#China's exports and imports contracted in November as the #COVID19 outbreak disrupted production and weakened demand at home. The value of exports fell to a low of $296 billion, the lowest since April when the lockdown of Shanghai closed factories. 🧵
The decline in imports also widened to 10.6%, leaving a narrower trade surplus of $69.8 billion last month.
China's government is now looking to relax the #COVIDZero policy to reduce its impact on the economy and add more stimulus.
Chinese firms experienced stable demand during the pandemic due to the increase in exports. However, domestic spending remained weak and now overseas spending is transitioning from products to services.
Despite the slump in overall exports, outbound shipments of cars and chassis were still robust, growing 73.1% in Jan-Nov period. #ChinaExports #Economy

Exports of rare earths also jumped, up 68.7% from a year earlier in the Jan-Nov period.

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More from @johnkonrad

Dec 7
#USCG investigators find that the pilot of the Ever Forward was distracted while talking on his cell phone and the ship's captain left the bridge to eat dinner when the massive ship ran aground on the Chesapeake Bay in April.
The investigation reveals the pilot was relying solely on his Portable Pilot Unit - a portable GPS mapping solution pilots carry - to navigate & made multiple phone calls & texts before grounding.
This is a problem because crew members often can not view the information on personal charting solutions and must rely on the ships' electronic charts which show a different presentation of information.
Read 10 tweets
Nov 19
This is a solid article by @MEaglen but I do have 2 things to add.

Capacity = Speed
Capacity = reduced carbon footprint

This is the lesson @Maersk learned with slow steaming. Let me explain 🧵
About 15 years ago a containership capable of carrying 6,000 containers was considered large but then in 2011 @Maersk built the Triple-E class ships capable of loading 18,000 containers.
This extra capacity was needed to meet global growth but building mega ships created a new race. Soon all of Maersk’s competitors started building larger ships and today the largest can carry over 24,000 containers!
Read 25 tweets
Nov 17
“You are a cargo ship captain, not a warship guy so why is @gCaptain focusing so much on the US Navy lately?” 👈 a frequent comment I get lately.

My answer: /1
Because my job is to get ahead of emerging trends in shipping and nothing is more concerning to global peace and prosperity than the US Department of Defense’s myopic focus on Army and Air Force spending as America pulls out of unstable regions.
When tankers get attacked insurance rates spike, capacity measured in ton miles collapse, and customers freeze.

When containerships are threatened inflation spikes.

When grain bulkers get attacked people starve.

When fertilizer ships don’t move future tensions build.
Read 5 tweets
Oct 28
What’s missing here is the absolute hell the small handful of journalists and bloggers who covered the top photo got for “war mongering” when we covered it. Nobody got arrested, but friends got fired from major publications and most of us got yelled at by Admirals and diplomats🧵
There was real anger at high levels of government, and the military was trying to build stronger ties with China at the time.

when I talked about this at business conferences, I had CEOs literally laugh, and how absurd they thought our warnings were.
I stumbled onto the story because there are over 200,000 merchant sailors from the Philippines, who are in every major port and on every sea 24/7/364 and are collectively the best maritime intelligence network in the world.
Read 22 tweets
Jul 19
Paging Captain Obvious

Seriously “Capt Obvious” has always been a joke but today it needs to be made a real position inside the cabinet.

Someone needs to hold each cabinet official accountable to the most basic, most obvious logic.
I say give @cdrsalamander that fourth stripe and ship him off kicking and screaming to the White House.

He probably won’t take the position but we are past the point of asking for volunteers.
The last thing we need is more winners of partisan political popularity contests.

We need highly competent people who DO NOT want to step another foot in Washington because they 💯 know how futile any attempt to fix this mess is.
Read 9 tweets
Jul 18
A senior navy officer replied to my unofficial request that US Merchant Mariners working with the fleet receive a formal expression of appreciation from @SECNAV. He said "Ok, what do you want? Uniforms, medals, parades?" Here's my response: 🧵
I don’t want anything. ZERO.
YOU guys - US Navy Officers - are the ones who want ammo and fuel and Avgas delivered to YOU in contested waters. YOU are the ones who want us to sail on the rusting junk YOU don’t maintain properly. YOU are the ones who say our ships are not worth protecting.
Read 9 tweets

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