russia to hold-on. Leaving Tokmak without a fight is highly irrational for 🇷🇺 as it would not only risk the theatre but entire war. Image
Read 92 tweets
Mert N. Matsumoto (松本信秀) Profile picture
Jul 15, 2023
Here is the ninth and the newest thread about Russo-Ukrainian War that includes #Ukraine’s counter offensive efforts in #Bakhmut. #Ukraine #Zapoizhzhia #Kreminna #Svatove #UkraineWar #Oleshky #UkraineRussiaWar️ #Melitopol #Zaporizhzhia #Kyiv #Mariupol #Berdyansk #Kherson #Wagner Image
1) You can find all earlier Twitter threads on war in #Ukraine and #Russia's unlawful invasion and more in this interactive map. Please remember that this map is not for showing the exact lines of contacts but to understand strategies.
2) Mistrust increasingly become visible after the #Wagner's mutiny within the Russian Command. After General Surovikin (who is the most senior officer that disappeared), Major Generals Popov and Vladimir Selivestrov were dismissed from their duties.
Read 45 tweets
Mert N. Matsumoto (松本信秀) Profile picture
Jun 19, 2023
Here is the eight and the newest thread about Russo-Ukrainian War that includes #Ukraine’s counter offensive efforts in #Zaporizhzhia #Ukraine #Bakhmut #Kreminna #Svatove #UkraineWar #Oleshky #UkraineRussiaWar️ #Melitopol #Zaporizhzhia #Kyiv #Mariupol #Berdyansk #Kherson #Wagner Image
13) The Attacker could use firepower to prevent this laying process. But just like the first aspect, defenders could increase their fire power which would decrease the operational pace. Russian decision to relocate troops from Kherson and further risking of air power shows this. Image
14) But different from what Malthus claimed, just like population all this laying and firepower increase process has a limit of production, resupply and logistics. In long run with long-range strikes #Ukraine could balance this rate if they can achieve to protect their equipment. Image
Read 97 tweets
Mert N. Matsumoto (松本信秀) Profile picture
May 28, 2023
Here is the seventh thread 🧵 about the strategy of the #RussoUkrainianWar for the early summer. Russia took the control of #Bakhmut while Ukraine is still planning its offensive efforts. #Ukraine #Russia #Soledar #Kreminna #Svatove #Wagner #UkraineWar #Leopard2 #Vuhledar Image
1) You can find all earlier Twitter threads on war in #Ukraine and #Russia's unlawful invasion and more in this interactive map. Please remember that this map is not for showing the exact lines of contacts but to understand strategies.
2) British MoD underlined that, as planned, #Wagner is now withdrawing from the center of #Bakhmut. The defence of the town will be transferred to so-called DNR forces combined with VDV units. This shows that Wagner will not be in defensive efforts.
Read 62 tweets

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