Joshua Ramos Profile picture
Jan 17, 2023 14 tweets 10 min read Read on X
M&A is capital allocation tool to help reimagine the strategic priorities in a company's portfolio

But what happens when the pieces of the portfolio "no longer fit"?

"Separation" transactions are complicated & often misunderstood by investors

Here's some good stuff to know🧵
WHY do companies "break-up"?

Some reasons:

☑️Enhance operational focus

☑️Accommodate differing capital needs

☑️Create distinct "identities" for investors

☑️"Align" equity comp & currency for M&A

☑️Mitigate anti-trust concerns

☑️Quell activist pressure to "unlock value"
HOW do companies "break-up"?

Some pervasive mechanisms that companies have used to "unbundle the conglomerate discount" include the following:

1⃣ Divestitures

2⃣ Spin-Offs

3⃣ Split-Offs

4⃣ Carve-Out IPO

5⃣ Spin-Mergers

(NOTE: this isn't exhaustive; see WLRK for reference) Image
WHICH "separation" tactic depends on objectives:

- Generate cash proceeds ("A")

- Facilitate equity participation ("B")

- Limit deal complexity ("C")

- Mitigate market risk ("D")

- Mitigate investor churn ("E")

- Achieve tax efficiency ("F")

- Speed to disposition ("G")
1⃣ Divestitures

ELI5: ParentCo sells a business for cash in a "taxable" transaction

A=🌕| B=🌑| C=🌖| D=🌗| E=🌖| F=🌑| G=🌖

Works best with: ParentCo valuing speed & certainty & a biz without a viable public market path

Example: $IBM's (HC Data & Analytics Biz) / FP ImageImageImage
2⃣ Spin-Offs

ELI5: ParentCo s/h get shares in the new biz, pro-rata, tax free distribution (100%)

A=🌘| B=🌑| C=🌖| D=🌘| E=🌘| F=🌕| G=🌖

Works best with: a parent that has (in all respects) a "known" biz that can be a public company "right now"

Example: $PYPL (from $EBAY) ImageImageImageImage
3⃣ Split-Offs

ELI5: ParentCo s/h get shares in new biz but elect to swap their ParentCo stock for new biz stock

(i.e. Spin-Off : Dividend as Split-Off : Stock Buyback)

A=🌘| B=🌑| C=🌗| D=🌘| E=🌗| F=🌕| G=🌗

Works best with: see "Spin-Off" reasons

Example: $SVF (from $GE) ImageImageImageImage
4⃣ Subsidiary-IPOs

ELI5: ParentCo floats biz stock to NEW investors in IPO (primary up to 19%)

A=🌗| B=🌘| C=🌗| D=🌗| E=🌖| F=🌕| G=🌘

Works best with: a biz needing "IPO-style" education, a cash UOP & parent harvesting basis prior to a full spin

Example: $MBLY (from $INTC) ImageImageImageImage
5⃣ Spin-Mergers

ELI5: ParentCo spins & mergers biz with 3rd party to create a NewCo

A=🌗| B=🌗| C=🌘| D=🌗| E=🌗| F=🌕| G=🌘

Works best with: a 3rd party similar in size to biz as ParentCo s/h must own >50.1% of NewCo to be tax free

Example: $WBD (Warner Media) (from $T) ImageImageImageImage
Key "break-up" SEC filings to👀:

1⃣ Form 10 & exhibits* (key for Spin-Off & Split-Off)

2⃣ S-3 (key if accessing financing markets)

3⃣ S-1 (key for Carve-Out IPO)

4⃣ Section 16 (i.e. Forms 3 & 4 for "insiders")

5⃣ 8-K (for declarations, completions etc)

*More below...👇
Key "break-up" documents (if so inspired to moonlight as a WLRK lawyer):

1⃣ Separation & Distribution - covers the "rules of the road" & "what's in & what's out"

2⃣ Transition Services - covers any services "shared" between businesses

3⃣ Other Key Matters - Tax, Employment, IP
Before you start your #fintwit special sits journey, remember to:

🤑Focus on validating if the "value unlocked" is real

🛫Simplify complexity by zeroing on "who gets what"

🤔Always think about deal incentives, merits & risks

🕵️Pay attention to details as media often is wrong
Thanks to @ValidGuru, @SpecialSitsNews, @JulianKlymochko, @compound248, @akramsrazor, @internetbluprnt, @matt_levine for the suggestions

Follow me @GlogauGordon & enjoy some stream of consciousness on #mergersandacquisitions, #SaaS and other topics

Follow, RT, spread the word!
UPDATE: JFYI here’s the summary of the moon charts to avoid scrolling

Good feedback @Matt_Levine_1 Image

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More from @JushuaRamo

Apr 24, 2023
"Fugayzi, fugazi. It's a whazy. It's a woozie. It's fairy dust. It doesn't exist. It's never landed. It is no matter. It's not on the elemental chart. It's not f*cking real”

*How to Tell if M&A Interest is Real or Not*

A🧵inspired by Trillium's $10 per share *offer* for $GETY twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
Before getting into details, it's important to sense check the buyer's chops

Is someone with a 500K share position (i.e. <0.1% stake) likely to drum up the committed *fire power* for a ~$4.0bn equity purchase price?

The headline typo alone was enough to convince me otherwise Image
Item #1 - *Valuation*

Don't just say *we're buying $GETY for $10 per share in cash* but note:

- Purchase 100% of the common stock
- Implied equity & enterprise values
- Premia (i.e. 1-day, 30-day VWAP, 52-wk high)

*Real* buyers always contextualize their offers for the Board
Read 9 tweets
Jan 31, 2023
The origin story of UKG offers a rare opportunity to unpack various interesting dynamics to me both as an ex-M&A deal practitioner & HR industry participant:

✅ Public company M&A deal dynamics
✅ Public company M&A deal dynamics
#HR & #HCM strategy/trends

Let's dive in!🧵
This🧵will include the following components to help guide how this "all-in-one" HCM was formed & the go-forward path

1⃣ Ultimate Software Refresher
2⃣ Kronos Refresher
3⃣ H&F Combo Mechanics
4⃣ UKG: The Combined Company
5⃣ What a Public UKG cloud look like
6⃣ Summary takeaways
1⃣ Ultimate Software Refresher

🟢 Founded in 1990

🟢 IPO'd in 1998

🟢 "All-in-one" HCM SaaS platform (UltiPro)

🟢 Payroll & HR *fulcrum*

🟢 Enterprise focus (>2.5K EEs)

🟢 ~6K customers (~50m EEs)

🟢 ~$1.5bn rev. & ~6K FTEs

🟢 LBO'd by H&F-led group in '20 (more to come)
Read 26 tweets
Jan 22, 2023
Rumblings on "Private-to-Private" M&A deals

From an M&A practitioner perspective, I can't help but to think there will be a newfound appreciation for the level of complexity involved in consummating these specific types of transactions in today's environment

Let me explain...🧵
Talks of a wave of "VC-backed consolidation" over the next 12-18 months have been pervasive in various Valley circles recently, and manifesting in the form of:

🤝 Buyers using '21 valuations opportunistically as "M&A currency"

🤝 "Roll-ups of last resort" for subscale players
There have been a number of "private-to-private" all-stock (or majority stock) combinations that have been consummated before

Two "success stories" that come to mind are 1) Seamless + Grubhub and 2) Elance + oDesk (now $UPWK)

But these deals have enormous underlying complexity
Read 18 tweets
Jan 19, 2023
The term "hostile takeover" begets images of "raiders" dawning two-toned collared shirt & suspender combos, screaming into phones in a cigar-smoke-clouded mahogany rooms filled with dot matrix printer tear-sheets...

But, $EMR showed that companies too can also "go hostile"🧵
So yesterday, $EMR announced *a proposal* to acquire $NATI for $53.00 a share (~$7.6bn and 32% premium to last close)

$NATI is a $1.7bn electronic T&M business with 70% GMS, 35K customers across diverse end markets

Deal would advance $EMR's global automation focus & strategy
Why go "hostile"?

Well, in short, if as a buyer you're getting stonewalled by management & their Board, you can put the target "in play" by going directly to shareholders

$EMR made many attempts to engage with $NATI in private dating to 5/22 with no constructive engagement
Read 10 tweets
Jan 13, 2023
M&A always gets buzz in the public markets

But, many investors don't understand what a deal means for them as a shareholder

Also, most can't be bothered reading thousands of pages of underlying documentation (or just get it very wrong)

Here are the SEC filings to dig into🧵
⏳At Announcement ("T+0")

8-K & 425
✅Press Release
✅Investor Presentation
✅Transaction Docs

Takeaways:
🤔Focus on "how it works" (rationale + mechanics)
🤔Ask yourself: "what do I get or give here?"

Example: how the $10bn $ADBE stock part of Figma deal *technically* works ImageImageImage
Takeaway #2: "Read Between the Lines"
🤔Stop and ask "why did they do this?"
🤔Stop and ask "where's the risk?"

Examples (all co-dependent variables)
1⃣Deal Closing (i.e. why close on X date)
2⃣Termination (i.e. who's at risk of not closing)
3⃣Others (i.e. "go shop" in PE deals) ImageImageImage
Read 11 tweets

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