Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #fintwit

Most recents (24)

Cuando inviertes tu dinero, tienes que tener una mentalidad de empresario.

Por ello debes gestionar tu portfolio como si fuera una empresa.

Hoy te cuento c贸mo.

Dentro hilo馃憞馃徎
1. Piensa en c贸mo funciona una empresa a largo plazo

Cuando piensas as铆, esto te permite aguantar tu posici贸n en esa inversi贸n eliminando el ruido.

Las empresas ganan dinero a largo plazo.

Por ello puedes aguantar esa inversi贸n m谩s que nadie y tener un gran beneficio.
2. No vendo ganadores pronto

Cuando tienes un buen empleado que te produce una buena cantidad de pasta 驴No lo dejas escapar verdad?

Te saldr铆a m谩s caro contratar una o dos personas para cubrirlo.

Lo mismo pasa con las inversiones, si algo tiene un futuro brillante, qu茅datelo.
Read 12 tweets
1/ Die #Inflation ist zuletzt global gefallen und in der letzten Woche in Europa sogar st盲rker als erwartet.
Dies wird nun teilweise als das Ende der Inflation gefeiert.

Ist das so?

Ein Thread 馃Уder meine Sichtweise beschreiben soll. Image
2/ Die fallende Geldmenge ist definitiv ein Argument f眉r eine weiter zur眉ck kommende #Inflation in den kommenden Monaten.

@DiegoFassnacht hat das zuletzt mehrmals angesprochen und erkl盲rt. Vielen Dank!

Image
3/ Ein weiteres Argument sind die kontinuierlich fallenden Produzentenpreise, die gerne als Vorl盲ufer f眉r den #CPI dienen.

Diesen Zusammenhang verdeutlicht die Graphik von @AndreasSteno eindrucksvoll. Mange tak! Image
Read 21 tweets
1/ C贸mo una buena o mala decesi贸n empresarial de crecimiento, rentabilidad y periodo de ventaja competitiva afectan el m煤ltiplo PE (Price/Earnings). Aunque parezca contraintuitivo, PE y el modelo DCF (Discounted Cash Flow), est谩n unidos desde la cadera por la estrategia. Abro馃У鈫
2/ Disclaimer: si puedes correlacionar los datos de cada columna y con cada rengl贸n de la matriz anexa, significa que tus conocimientos de finanzas son adecuados para saber c贸mo el DCF y PE se vinculan por la estrategia, en ese caso te recomiendo no leer el resto de este hilo: Image
3/ Algunas definiciones para este hilo:
NOPAT = Utilidad operativa neta despu茅s de impuestos
ROIC =rendimiento del capital invertido
ROIIC = rendimiento del capital invertido incremental
WACC = costo promedio del capital o costo de capital
CAP = Periodo de ventaja competitiva
Read 42 tweets
馃毃#fintwit I will be on @CNBCClosingBell today at 3pm ET hosted by the 鈥榡udge鈥 @ScottWapnerCNBC

- heading into a holiday weekend

Hope y鈥檃ll can tune in

@fs_insight @CNBC twitter.com/i/web/status/1鈥
2/

Doing this remote

See y鈥檃ll soon Image
3/

Here is a clip in case you missed it
馃憞
Read 5 tweets
Tack @Kvalitetsaktie f枚r er ov盲rderliga utbildning och inspiration. Satt i helgen lyssnade, antecknade & nj枚t n盲r ni diskuterade er filosofi (avs 108), v盲rldsklass! T盲nkte dela med mig av en summering av KAP-filosofin. OBS: 盲r en glad amat枚r s氓 res f枚r div fel & misstolkningar Image
KAP citat #1

"The basic ideas of investing are to look at stocks as business, use the market's fluctuations to your advantage, and seek a margin of safety. That's what Ben Graham taught us. A hundred years from now, they will still be the cornerstones of investing," /Buffett Image
Marknaden 盲r p氓 kort sikt irrationell men rationell p氓 l氓ng. Detta anv盲nder man till sin f枚rdel och utnyttjar felpriss盲ttningar. Sen tillkommer trender, flockbeteende och indexvikt. "Vem vill du helst s盲lja dina aktier till, en indexfond som automatiskt viktar upp eller Ola?" Image
Read 25 tweets
A lot of noise on #Fintwit regarding upcoming $RH earnings this week. I covered the company at a sell-side bulge bracket from 2016 to 2019, which included a dramatic investor sentiment change from Gary is terrible to he鈥檚 the next Steve Jobs. Here is my preview:
(1) $RH guided 1Q23 on March 29th. Since that time, US Census Retail Sales show April sales for Furniture industry down almost 9%, worst month since Mar-May 2020 and 2009 before that. March was down almost 3% so significant sequential industry deterioration. Image
(2) $RH 1Q22 sales were up 11.2% while 4Q21 sales were up 11.1%. So similarly difficult comparison as 4Q22 when sales came in at the low end of their guidance. Yet much worse industry performance. Image
Read 23 tweets
Following up from yesterday鈥檚 thread looking at management teams鈥 remuneration criteria, several ppl on #fintwit asked me to provide an example of a good executive compensation structure (@InvestInAssets).
A company that came to mind is Sherwin William鈥檚 鈥 a business I am invested in and have researched recently 鈥 a thread馃憞: Image
1/14 For context, Sherwin Williams ($SHW), is the largest coatings company in the world with a market cap of $61bn. The business was founded in 1870, operates nearly 5,000 paint stores in North America and serves customers in 120 countries through its 61,000 employees
Read 17 tweets
I just published my new newsletter issue 馃憞

$NVDA Nvidia Stock Analysis: Is it a Good Investment Opportunity?

I'll be summarizing it in this thread:

(Please retweet 馃檹) Image
Business Model:

Nvidia operates in 2 segments 馃憞

鈥 Graphics segment includes sales of GPUs & other related products.

鈥 Compute & Networking segment includes products related to data centers, artificial intelligence & high-performance computing. Image
Nvidia specialize in markets where their computing platforms can provide tremendous acceleration for applications.

Primary markets that $NVDA serves:

鈥 Data Center

鈥 Gaming

鈥 Professional Visualization

鈥 Automotive
Read 36 tweets
1/ Algunas virtudes y defectos de las principales medidas de rentabilidad:
鉁匯eturn on Equity= ROE
鉁匯eturn on Assets= ROA
鉁匯eturn on Invested Capital= ROIC
鉁匢nternal Rate of Return= IRR
鉁匔ash Flow Return on Investment= CFROI
鉁匨arket-Expected Return on Investment= MEROI
馃У鈫:
2/ Medir la rentabilidad de un negocio puede ser tan f谩cil o puede ser todo un desaf铆o, seg煤n sea el indicador financiero que se elija, el tipo de empresa a evaluar, el mercado o industria en el que participa y la calidad de la informaci贸n financiera:
3/ El siguiente esquema lo he bautizado como la escalera de la rentabilidad, la cual comienza con el ROE y termina con el MEROI, el com煤n denominador de todos es que se expresan en porcentajes e indican qu茅 tan rentable es un negocio o una parte de 茅l, seg煤n la m茅trica elegida: Image
Read 40 tweets
Hoy te explico como podr铆as comprar ETFs americanos desde Europa.

Son quiz谩s los ETFs m谩s atractivos y m谩s variados y Europa nos pone trabas.

Te voy a ense帽ar a esquivarlas.
Coge papel y boli que el hilo es largo.

Dentro hilo馃憞
Los ETFs americanos, adem谩s de ser de firmas muy reconocidas como Vanguard, Charles Schwab, First Trust, Invesco, etc.. tienen costes muy bajos, muchos pagan dividendo trimestral y ofrecen bastante liquidez.
El problema es que los pol铆ticos Europeos han decidido que son peligrosos para nosotros y nos han prohibido acceder a ellos en la EU 1286/2014 o PRIIPs.

Un saludo desde aqu铆 a los pol铆ticos por cuidar de nuestros ahorros.
Read 23 tweets
Das Gesundheitswesen bleibt mein favorisierter Sektor

Hier findet man viele tolle "Good Stories 馃摪" und zahlreiche gro脽artige Unternehmen mit unglaublichen Eigenschaften

Was man wissen muss und welche Sektoren und Unternehmen mir am besten gefallen

A 馃У
1/

Health Care

Der globale Gesundheitssektor bleibt aufgrund attraktiver Bewertungen in Kombination mit soliden Wachstumsperspektiven ein bevorzugter defensiver und qualitativ hochwertiger Sektor Image
2/

- Struktureller R眉ckenwind: Demografie, Big Data & eine steigende Nachfrage in den Schwellenl盲ndern, die auch in Zukunft f眉r ein 眉berdurchschnittliches Umsatz- und Ertragswachstum sorgen d眉rften
Read 27 tweets
STOP LOSS, um fio sobre minha vis茫o.

Pegando carona numa "treta" que teve com um querido amigo de #fintwit, gostaria de dar uma pequena vis茫o de um cara q j谩 apanhou bastante. Mais de 15a de mercado me ensinou um pouco...

Bem... vamos la: comecemos pelas frases mais sabias q
+
Ouvi nas mesas q operei de diversos traders/investidores:

1. Stop. D贸i na alma e protege o bolso.
2. Comprei a 1, tomei a 2, socaram a bola, vc j谩 t谩 errado.
3. Amor s贸 pelos meus filhos, nunca pela posi莽茫o.
4. Quanto custa teu stop?
5. N茫o 茅 qto eu posso ganhar mas sim qto+
Posso perder.
6. Macaco q pula de galho em galho quer chumbo.
7. Lugar de torcedor 茅 no est谩dio.
8. Vc n茫o 茅 pago pra t谩 certo e sim pra mudar de opini茫o.
9. Foda-se o q os outros acham, opero o meu view. Se eu estiver errado, pago o pr锚mio.
10. Stopou? 脫timo. Zera a cabe莽a e +
Read 9 tweets
Bankers are tightening lending standards faster than a squirrel can hide a nut up its ar*e for the 'credit' winter!

Velocity is collapsing | Ratio NGDP to M2
(Rate of money turnover in economy)...

#fintwit @ttmygh @LawrenceLepard @SantiagoAuFund @SamanthaLaDuc
US M2 Money Supply depth dive

- With the IORB at 4.90% and ON-RRP at 4.80%
- Banks will only continue to arb Fed Reserve Balances
to pay zero interest on bank deposits
- Reduces meaningful CRE, RE + commercial lending

Courtesy: Chris Watling, CEO Longview Economics
Check-out time at the Fed

Fed B/S
Mar 8 - 8.34 tn
Mar 15 - 8.64 tn
Mar 22 - 8.73 tn
Since Mar 23 (228bn) - 8.51 tn vs 8.34 tn (8 Mar)

Note: Loans = BTFP and other credit extensions
Read 3 tweets
Only a few generations ago, investing was mostly limited to wealthy individuals. No longer! Today, digitalization and democratization are reshaping how capital markets operate.

Here are 15 FREE investing tools every investor needs to start using today. Image
#1: ROIC.AI

This website offers you access to 30 years of financial data from 37,000 companies all around the world.

You don鈥檛 even need to register to get access to this big library of financial statements.
Just type in the ticker symbol or company name and the website will immediately bring you to a summary page on which you find important metrics like FCF per share, margin metrics, ROIC, multi-year growth averages, the capital structure of the business, or insider trading鈥 ImageImageImageImage
Read 57 tweets
Final de jogo!!! 脡茅茅茅, amigo... n茫o t谩 facil a vida desses meninos que ficam comprando e vendendo na frente do computador.

Entao... segue o Fio馃憞馃徎

Como sempre, vamos come莽ar pelo come莽o, sem vi茅s, sempre na famosa hip贸tese do SE.

Natural as pessoas terem suas prefer锚ncias, +
Mas aqui nessa terra de maluco, n茫o d谩 pra ter amor. Por mais que voc锚 goste de A e tenha ojeriza de B, com o seu rico dinheirinho, voc锚 tem q ter no m铆nimo RESPEITO.

Logo, se voc锚 o tem, deve avaliar os cen谩rios e deixar suas paix玫es de lado. N茫o adianta esbravejar, colocar +
A culpa da sua m谩 performance no governo ou no ex-governo. Voc锚 tem q fazer o q o MERCADO te manda, n茫o o q vc quer. Ele 茅 soberano e se vc vai contra, ser谩 o passageiro da agonia.

Isso serve para qq agente do mercado. PF, gestores, autarquias entre outros agentes. Portanto+
Read 9 tweets
Gold attempting to BREAKOUT of its second BIGGEST yearly defined base versus SPX.

Possible analog roadmaps with price & time targets.

8000$ in 2034
12000$ in 2033
21000$ in 2030

Overshoot on smaller time frames not included.

#gold #xauusd #spx #fintwit #inflation #recession
A couple of key observations.

You can't even see #gold's 2020 rally vs #spx, simply a wick, with a yearly close back below 0.50.

Also, note those extremely fast moves out of the gate, once yearly breakout is confirmed.
Major error on this #gold versus #spx chart...

I forgot the rocket ships!
Read 3 tweets
1/ Pausen, Zinserh枚hungen und Rezessionen - ein Blick auf die vergangenen Zyklen der Zinserh枚hungen und die daraus gezogenen Lehren. Ein Thread 馃У

#FED #Zins #Fintwit #Aktien #EZB #ECB #Wirtschaft
2/ In den letzten zwei Jahrzehnten gab es drei Zinserh枚hungsszyklen, von denen alle von Rezessionen begleitet wurden. Betrachten wir zun盲chst die Dotcom-Blase, die kurz nach einer Zinspause der FED im M盲rz 2000 platzte. (Abb.1) Image
3/ Die FED stoppte darauf hin im Mai 2000 ihre Zinserh枚hungen, was zu einer Pause von 10 Monaten f眉hrte. Der Nasdaq verlor in der Folge 78% seines H枚chststands bis Oktober 2002.
Read 13 tweets
馃挵 Vous venez de recevoir une prime.
馃 Faut-il l'investir, ou attendre ?

馃У D茅couvrez si timer parfaitement le march茅 fait (r茅ellement) toute la diff茅rence.

Spoiler : pas besoin d'锚tre M. Parfait pour r茅ussir.

#fintwit
Prenons 4 investisseurs.

Chacun re莽oit 2000鈧 au d茅but de chaque ann茅e pendant 20 ans, et investit via l'indice S&P500.

鈿狅笍 Il s鈥檃git uniquement d鈥檜n exemple pour illustrer le market timing. Les performances pass茅es ne pr茅jugent pas des performances futures.
M. Parfait 馃ぉ

C鈥檈st LE market timer. Il investit chaque ann茅e ses 2000鈧 au prix le plus bas du march茅.

En 2001, c'est le 21 septembre.
En 2002, le 9 octobre.
...

Il ne rate pas une ann茅e.
Une chance inou茂e qui le suivra pendant 20 ans.
On aimerait avoir son contact 馃憖
Read 8 tweets
Ahorra 馃挼MILES DE EUROS馃 y consigue la misma informaci贸n que los profesionales.
Aqu铆 tienes los mejores sitios GRATIS que conozco para invertir como un experto:馃憞
Roic AI
La mejor web gratis que existe si quieres tener todos los datos relevantes de una empresa en una sola p谩gina. Es como tener un Value Line completamente gratis.
Imprescindible a la hora de valorar empresas y ver sus resultados hist贸ricos. roic.ai
Dividend Radar
La biblia para el inversor en dividendos crecientes. Aqu铆 podr谩s descargar todos los datos actualizados sobre los Dividend Champions, Dividend Contenders y Dividend Challengers. portfolio-insight.com/dividend-radar
Read 15 tweets
Wor眉ber man in 馃嚝馃嚠Finnland gerade nachdenkt:
馃嚪馃嚭RUS bes(i)(e)tzt seit 1945 ein Inselchen im FIN Meerbusen, es hei脽t 袚芯谐谢邪薪写 (Gogland), auf Finnisch #Suursaari, und liegt mittig zwischen EST & FIN, 40 km vom gr枚脽ten FIN Containerhafen Kotka entfernt. Helsinki ist auch nah. 1/10 Image
Fraglos ist f眉r jedes Land freie Sicht auf die vielgestaltigen Ausdrucksformen russischen Seelenlebens eine wahre Freude: Werden sie heute eine A-Bombe z眉nden? Oder eine 脺berschall-Steinschleuder installieren? Ach nein, sie bauen nur eine Pyramide aus Waschmaschinen... 2/10 Image
Nun, in diesem Fall hat RUS auf der 20 km虏 gro脽en Insel, die fr眉her f眉r Touristen frei zug盲nglich war (seit 2006 nur mit RUS Sondergenehmigung, da Grenzgebiet) im Jahr der Krim-Invasion (2014) eine Radarstation & Hubschrauberlandepl盲tze gebaut. 3/10

de.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gogland
Read 10 tweets
Hoy te explico como podr铆as comprar ETFs americanos desde Europa.

Son quiz谩s los ETFs m谩s atractivos y m谩s variados y Europa nos pone trabas.

Te voy a ense帽ar a esquivarlas. Coge papel y boli que el hilo es largo.

Dentro hilo馃憞
Los ETFs americanos, adem谩s de ser de firmas muy reconocidas como Vanguard, Charles Schwab, First Trust, Invesco, etc.. tienen costes muy bajos, muchos pagan dividendo trimestral y ofrecen bastante liquidez.
El problema es que los pol铆ticos Europeos han decidido que son peligrosos para nosotros y nos han prohibido acceder a ellos en la EU 1286/2014 o PRIIPs.

Un saludo desde aqu铆 a los pol铆ticos por cuidar de nuestros ahorros.
Read 23 tweets
1/As promised & after reading $CRSP latest Q4 2022 #financial #report here is my impression regarding @CRISPRTX latest corporate status. I have focused only on the main issues that I found to be the most interesting & relevant. #CRISPR #BioTech #FinTwit #Genomics #GeneEditing 馃У CRISPR Therapeutics, a biopharmaceutical company focused on
2/IMO the most significant corporate event in Q4 was $CRSP announcement that regulatory Exa-cel submissions of both #SickleCell & #BetaThalassemia validated in the #EU & #UK & that the @US_FDA BLA submission is on track by the end of Q1 鈥23 - possibly reaching the #markets in 鈥23 Regulatory submissions complete for exagamglogene autotemcel
3/Exa-cel/CTX001 - the key program in $CRSP portfolio, is an #autologous Ex-Vivo #CRISPR/#Cas9 #GeneEditing therapy aimed for patients suffering from #TDT or severe #SCD. The latest readout for both programs was phenomenal with 42/44 TDT & 31/31(!) demonstrated remarkable results 3/Exa-cel - formally known as CTX001 and the key program in
Read 17 tweets
Whether you like it or not, we're in an #economic #reset & nothing can stop it

The #macro chart of the #USA #economy reveals a crucial insight everyone should pay attention to

US #GDP & M2 money supply in #USD tn

Read on...

#tradingview chart馃憠bit.ly/3IwTBrt

1/馃У Image
Untill 2011, money supply M2 consistently remained below 60% of #GDP

#Growth in M2 kept pace with GDP growth

Enabling low #inflation secular growth #economy

Despite popular #fintwit narrative, even GFC of 2008 did not upset M2 GDP鈿栵笍balance

This is what GFC did...

2/馃У Image
Average #GDP growth was 4% but M2 grew at 6%

Since 1960, this is the 1st time M2 increased faster than GDP

Still in 2011, M2 was less than historical average 60% of GDP

The story gets interesting for #investor #Traders #students #everyone

Then came the opportunity...

3/馃У Image
Read 9 tweets

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