Dan Nystedt Profile picture
Jan 26 5 tweets 2 min read
“The US government's new restrictions on sales of equipment, parts, and services for specific technologies and customers in China are further impacting equipment demand in a declining market,” said Tim Archer, CEO of US chip equipment giant Lam Research. 1/4 $LRCX #semiconductor
2/4 Lam forecast the China export restrictions would cost US$2 billion to $2.5 billion in sales in 2023, ¾ on the system side and ¼ on the services side of its business. $LRCX #semiconductor
3/4 The China restrictions immediately pulled the spare parts business out of Lam’s revenue plan, as it cannot sell spares to certain customers and technologies in China. Similarly, Lam can't service the tools in China at restricted customers and technologies, Archer said.
4/4 The China restrictions are an even bigger problem now as the semiconductor demand fades:
"We see a substantially weaker demand environment ...," Archer said, adding the company plans to cut approximately 1,300 employees. $LRCX #semiconductor
Archer made the comments at the company's 4th quarter investors' conference. Transcript here: fool.com/earnings/call-…

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More from @dnystedt

Jan 27
KLA Corp. #semiconductor equipment maker.
Dec. quarter earnings:
Revenue US$2.98 billion vs analysts estimated $2.81 bln
Net Profit $978.8 bln
EPS (Adjusted): $7.38 vs estimated $7.01
2022 Revenue +28% to $10.5 bln
Free Cash Flow +18% to $3 bln
Inventories $2.535 bln
$KLAC 1/8
2/8 KLA Outlook
Calendar year 2023 “will be a year of contraction after 3 strong years of growth,” as industry spending slows due to rising macroeconomic concerns, KLA said.
-WFE (wafer fab equipment) demand seen -20% from 2022’s $94-$95 billion (to around $75 billion) $KLAC
3/8 KLA Guidance (Q3 2023)
Revenue $2.2 - $2.5 billion
Non-GAAP Gross Margin 60.5-62.5%
EPS (Adjusted) $4.52 - $5.92

Foundry-logic forecast to be 85% of process control revenue, memory is expected to be around 15%.
(Note, process control = 89% of KLA revenue in Dec quarter)
Read 9 tweets
Jan 25
ASML 4th quarter 2022 beat analysts’ estimates
Net sales €6.4 billion vs estimate €6.38 billion
Gross margin 51.5% vs 54.2% in Q4 2021
Operating margin 33.0% vs 40.7%
Net profit €1.82 bln vs estimate €1.7 bln
EPS €4.60
Accelerated "fast shipments on DUV" in Q4
1/15 $ASML
2/15 Taiwan continued to be the main buyer of ASML systems in the 4th quarter.
ASML net system sales €4.748 billion in the 4th quarter versus €4.255 billion in the 3rd quarter $TSM $ASML Image
3/15
ASML’s 2022 sales rose 14% to €21.2 billion (US$23 billion), on continued strong demand.
Gross margin 50.5% versus 52.7% in 2021
Net profit €5.6 bln vs €5.88 bln
EPS of €14.14 vs €14.36
Lithography units sold: 345 vs 309
Net bookings €30.67 billion vs €26.24 billion
Read 15 tweets
Jan 25
ASML CEO Peter Wennink expects a political decision on semiconductor technology exports to China that the U.S. deems sensitive “sooner rather than later” due to “time pressure,” he said in a media Q&A ahead of ASML’s 4th quarter earnings call. 1/3 $ASML #China #semiconductor
2/3 In a statement, he said “The facts are that nothing really changed since the October regulations that came out of the United States. Which actually means that we will not ship EUV to China for instance. But we can still ship DUV and metrology and inspection tools.” $ASML
3/4 During the media talk, Wennink said there are many details that need to be ironed out, and that further speculation is not helpful as everyone awaits the politicians to “come to a reasonable solution.”
Read 6 tweets
Jan 13
TSMC 4th quarter (Q4) earnings News roundup

Most of the information can be found in this thread from yesterday:

But media added some nice info and I missed a few key items.
1/8
2/8 TSMC Q4
$TSM US-listed shares closed +6.4% at $87
-4Q gross margin (GM) 62.2% beat analysts’ estimates 60.1%
4Q22 operating margin (OM) 52%, beat estimated 50%
Net profit NT$295.9 bln beat estimated NT$287.8 bln
EPS NT$11.41
Quarterly record highs: GM, OM, net profit, EPS
3/8 TSMC Full Year 2022
TSMC’s full year 2022 net profit rose 70.4% to NT$1.02 trillion;
Means TSMC made a net profit NT$2.76 billion every day last year, or more than NT$100 million each hour, media report.
$TSM #semiconductors
Read 9 tweets
Jan 12
TSMC 4th Quarter Earnings Jan. 12

Net Revenue +26.7% year-on-year to US$19.93 billion, at low-end of $19.9-$20.7 billion guidance

Net Revenue (NT$) +42.8% to NT$625.53 billion
Net Profit +78% to NT$295.9 billion
GM 62.2% vs guide 59.5-61.5
OM 52% vs guide 49-51
$TSM Thread 1/x
2/x TSMC 4th Quarter (Q4) $TSM

Q4 wafer shipments fell 6.8% to 3.702 million wafers from 3.974 million in the 3rd quarter.
3/x TSMC Q4 $TSM

Q4 revenue rose as 5nm process technology accounted for more sales, 32% of the total, up from 28% in the 3rd quarter. Image
Read 26 tweets
Dec 15, 2022
ASML CEO Peter Wennink pushed back against new U.S. export rules on China, saying his company has already sacrificed enough and the new rules are unnecessary, media report. ASML has been restricted from selling its most advanced machines (EUV) to China since 2019 - 1/3 $ASML
2/3 $ASML
and U.S. rivals benefit by selling alternative technology, he reportedly said, adding "it is common knowledge that chip technology for purely military applications is usually 10, 15 years old. (Yet) the technology used to make such chips can still be sold to China."
Note: Interesting interview. ASML's position is reasonable. It's true that many military chips are old. But new US restrictions are aimed at supercomputer and AI chips and the ability to make such chips, not older chips. Tough situation.
Link: reuters.com/technology/ceo…
Read 4 tweets

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