Predicting that in 2023 the #Fed will be forced to abandon hiking and actual cut rates before the year is over

This will result in an #inflation #supernova
The fed will reverse its policy not because it’s beaten resource/energy related inflation but instead because they need to stop the financial system from collapsing, along with severe housing sector and employment pain.
China will be reopened and hungry for commodities and competition for various metals will be greatly intensified. The world is going to wake up to the reality that the resource sector has been underinvested in for over a decade and…
The feds inflation fighting efforts have actually greatly discouraged and reduced the greatly needed investment /capex spending we must have to actually deal with commodity inflation

Commodity prices will never stay down long due to monetary policies designed to kill consumption
Only way to bring down commodity prices is to invest heavily in capex for new production. And if you really want low prices you encourage over investment in resource production.

That only happens when prices spike such that the investment sector comes to believe prices…
Will be very high for a long time and the consuming industries are willing to sign long term high margin priced off take agreements

The government could help by offering low interest loans or tax breaks but instead they are doing the opposite. Raising the cost of capital…
And threatening (some enacting) higher taxation.

Our leaders are complete idiots when comes understanding the resource sectors.

The short term oriented election cycle politicking as leads to attacking and vilifying the industries we absolutely rely.
The decision markets are overpaid and out of touch.

We’ve seen how high labour costs have spiked in some industries.

This cycle will see huge wealth gains for workers and investors in resources. It’s the best way to protect yourself from policy makers.

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More from @BambroughKevin

Dec 23
RCA - “Radio Corporation of America” was founded in 1919 and had an incredible 10 year run that ended when the stock market peaked in 1929.

The stock had gone up +10x over the 3 years leading up to the peak and crash of ‘29
Rca stock went from $568/sh in sept over 1929 to $15/sh in 1932.

In the 20’s the company was the worlds leading radio manufacturing.

The television was only invented in 1927.

It remained the leader in both television and radio production for decades..
Despite the decades of huge sales growth, it took until the ‘60’s to eclipse the 1929 share price.
Read 5 tweets
Dec 16
Interesting psychology piece to chew on… bloomberg.com/news/features/…
Power corrupts absolutely…

We need more people working on actual frameworks for democracy with real checks and balances. Issue based debates rather than left and right party politics.

Super wealthy are very good at making themselves money. Not so good at sharing. EOS Image
I’ve got to know a lot of super rich people in my life… a couple billionaires

Some key reasons for the ultra high level of success.

- Ego driven drive to be a billionaire

- Immense talent to attract skilled people to work for them for a tiny fraction of their own compensation
Read 4 tweets
Dec 15
I’m honestly amazed that when the #Fusion news broke it was celebrated due to terrible reporting, the first articles I read had me thinking it was at least somewhat significant. #uranium

Spoiler: it’s not. It’s just another sad example of bad reporting newrepublic.com/article/169504…
The first articles I read had me doing a little digging because I wanted to understand more about the fuel ingredients and the cost of the fuel production etc (energy going into fuel). I quickly discovered that one of the key ingredients is extremely rare and can only be sourced
Sourced in size from waste of a Candu #Nuclear power plant. And that we don’t even have enough stockpiled to ‘jumpstart’ the would be first comercial fusion reactor and run it long enough so that it can breed its one fuel. So we are at best decades away and…
Read 6 tweets
Dec 14
This is massive news lost amongst all the bullshit Fed talk focus today

washingtonexaminer.com/policy/energy-…
Delaying multi billion dollar projects because of fuel shortages will result in runaway fuel pricing because fuel prices are irrelevant to these projects. HALEU shortages are just the tip of the iceberg here
Serious shortages of uf6, enrichment capacity, conversion and #uranium are coming. Slowly then all at once. Overfeeding is coming and due to the onslaught of new builds, extensions and restarts prices will be going back to and beyond the historic inflation adjusted price
Read 4 tweets
Dec 14
If you polluted your brain by listening to fedspeak today…
CS dropping another 6% looking at going to zero. Let’s see what the ECB and Fed do about that? They will have to orchestrate a bailout/buy out and likely to make that happen they will have to promise in closed door meetings to buy up bad debts and ease. (Provide liquidity)
CS is too big to fail and steps that involve money printing and bouncing the economy will soon need to be taken or JPM and the rest of the financials charts will look like CS and it will happen in less than a year.
Read 8 tweets
Dec 14
FYI. This is highly significant because law/regulation enforcement has been stalled for years in how to classify the shitcoins.
On one hand it could be argued they aren’t commodities or securities cause they are backed by nothing and completely worthless pieces of shit. So who should be the regulator?
and regular law enforcement wouldn’t do anything cause people are welcome to buy and trade shitcoins just like they do Pokémon cards.

But the charges laid on SBF make it finally clear. The shitcoins are going to be deemed to be commodities…
Read 8 tweets

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