🍁Suicidology Update 🍁
🍁Suicide in Canada during the Pandemic 🍁
Quite simply, suicide rates in Canada have sharply decreased since the onset of the pandemic. It is a profound effect, with changes we haven't seen going back 25 years.
"Is this caused by people dying of covid?"
No, and we can test this by age stratification. If COVID was responsible for the decrease, we would see an over-representation of decrease in older groups, and the decrease is consistent in all age groups.
/2
"But Overdoses have increased"
Yes. But, not why suicide rates decreased. Similar age reasons (overdoses peak at middle age), as well the reporting delay is specifically due to coroner's investigations. Most ODs accidental. Suicides obviously not. At best a minimal effect.
/3
"Will there be a delayed effect"
I commonly hear this, but that's not how suicide works. As is evident, changes in rates happen quickly (see the seasosnality of the graph!). We do not see "delayed" effects for other things like contagion, economic depressions, etc.
/4
"Will they increase in the future?"
Very likely. suicide rates in Canada have gone up and down (overall quite static) for the past 20 years. lower rates in 2020 and 2021 means that even previously normal rates would be a 25% increase!
/5
"So you're saying nobody suffered during the pandemic?"
Absolutely not. Suicide and mental health have a connection but they are not equivalent. Suicide is multifactorial and economic, social, personal, and external factors all weigh in. Let's end the direct MH talk, please.
/6
"What are you trying to say?"
I am presenting statistics. If you heard that suicides in Canada increased, you heard wrong. Suicides in Canada have convincingly decreased and the data is undeniable. That's it. Battling misinformation. Because that's what I do :)
/fin
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Aside from the obvious fact that there is a worldwide pandemic which affects our vascular system, it should be noted that the COVID-19 vaccines have amazing safety profiles, & belief that more people are "dying suddenly" is purely due to a bias: Baader-Meinhof Phenomenon.
The Baader-Meinhof Phenomenon, or the frequency illusion, occurs when increased awareness of something creates the illusion that it is appearing more often.
Physicians in ERs everywhere know that sudden deaths occur, and have been occurring at a regular frequency.
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News stories about athletes dying or having collapsing events have occurred regularly. It's only recently that disingenuous grifters and antivaxxers have seized upon them to ghoulishly claim that they are new and they are related to the vaccine.
/3
A common tactic by misinformation spreaders who claim the innocence of asking questions, while intentionally not caring about the answers whatsoever and knowing that the questions cast all the doubt themselves.
/1
Of course, criticism/questions ARE good for the development of knowledge! But misinformation spreaders exploit this, asking the same questions & never accepting the best answers.
As someone dedicated to battling misinfo, here are some helpful tips for detecting JAQing:
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1) does your answer matter? one of the quickest way to figure out if someone is a JAQer is to see their response. Questions are supposed to be curious, a non-curious question is a statement designed as a question (a rhetorical question)
Literally, colleges and associations regulate what practitioners can say all the time. it's to protect the public. When seeing a practitioners, governments are interested in ensuring there are regulations on what can be said and done.
/1
If I see a patient, I have the *freedom* to tell them that my supplements will cure their cancer. But a college may in fact regulate my ability to both say that, sell them, or even see patients to begin with, or use the MD in my communications.
In fact, government tightly controls who can and who can not give medical, psychological, and professional assessment advice
To be clear, there is still abundant evidence (despite antivaxxers claiming the contrary) that:
Vaccination protects others by:
Reducing transmission
Increasing viral clearance time
Reducing health care burdens
Masks protect others by:
Reducing transmission
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This is well evidenced, backed by tremendously overwhelming studies that clearly demonstrate a *positive effect size* on reducing transmission. No level of protection is 100% but for a worldwide pandemic it would sure be great if we did everything we knew worked.
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Other things that we are sure work:
Financial protection for families who have to stay home and miss work
Suicidology (Pediatric, Pandemic)
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Being able to use data through 2022 (Jan-May), we can show that contrary to the moral panic and "mental health expert's" claims, suicide rates for children in the US did not increase during the pandemic year over year.
/1
In this graph, we compare a reference 3 year period just before the pandemic to two full pandemic years (with the years beginning in March) and show a lower rate of suicide (not statistically significant).
I've added a partial 2022 result as well (mar-may).
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Typically mar-may has a higher pediatric suicide rate (remember: school months!) compared to june-feb (which includes summer months).
This has been true in 18 of the last 21 years, so I anticipate that if anything the 2022 estimate is high.
/3
Absolutely insidious... @newsweek publishes a "Mythbusting about suicide" that is actually a disguised CCHR scientology antipsychiatry piece (complete with "treated with substances or... Electroshock).
Accurate misinfo correction used as a trojan horse to promote religious psychiatry misinformation. Incredible.
@CaulfieldTim@gorskon what do we call this? I'm not sure I've seen something like this before!
"Trojan Horse Mythbusting?"
To be clear, CCHR is not "expert" in anything to do with mental health. The organization is created to advance the Scientology antipsychiatry position.