🧵1/Ω.
🚨 #OKEX exchange seems to be in trouble. Given the massive outflow of crypto from all exchanges I suspect they are running low on customer reserves.
🧵2/Ω. @hellspawncrypto is an extremely active and experienced trader. assuming he is not a criminal ("¯\_(ツ)_/¯") he would be aware of what kinds of activity trigger alerts / holds and avoid those kinds of activity. #OKEX
🧵3/Ω.
So then I checked the #OKEX tag. What I found was a fast moving stream of X-rated content and sketchy links.
🧵4/Ω.
I've checked the #OKEx at least 5-10 times in the past. It isn't usually like this.
🧵6/Ω.
It's not only the same kind of tactic but also the same kind of content (Fox is overstating the case here - it's more "adult themed" than "porn")
🧵7/Ω.
squashing protests over covid restrictions seems like unrest worthy of the CCP's bigger information warfare guns... but this is just #OKEx, a middle tier exchange.
unless, of course, the failure of #CEX with a lot of chinese citizens is causing unrest WITHIN China.
🧵8/Ω.
Or at least someone thinks it might cause unrest.
and why is the content the same ("adult themed")?
this might just be a standard tactic used often in china to suppress dissent on wechat etc pointed outwards.
🧵9/Ω.
But it also might be because it's coming from the same source for the same purpose:
To interfere with the ability of citizens in China to communicate with each other safe from the government's prying eyes.
Twitter is banned in China but the elite ~all~ use VPNs.
🧵10/Ω.
In the past Chinese language exchange issues have generated almost no noise here on Twitter but if any intrepid souls out there can read Chinese and have Telegram I'd be curious what's going on in the #OKX support channels / are there signs of issues.
🧵12/Ω.
All that said the Ethereum chain data (assuming this person's queries are correct) doesn't immediately reveal anything alarming for #OKX / #OKex. dune.com/jimtoshi/okx
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"Thank you Mr. Bankman-Fried for helping us understand the extensive guardrails #FTX has in place to protect investors from fraud and manipulation [and giving me so much money]." - @RepTomEmmer
I. @GenesisTrading, by far the biggest portal between Wall St. money and the crypto verse and the biggest trading desk handling the off market trading of very large amounts of money for very large amounts of crypto, is going to declare bankruptcy on Monday at 10 A.M.
🧵3/Ω
II. Prosecutors at the Southern District of New York Will Indict Sam Bankman-Fried Very Soon
Planting a timestamped flag here in the internet saying that I think the #FTX bankruptcy is going to end up triggering crypto nuclear winter and then grow into an extinction level event.
we barely saw the explosions's.
the shockwave is still on its way.
then, tsunami 🌊🌊🌊🌊
as if crypto wasn't looking grim enough, here comes an Italian investigative journalist talking about scandals rocking "the whole ecosystem".
Ask yourself: which big names in crypto are from Italy?
(ps typo is driving me nuts but I can't move the flag.)
I can't find the source now but that giant sucking you hear is a slowly rising tsunami of already over $1B per day of crypto being sucked off the exchanges and back into fiat or into self custody.
the exchanges won't be able to deal w/this. something is going to snap soon.
1/Ω
🤔
"as least as informed as the press" level speculation on #Alameda / #FTX based on some numbers that imply some things
FTX folded quickly. could only process < $1B digit billions before running out of coins. Sure there are other wallets...
2/Ω: FTX IS NOT SUPPOSED TO BE ABLE TO RUN OUT OF CASH (or tokens).
it's an EXCHANGE not a hedge fund. should have everyone's cash ready to be picked up at any given time in neat little separate piles.
THUS: AT A MINIMUM we know that #SBF commingled funds (maybe illegally)
2.5/Ω: SBF IS SMART. ALSO WORKED AS A PRO TRADER AT ONE OF THE TRADING DESKS THOUGHT TO BE "really smart money" (#JaneStreet).
SBF: 2 MIT degrees (hard to get in a way most people cannot comprehend). SBF has taken exams for trading licenses. Fully 0% chance he doesn't know this
🧵
Last week I wrote a piece about how opening the wrong PDF led to a #cybersecurity breach that rapidly escalated
Since then I've figured out how the PDF managed to evade all major virus/malware detection tools and exploit a vulnerability (that may still exist!)
Let's dig in👇
As mentioned in the piece I had suspicions about the PDF because it had come from the vicinity of #cryptocurrency criminals, so before opening I ran it through a bunch of reputable malware detection tools.
They all gave it the all clear... and they still do. Here's a link to the @virustotal report showing 0 out of 61 malware scanners alerted on this PDF.
Folks, here it is, an easier to read explanation of how #Tether and #JustinSun setup a scammy blockchain to inject $40B in fake $USD into the cryptocurrency economy. It's still not the best I could write - it's a first draft - but it'll do for now.
suddenly all these sock puppets comin' at me... must be right over the target.
@tavit_ makes an amazingly good point. some of the redemptions maybe ARE real. but that $1B one from AEX / Hoo is obviously not real. and a bunch of the others are also not real.