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Dec 6 • 4 tweets • 1 min read
Some have lately stepped up educating about manipulation in #smallcaps. To highlight there is significant difference in only doing it in hindsight vs doing it with actionable insight realtime. Second one requires significant more exp and trickery mindset.

1.
Key being if one can't do it realtime with forward warnings often the usecase is limited. Anyone can actually "educate" about rigged things in all games out there, because the complexity only is noticeable in realtime not hindsight. Why?

2.
Becuase of difficulty of getting it right realtime. For anyone really doing it well realtime you would quickly realize it's not easy to hit good accuracy at all, even if in hindsight it all clicks "on the paper".
Educating about it and executing on it is very different.

3.
Anyone who presents you insight on manipulated activities has to be also practicing it not just providing insights because developing actionable read is all about practice. Otherwise it becomes just one of those "interesting things about how markets move".

4.

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More from @TradetheMatrix1

Trade_the_Matrix Profile picture
Nov 19
Let me give you outline why I trade fulltime daily #smallcaps and why "training" aspect is huge component. Why dedicating 5h or more and obsessively trying to be close to market changes on daily basis.

1.
When times get difficult and market changes people give up. They leave whatever the market niche where flows changed and go to some other market seeking for next better opportunity. This is problematic as you never develop sustainable edge in market. Always on the fence.

2.
Many traders over past two years got spoiled. They came to market for 1 hour made gains and left. Thought this is normal and that "training" aspect can be completely disregarded. When lush opportunity is out there sure you can take it very easy and comfy.

3.
Read 10 tweets
Trade_the_Matrix Profile picture
Nov 15
Very high % aim constantly on investments is biggest trap one can set him/herself for in markets. We have seen frenzy in #crypto and #smallcaps over past 1.5 year, which caused many of bagheld positions.

The higher your % aim is, the bigger the need to be close to market.

1.
Aiming small % in any speculative market is not as difficult, as % are ramped 10 fold, the difficulty increases massively and your chances of failure too.

Reason: Need for timing increases as well. To get high % movers the timing on cycle start/finish has to be excellent.

2.
Extracting 10 500% rallying tickers out of one strong cycle requires a great cycle timing skills, knowing when aprox the cycle really has started and how much longer can it aprox still have. Why beginners fail here? Because this takes (2-5) years of training to develop.

3.
Read 8 tweets
Trade_the_Matrix Profile picture
Nov 3
I'll repeat message (2022-24):
-liquidity and ranges will shrink in #smallcaps
-it will become more important to have good reads on tickers
-many traders will give up due to difficulty increase
Posted blog on that.
1. Diversify
2. Improve read skills (cycles, MMs)
3. Research...
It's not that there might be huge regression, it's just that many have built expectations strictly from 20/21 era. We might revisit more of 2017s markets but with much more liquidity which means different.
Let's lay out what will have now more weight than before:
Recession impact. We have limited data of smallcap markets ("modern non OTC markets") and performance in prolonged inflationary liquidity crunch conditions. Next year there will be drag. Don't underestimate difficulty increase potential, data is limited so we also don't know.
Read 10 tweets
Trade_the_Matrix Profile picture
Oct 30
Year and half later WSB "pumping" is nearly forgotten. Their superpower gone, why? Because there was none to begin with. Lush liquidity cycle combined with strong market makers is what created the movements in first place. I tried to explain it in 20/21 but most did not listen.
It was good learning experience for me because it showed just how few experienced guys in the game really understand the market making process on #smallcaps. Majority have fallen for it, those I had frequent convos with, 5 plus years in trading.
It also showed lack of understanding on coordinating pumps. It isn't as easy pumping 30 mil shares traded asset trough Discord group with 0 focus and planned action. 100 guys giving thumbs up doesn't equal to equal BP deployment in serious contribution. Yet many believed so.
Read 8 tweets
Trade_the_Matrix Profile picture
Oct 16
Tip from personal journey as ever learning #markets researcher:
Whoever you learn from make sure their opinions and theory is balanced against frequent directional calls on assets. "Nobody knows where markets are going is a must to avoid excuse".
#trading
There is huge amount of information selling in markets but low applicability and edge focus.
You can't know who has applicable knowledge unless their views are battle tested in markets. Hence opinions on asset directions are necessary. It cant just be all about info pushing.
Learning too long from those who hold 5 year long views and have only one asset in play and then after their views fail you wonder how did I get there? It's on you not them because you haven't explicitly made a goal to test their views trough higher frequency of exposure.
Read 10 tweets
Trade_the_Matrix Profile picture
Aug 13
Observation and good amount of open mindness are correlated needed skills to learn market behaviors (absorbing mode on).
Observing with close mind and strong opinion is just staring blank (absorbing mode off).
Too many go too early for option two in #trading.
Humility is what happens after big red day is done. One being angry or really going into humble place. Anger often means not fully accepting it as your responsibility. Finding humble place means reaching out to others for sharing or questions on wtf just happened.
Detachment from outcome. To gain good grip in any game best way to go about it is not being attached to outcomes too much early. Worst scenario is to spend time stressing early how can so much losses happen. You have entered arena unknowingly. You'll figure that out later.
Read 8 tweets

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