1. Have sold Vapi Unit to Adani for ₹835crore which will help in capex, have 200 crore cash after deal 2. repaid its entire debt taken from various Financial Institutions 3. Promoters are buying at levels of 53 to 56 (0.20% till now) 4. Released full promoter pledge
5. Cheap Valuation
A. PE Ratio of 15 vs Container Corp PE ratio of 40
B. EVEBITDA of 7-7.5 which is the same valuation at which Adani bought company's Vapi unit
Note : Above ratios are after removing earnings of discont biz of Vapi Unit (Cont approx 50% PAT, Revenue, EBITDA)
6. Some capex is ongoing at other locations (including commodities)
7. Adani considering buying Container Corp if it happens sector and company both will re-rate from here on
Anti Thesis
1. Very low capacity utilization of 50%
2. Headline no. in Q3 would fall by 50% due to discontinued biz which may lead to some fall in stock prices
Guidance for Next 3 years : Whatever biz lost due to sale of vapi unit will cone from new Morbi unit in next 3 yr. So approx 20% growth rate
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Before moving ahead if you want to know who is behind Beat The Street and What exactly Beat The Street does?
The domestic automobile sales volumes grew by 20% y-o-y in November 2022. The growth momentum
continued due to wedding season, offers, a low base.
On the other hand, exports are expected to decline by 12-15% in FY23 on account of ongoing geopolitical
tension, globally high inflationary and interest rate environment.
lets see the trends of autos in last month -
2-Wheeler - The 2W segment grew by 17% on a y-o-y basis during November 2022 amidst the ongoing wedding season and low base of last year.
Let’s try to understand the new theme -
Coal Gasification - India can substantially change the way how coal is used currently.
What is CG?
Why India is investing heavily in it heavily?
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On 3 Nov, FM Nirmala Sitharaman launched the biggest-ever coal mine auction of 141 mines in India as 6th round of coal mine auction and asking for greater investment on Coal Prod and gasification due to increasing natural gas prices globally.
Coal imports for the power sector have come down by 41%
Coal, Mines & Parliamentary Affairs Minister Pralhad Joshi said that the coal ministry is exploring alternative methodologies for enhanced use of coal.
This has led to giving safe exit to one insider at higher price
Case Study 2 : Vedanta told investors via Chairman Speech at AGM, Concalls, Media interactions and other media publications about semiconductor biz that this biz is under Listed Vedanta Ltd which was actually not the case