#SelfSanctions

Impact of @SelfSanctions on foreign companies’ exiting 🇷🇺 – digest KSE Institute (12.12 – 18.12)
bit.ly/3WwqTvZ

Key points below
1\6
From February 24, 144 companies completed withdrawal from 🇷🇺, 1156 companies have curtailed 🇷🇺 operations, 501 have reduced current operations and held off new investments in 🇷🇺, and 1201 companies continue to work in 🇷🇺
2\6
Companies that had already exited from 🇷🇺, had 284K personnel, $36.2 bln in revenues

Companies that declared a complete withdrawal from 🇷🇺 had 170.9K personnel, $33,4 bln in revenues

Companies that suspended operations in 🇷🇺 had 329K personnel, $48.9 bln in revenues
3\6
144 companies that completely left 🇷🇺 employed 20.4% of the personnel employed in foreign companies, owned about 11.3% of the assets, and had 9.2% of capital invested by foreign companies. In 2021 they generated revenue of $36.2 bin and paid $3.2 bln of taxes
4\6
This week’s focus was on New Year & Christmas spendings in 🇷🇺

Gifts for Russians became more expensive by 20% compared to last year, including due to the fact that it was necessary to establish cooperation with other suppliers
5\6
It is expected that Russians will have to spend 15-20% more on setting the New Year's table than last year

The inflationary shock caused by the sanctions led to an increase in the cost of almost all products that are part of the traditional New Year's holiday dishes.
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More from @KSE_Institute

Dec 23
@KSE_Institute & @sanctionsgroup insights from Expert Conference on the Impact of Russian Sanctions
@daria_sofina @NAZK_gov
Individual sanctions may be some numbers that we can refer to as the number of assets that were frozen in different jurisdictions. One of the impacts of individual sanctions, we understand that they have a really chilling effect.
We have the data that suggests a lot of Russian and non-russian management and board members of Russian companies have resigned.
Read 5 tweets
Dec 22
@KSE_Institute & @sanctionsgroup insights from Expert Conference on the Impact of Russian #Sanctions

1. Russia is losing the #Gas battle it has launched against the West

@McFaul @CraigKennedy77 @elinaribakova @BLSchmitt @ben_moll @ben_hilgenstock @Nataliia_Shapo
1/5
Before the invasion of #Ukraine, 65% of Russia’s total gas exports by volume went to Europe, and around 90% by value, since exports to China and the CIS are at a much lower price
2/5
Russia has sharply curtailed exports to the EU in an effort to compel the EU to pressure Ukraine to make concessions to Russia
But this effort so far has failed.
3/5
Read 5 tweets
Dec 22
@KSE_Institute & @sanctionsgroup insights from Expert Conference on the Impact of Russian Sanctions
1. Russian oil exports volumes appeared to be resilent to sanctions since the invasion while revenues still exceeded 2021 average in Nov.22
@Nataliia_Shapo
2. Structure of exports changed substantially as Russia was able to redirect the oil from Europe to China, India and Turkey proposing record discounts
3.The embargo's threat has widened the discount on Urals over Brent from $ 1-2/bbl before the invasion to $35/bbl in 2Q-22. The discount narrowed to $ 20-30/bbl in 3Q but it widened again to $35/bbl after the EU embargo on crude oil was imposed
🇷🇺lost around $50 bn in oil revenue
Read 4 tweets

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