Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #fintwit

Most recents (24)

1/It's the weekend, macro review, and time to post Reverse Repo making ATH last week and there will be wailing and gnashing of teeth across #fintwit over this rather uninteresting phenomenon so a 🧵on why it is so high.
2/Fed Balance Sheet Assets: prior to GFC this was <$1T and reflected NY Fed OMO to maintain Fed Funds, then Bernanke lost his mind IMO and started QE. The balance sheet grew from $946B to $4.5T ~8Yrs. We👀paint dry as the balance sheet shrank $700B until August 2019.
3/We had a bad cold/flu season in 2020, lost our collective minds, shut the economy down, and the Fed expanded the balance more using QE in the next 2 years than it did in 8 years following GFC.
Read 20 tweets
Hate threads, but love to read.

When people talk about best finance / Wall Street books, it’s always Barbarians at the Gate, Liar’s Poker, or Den of Thieves

But I wanted to share some lesser known favorites that should make anyone’s #FinTwit book list
Buy Side: A Wall Street Trader’s Tale of Spectacular Excess by @turneyduff (Writer for Billions, ex-Galleon Group)…
The Accidental Investment Banker: Inside the Decade That Transformed Wall Street by Jonathan Knee (Current Evercore, ex-GS banker)…
Read 14 tweets

A tough-love 🧵on why CPAs aren’t referring you business:
1. For starters, stop calling us “CPAs”. It’s our own industry’s fault, I know, but “CPA” is a license and it doesn’t tell you what that person actually DOES. Also, know that we’re often not location-specific like, say, attorneys tend to be.
When YOU are looking for US, rather than saying “I’m looking for a CPA in Atlanta”, consider what your client NEEDS. A tax professional who can handle multi-state equity comp? A part-time controller for their int’l mfg biz?
Read 33 tweets
Goldilocks and the Three Pivots - 101

This is a story of the Fed and it's next moves

What is a pivot?
What does it mean for markets and the economy
Will it be "Just Right"
How is this one different than any in the last 38 years?
All discussed here
What is a pivot. Well it's really simple. It's an action by the Fed. Not by what the markets are expecting of the Fed but by the Fed itself. In this case the Fed currently is tightening monetary policy using its tools. A pivot would be to a policy of neutrality. Not to easing
Of course in very rare occasions a pivot from tightening to easing could occur but typically the first shift is to neutral policy and then a further pivot to easing policy. The market is forward looking so it prices all future actions by the Fed and currently prices a two step
Read 15 tweets
The Players of #QuantumComputing #stonks #stocks In light of #NIST Post Quantum Crypto announcement

🧵dedicated to #fintwit #gold #silver #oil and other #investing 🐻 #StockMarket 🐂retail crackheads including a #cryptocurrency bonus for those who stick till the end 👇

A pure quantum play $IONQ

Founded in 2015, it is a commercial offshoot of 25 years of academic QC science. The company focuses on scalable quantum information processing and quantum communication hardware

IonQ's hardware is based on a trapped ion architecture

Another pure play $RGTI

Rigetti Computing was in 2013. The company went public in 2022 via a SPAC merger, and plans to scale its quantum computer systems to 4,000 qubits by 2026

They make superconducting qubit-based quantum processors on silicon and CIA I-Q-Tel baked it
Read 19 tweets
Ok so @GlobalProTrader blocked me because I disagreed with his tweet a month ago that the 30yr yield had broken out

Didn't say anything offensive at all

How do so many on #fintwit get such large followings when they act like this? ImageImageImage
Honestly let me know if there was something other than this, if there is I can't find it, but I'm open minded if I offended somehow @GlobalProTrader

it appears he deleted his tweet after I posted my chart though
@INArteCarloDoss another one for you
Read 6 tweets
1 New to investing?

2 Confused by #fintwit jargon?

3 Do we trust people presenting “valuation” to know what they don't know?
(Hint: “my-laser-eyed-golden-skin-ape-pic-is-worth-at-least-twice-your-diamond-skin-ape-pic” = relative pricing. Not valuation)

Follow #PiggyBack🧵

1/X Image
Equity = Assets - Liabilities

But what asset and liability values are we going to use?

The answer as always: it depends on what we are going to use it for.

Here is a summary of equity metrics, from the most conservative:

Price/”Net-Net” Working Capital (P/NNWC)

Classic Graham/Dodd strategy

Assumes: Use only most liquid current assets, deduct subjective discounts.

Conditions (often missed in screens):
1) Not consuming assets (melting ice cube/negative cash-flow)
2) Historical profitability

3/X Image
Read 28 tweets
1/ #ZEPAK #analiza

Dziś w nawiązaniu do obietnicy poniżej 👇 analiza @ZEPAKS
#energetyka #GPW #akcje

Prośba o Re-tweet / Like jeśli uważasz content za wartościowy. 💙 👍
#energetyka #GPW #research #investing
@Zepaks 2/ Na początek kilka informacji:
- podjąłem się analizy jako challenge mema @dingoromuald, którego komentarz (2 mld PLN EBITDA'23) vs. MCap (ok. 1 mld PLN) wydał mi się na tyle absurdalny, że postanowiłem sam to sprawdzić;
- analiza jest wyrazem mojego własnego postrzegania spraw
@Zepaks @DingoRomuald 3/ - nie gwarantuję, że jest ona wolna od wad i błędów, choć starałem się dołożyć staranności, aby konkluzje były oparte na danych, faktach i racjonalnych założeniach;
- jestem otwarty na ich krytykę i dyskusję w temacie;
- jednocześnie zachęcam do własnego researchu i analizy!
Read 38 tweets
I'm convinced that Twitter is the ultimate trader development tool.

I’ve been active on #fintwit for over 2 years now, and these people have seriously changed my life for the better. 🙏

Here are the accounts (& some recent posts) I learn from the most👇🧵
1️⃣: @MarkMinervini

Helpful content to level up your trading - here’s an example about entry timing 💪
@markminervini 2️⃣: @MarkRitchie_II

A wealth of knowledge & ideas straight from a market wizard. This is a great thread of his to read through 🔥
Read 15 tweets
Since joining Twitter 1.5mo ago, I've had the privilege of interacting with an elite set of intelligent + grounded investors, some of which I've connected w/ outside of this platform. Please give them a follow!
- @Josh_Bowser_: Cash Flowing w/ Stocks + RE
- @JCacciapaglia: San Antonio RE investing; Shipping Container STR
- @JackBarnett101: STRs in Ocean City, MD (10+ units!)
- @Fire5280: 10+ LTRs/STRs portfolio in CO
- @MidwesternFI: #FinTwit's #1 decent + honest guru
- @Jmrothenberg: LTRs/STRs across the US
- @Blind__Luck: Financial Independence in AZ
- @cherrygarcia12: RE Investing in Austin, TX
- @JTiralosi: First-Time House Hacker
- @ResilientRei: Top-notch weekly REI newsletters
Read 6 tweets
1/As promised & after reading $NTLA latest Q1 2022 financial report here is my analysis regarding @intelliatx latest corporate status. I have focused only on the main issues that I found to be the most interesting & relevant. #CRISPR #GeneEditing #BioTech #FinTwit #Genomics👇
2/NTLA-2001 is the most advanced In-Vivo #CRISPR/#Cas9 #GeneEditing program in $NTLA portfolio & is aimed to treat Transthyretin Amyloidosis - (ATTR). NTLA-2001 could potentially halt & reverse the disease in a “one time” treatment by knocking out the TTR gene with a single dose
3/In February $NTLA has presented an updated clinical data from its Phase 1 study of NTLA-2001 which included 15 patients with ATTR amyloidosis. IMO NTLA-2001 readout looks promising & here is a summary that I wrote shortly after @intelliatx’s presentation of NTLA-2001👇
Read 14 tweets
We think stock charts combined with knowledge are one of the most important concepts in the world.

In this post, you’re going to understand WHY & HOW we rarely miss.

And how to use this to boost your intelligence, potential, and happiness. 🙂


-What is technical analysis?
-How do technical analysts work?
-How to use technical analysis
-Fundamental Assumptions in the Technical Analysis of Stocks

#XclusiveTrading #Stocks
-Technical Analysis vs Fundamental Analysis
-Key Aspects of Technical Analysis
-Limitations of Technical Analysis

#XclusiveTrading #Stocks
Read 14 tweets
#fintwit #finanstwitter

1/n According to "my" crude estimate, "stocks" are more expensive then 1st nov last year when ERP was at 2,96.. where is these variables in 1 year? 🤷‍♂️
@MacroAlf @JackFarley96 @dampedspring @TureMasing @dahlqvistjonas 2/4 How much will financial conditions tighten. I guess we have to look no further than the inflation prints.

As for 30y, no idea .. iirc supply surprised on the downside on May 2. Growth expectations surely took a hit yesterday, but who knows where EPS will end up..
3/n the base case(as well as consensus) seems like fin. cond. will continue to tighten until beginning next year. Both 30y and fwd EPS are hard to predict for me, Id be inclined to guess that EPS has some downside to go..
Read 4 tweets

#finanstwitter #fintwit #inflation

Core PCE been down to 0.3 last 2 MoMs, sure, headline been high but will that stick around? 🤷‍♂️

High headline might hold also core back .. and ppl already bought a lot of "stuff" last 2 years, probably a lot of spending moved fwd. 🤷‍♂️
Good thing I am not a hairdresser..
Read 5 tweets
Ever read an article in Bberg or WSJ about a big fraud and wondered how so many professional investors were fooled?

Well then, this may be the thread for you!

Let's take a look at AllianzGI Structured Alpha in '17 👇🏿
As one might expect, it was presented as a return enhancement. Boy did it work, until it didn't of course. Designed to outperform in all scenarios!

Sidenote: @choffstein & @bennpeifert did y'all ever run into these folks?

Just so it's absolutely clear that we are talking about the same folks... Good size team (not going to put the whole crew out there). 3/n
Read 22 tweets
Vou tentar descrever meu processo de tomada de decisão, talvez ajude alguém. Talvez eu escrevendo ou debatendo melhore alguma coisa. Resumido, simplificado, mas espero que suficiente.
Primeiro olho o cenário macro, acho MENOS DIFÍCIL olhar o longo prazo do que o curto. Qual o
cenário para inflação, juros e crescimento? Respondendo esses 3 pontos, busco as classes e setores que serão beneficiados.

Tudo é relativo. Equity é um bond com cupom variável, portanto começo olhando o índice e o Equity Risk Premium implícito (earnings yield X juro real).
Se o ERP estiver abaixo da média histórica, a curva de juros não estiver precificando devidamente o que acredito ser a taxa adequada ou o lucro esperado pelo mercado esteja otimista demais, não faz sentido comprar bolsa. Minha exposição líquida é uma função do ERP, pois mesmo que
Read 17 tweets
#raportzportfela #sezon2 #dywidenda
Najnowszy raport z portfela dedykuję wszystkim nowym inwestorom, którzy dopiero zamierzają rozpocząć przygodę z rynkiem finansowym. Świadome decyzje, w oparciu o analizę rynku, zwiększają szanse na dobre efekty.🧵
Nie znajdziecie tu gotowych rozwiązań. Jeśli jednak zamierzacie zainwestować swoje środki z myślą o uzyskaniu tzw.wolności finansowej to obecna sytuacja powinna każdego mobilizować do gromadzenia:
▶️ środków
▶️ wiedzy
aby być gotowym do podjęcia deczyji.
Dodam też, że osobiście preferuję inwestycje długoterminowe, które powinny zyskiwać na jakości wraz z nabywanym przez nas doświadczeniem.
Przy okazji zachęcam abyście dali znać w komentarzach, jakiej wiedzy potrzebujecie na starcie.
#ike #inwestycje
Read 25 tweets
Do foreign yield curves help predict US recessions? It seems so:…

A short 🧵1/5 #EconTwitter #fintwit Image
The short note shows that foreign term spreads (3m10s) constructed from non-US G7 constituents contain information about future US recessions *even after* accounting for the predictive content of the US term spread and several other leading indicators
2/5 Image
Not just recession risk, but steeper (flatter) US *and* foreign term spreads are associated with faster (slower) future real GDP growth in the US
3/5 Image
Read 5 tweets
#raportzportfela #sezon2 #dywidenda
Dużo łatwiej jest pisać raport z portfela, gdy jest on na plusie, ale przecież my tu myślimy długoterminowo, wszakże jest to portfel dywidendowy :).
Tak więc niezależnie od nastrojów na #fintwit zaczynamy :)
Dla przypomnienia:
💫 saldo początkowe▶️19 472,33 pln
💫 suma dopłat w 2022 r.▶️ 17 766 pln
💫 rentowność w obecnym sezonie▶️-4,49%
💰 na rachunek wpłynęła pierwsza dywidenda od #rokita . Gotówka dostępna▶️272,75 pln.
#ike #ikze #dywidenda #akcje
Tabela z dywidendami. Od ostatniego tygodnia nic się nie zmieniło. Czekamy na informacje z kolejnych spółek. Zobaczymy, czy ktoś zdezerteruje czy jednak każda z wymienionych spółek podzieli się zyskiem.
Read 20 tweets
1) Hay 2 formas de hacer un pronóstico financiero, un juicio sobre el futuro, con un Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), el primero consiste en pensar causalmente, tener una visión interna, el segundo método consiste en pensar estadísticamente, comúnmente conocido como vista exterior
🧵 Image
2) Los modelos financieros de analistas e inversores son un buen ejemplo del 1er método, vista interior, el cual consiste en reunir mucha información de su interés, la combinan con su propia aportación y experiencia, y la proyecta hacia el futuro
3) La vista interior se relaciona con el pensamiento causal, una forma de contar historias convincentes para anticipar el futuro y de explicar el pasado. Nuestras mentes son excelentes para crear narrativas fáciles para explicar lo que sucede en el mundo que nos rodea
Read 23 tweets
This is a continuation from the '$VIX Rule of 8' post;

I see this all the time on #Fintwit from self-proclaimed 'traders' - those who don't actually post their trades in real time with charts or admit they're wrong so revert to selling a newsletter or 'service'

I guess...

I know of 3 people who can do successfully do both... and their posts aren't vague.

The commentary is that "Price is the only thing that matters."

On an absolute basis, this is sometimes correct. But, markets change, so good traders must adjust.

The phrase should be...

"Relative Price is the only thing that matters."

What is your stock doing today relative to the sector it's in... relative to the news just released, relative to the overall market?
Is this a breakout on a relative basis or absolute.

Your industrial stock / $XLI? etc

Read 5 tweets
#Uranium: It’s different this time?
Some thoughts on why I think that taking the last uranium bull market too literally will likely lead to missing out on returns during the most lucrative time in the cycle. However, cyclicality still applies and scaling in & out is important 🧵
1/ “It’s different this time” are regarded as the most dangerous words in #finance used by Wall Street to trick investors into bubble equities that they should sell, not buy. #fintwit
2/ I list some reasons below why #uranium might very well be the exception to the rule and really be different this time. Moreover, I believe focusing on the last uranium bull run 04-07 will lead to false analysis ➡️ missing out on gains
Read 10 tweets
Added $CYBE @CyberOpticsCorp to my microfund "Picks and shovels plays" #wikifolio…
Will share longer investment thesis at a later time. some insights below 1/ #fintwit #sensingprecision #MicroLED #MiniLED
$CYBE CyberOptics Corporation designs, develops, manufactures, and markets high precision sensing technology solutions and system products for inspection and metrology worldwide.
Great Picks and shovels play on #semiconductors #MiniLED #MicroLED #IoT #LightsOutFactory 2/
MC: $ 313.9M
Cash: $ 19.3M
EV: $ 278M
P/E fwd: 21.56
EV/Sales fwd: 2.7
P/S fwd: 3
EPS growth YoY: 131.7%
ROE growth YoY: 98%
Operating Cashflow growth: 69%
Ultra tight float: Only 7,4M shares! #fintwit 3/
Read 6 tweets
Indore is home to 10% Registered Investment Advisors of India (RIA).
It was at a point of time called Mini Bombay.
Since RIA came into being in 2013, 90% of 16,400 complaints are from Indore based operators.
Four such firms have been reported to SEBI over 500 times. (Source @TheKenWeb )
Read 10 tweets

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