Before analysing Option Open Interest, we need to make the following assumptions: 1. We are going to analyze this data from an Option Sellers perspective as 90% of the options expire worthless 2. At any point only one party can make money as derivative is a zero-sum game
4/18
To analyze Option Chain, we have to understand two concepts 1. Max Pain 2. Put-Call ratio (PCR)
5/18
The "theory of max pain" is a popular concept among options traders. It suggests that the price of an underlying asset will move to a level where the most options contracts expire worthless.
6/18
This theory is based on the idea that options sellers, or "writers," want to see the underlying asset finish at a specific price on the expiration date in order to maximize their profits.
7/18
To understand how max pain works, it's important to first understand the concept of open interest. This is the total number of options contracts that have been bought or sold but not yet closed.
8/18
When options contracts expire, the holder has the right (but not the obligation) to buy or sell the underlying asset at the specified price. If the market price is lower than the strike price, the option expires worthless.
9/18
The theory of max pain suggests that options sellers will try to push the price of the underlying asset to a level where the most options contracts expire worthless. This way, they can maximize their profits.
10/18
Some traders use the max pain theory as a way to anticipate where the market is headed. They analyze the open interest of various strike prices to determine which one is the "pain point" where the most contracts will expire worthless.
11/18
While the theory of max pain is a popular concept, it's important to remember that it is just a theory and not a guarantee of future market movements. It's always important to do your own research and analysis before making any investment decisions. #OptionsTrading#MaxPain
12/18
As you know I use products of Definedge Securities which offers Max Pain, OI, Total Open Interest data and a host of other powerful analytics tools which helps to stay ahead in this game.
How to find this data:
Step-1) Login to Opstra Pro
Step-2) Click on Open Interest
Step-3) Again click on Open Interest
14/18
You will find two data points: 1. Max Pain 2. Modified Max Pain
Based on EOD data points Max Pain is calculated and during intraday activity if the Max Pain shifts to different strike it is shown as Modified Max Pain
15/18
PUT-CALL Ratio
It is a way to measure whether traders are feeling bullish or bearish about the market. To calculate it, you just need to divide the open interest of PUT options by that of CALL options.
16/18
PCR is a market sentiment indicator and is used as a contrarian indicator by many traders
Analysing PCR
PCR > 1 is Bullish
PCR = 1 is Neutral
PCR < 1 is Bearish
Above 1.5 and Below 0.5 are extreme zones and are likely places where on-going trend can halt or reverse
17/18
That's a wrap from OI Analysis!
If you enjoyed this thread then 1. Please re-tweet the first tweet and help me reach more learners 2. Follow me on Twitter @kaushikaki 3. Check out YouTube youtube.com/@TheNoiselessT…
18/18
Open Interest and how to effectively use open interest for our analysis
1/22
Let us start with understanding what is Open Interest and why traders are obsessed with OI data. What information we can fetch from the data and why analysing it is important?
2/22
Open interest refers to the total outstanding (or open) contracts in a derivative market at any given time. The quantitative value shows the total number of contracts in the market that have yet to be liquidated.
3/22
“If you are in the right sector at the right time, you can make a lot of money real fast.” – Peter Lynch
In this thread, 🧵⬇️
- we will discuss sector rotation
- how we can spot that with help of @mystockedge
1/17
Sector rotation is the movement of money invested in stocks from one industry to another as investors and traders anticipate the next stage of the economic cycle.
2/17
@vivbajaj along with @mystockedge team introduced the feature recently to identify Sector Rotation.
Way of spotting the influx and outflux of money from one industry to another. A smart way to beat the market return.
3/17
In this thread we will discuss: 1. Pattern construction 2. High Pole 3. How to trade High Pole
1/20
Pattern Rules (three requirements) 1. Breakout – DTB or DBS 2. Long Column 3. Price retracing at least 50%
All happening over 4 Columns
2/20
Price getting retraced by 50% leads to significant erosion in potential profit and hints at strong vertical price reversals known as ‘A’ or ‘V’ shaped reversal
3/20
In the document ⬇️ 1. #Nifty Range and Breadth 2. #Banknifty range and Breadth 3. #Sector Breadth 4. #FII Derivative Activity 5. #Summary of the analysis
1. Demand Zone 17415 to 17250 2. Initiate short below 17250 only 3. Price trading below TMA is bearish 4. Pullback towards TMA and getting red brick is a good place to go short #Nifty#nifty50#NIFTYFUT
In this thread we will discuss: 1. What are Multi Column Patterns 2. Importance of this Pattern 3. How to trade this pattern 4. Case Studies and examples
1/17
If you have missed reading Basic Patterns of PnF, I will encourage you to read that first to take the best out of this thread