#Volume is one of the simplest indicators in #Technical Analysis but when used properly it is also one of the most powerful confirmatory indicators out there. It's all the more important in the current #market. In this thread, we'll take a detailed look at volume with examples.
1) Volume is the total no of #shares that are bought/sold. Huge volume can be associated with accumulation/distribution by FIIs, while small volume can be associated with retail investors. When #PriceAction is combined with #volume, you get some interesting Price Volume patterns.
2) If #Price goes up with increasing volume, that's a sign that big guys are accumulating, hence, a #Bullish sign. When Price goes down with declining volume, that's a sign that the small retail #investors are exiting. Nothing to worry, again a Bullish sign.
3) Similarly, if #Price goes down with increasing volume, that's a sign that big guys are exiting the stock, hence, a #Bearish sign. When Price goes up with declining volume, that's a sign that the small retail investors are entering. Not a good sign if you are holding the stock.
4) Price Volume Patterns cannot be so perfect of course, so in reality what you get is something as below. Here, moving average can be a 50-SMA on Volume. Hence, e.g., Price going up on above average volume is Bullish and Price going down on above average volume is Bearish.
5) Now let's look at some recent examples. #UCOBANK had both the bullish patterns, and is up 80% from its breakout point of 13.8. The first one when breaking out indicated a very strong breakout, 2nd one while correcting on low volume confirmed the strong bullish trend.
6) Finally, a bearish pattern. I love to use #PayTM , but based on the price action in last 2 weeks, I wouldn't even touch the stock with a 10-foot pole😢.It's down big on heavy selling from very strong support at 510, and is probably going to take weeks if not months to recover!
7) In #PayTM 's case above, we can see that the selling is happening on heavy Delivery Volume also (which excludes intraday volume). It's good to use it in liu of just Volume, in case you are using Daily timeframes and higher.
8) Finally, we consider Volume to be so important in #Technicals, that we have another indicator in @investarindia, Vol%, which gives the Volume as a % of Average Volume. e.g. in the Auto-Resistance breakout scan below, HARIOMPIPE broke out on 7.26x average volume (1322/182).
9) Hope the above thread is useful in your analysis. If you liked it, please RT the first tweet. If you want to learn more in depth about volume breakouts, you can search for volume in our education section: investarindia.com/education/tech…
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Many traders ask me how to trade #volume#breakout stocks profitably. Not all breakouts succeed in the #StockMarket. So, how does one get into good #breakoutstocks? Here's a thread explaining how I filter out good #stocks with reference to $RCF that I posted yesterday (up 12%).
1) Ensure that the stock is breaking out simultaneously in 2 timeframes. You choose the timeframes based on whether you are day-trading, swing trading or long-term investing. Ideally use the timeframes separated by a factor of 5 e.g. Daily and 75min is a good combo for short-term
2) Stock should have above average #volume for atleast 2 bars when the breakout is happening. Also, make sure that in the base before the breakout, majority green volume bars are above avg vol, while the red volume bars are below avg vol (avg vol is 50-SMA of volume).