Oil Warrior🛢️ Profile picture
Dec 15 7 tweets 1 min read
My outlook for tankers in 2023, Spot TCE (daily earnings Eco non scrubber) average for the whole year. #tankers
VLCC: $39000😐
SUEZ: $34000🙂
AFRAS: $42000😍
LR2: $45000😍
MR: $26000 😒
VLCC: Once dust settles and new trade lanes become natural, we'll see more term liftings and less spot activity, keeping rates on a higher base but lower than the last few months.
SUEZ: With Libya and WAF at full production this should perform well and keep a balanced list elsewhere, with CPC paying a premium
AFRAMAX: Transatlantic trades and stronger intra Asian activity, Baltic displaced trades will leave some pockets of temporary higher demand in Mid East. My weapon of choice.
LR2: Those MRs from Russia to EU are gone, that trade will have to be served by LR1/2s sucking tonnage from Mid East and Asia. With the optionality to dirty up and chase the Afras market. Winner
MRs: Unless China starts pushing out diesel barrels, some 400 MRs that used to be in the Baltics will have to find employment elsewhere. USG-Latam could be the Holy Grail..
All this depends on what happens with crude pricing and how the conflict/sanctions evolve, and if finally China comes back at full speed. Not investment advic... yeah f**k it, go and load some Afras/LR2s

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with Oil Warrior🛢️

Oil Warrior🛢️ Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @OilCfd

Sep 28
so... you want to be a shipowner?
Ship finance 🧵
Banks’ greatest appetite is for Product Tankers.These vessels are expected to keep earning well in the mid term. There are terms for spot trading vessels at 60% LTV and margins above SOFR in the region of 3.75%; for lower leverage and long-term employment, margins can go to 2.70%
Dry Bulk has become difficult. A falling market with highly variable charter rates, against a backdrop of historically high asset values, has made banks especially cautious against placing capital. Loans of below $10m are very difficult to place even at low leverage,
Read 9 tweets
May 29, 2020
Black market thread:
The tricks used in #OIL trading with sanctioned countries and why it can be stopped. Sanctioned OIL trades with a massive discount to benchmarks. #OOTT
1. Going Dark
A common method to transport Iranian oil or North Korean coal with stealth is to turn off the AIS, an electronic device that pinpoints a ship’s location. Known as going dark, a vessel flicks the switch before berthing and typically reappears days later
2. Ship-to-Ship Transfers
A method that often goes hand-in-hand with going dark. A first vessel will take its clandestine cargo away from the country in question before transferring it to a waiting ship, all of this happening out of sight.
Read 7 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Don't want to be a Premium member but still want to support us?

Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!

Ethereum

0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy

Bitcoin

3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us on Twitter!

:(