Two years ago on 1/27/21 I posted my #silversqueeze post on Wallstreetbets

It was a Wednesday night in the middle of the GameStop controversy

Four days later #silver was squeezing

Robinhood banned buying of PSLV

A few days later $SLV changed their prospectus

Crazy times
2 months later the #LBMA admitted they over represented their inventories by 110m ounces of silver

A month after that they released a report saying they came roughly 2 weeks from running out of silver

@CFTCbehnam admitted they “had to tamp down” the silver run up
Jeff Currie of Goldman went on CNBC and Bloomberg saying there was no risk of running out of silver and that 50 billion ounces were available

A massive misrepresentation when the LBMA came within a couple hundred million ounces of running out
BTW

Jeff Christian, a guy who silverbugs typically don’t get along with, says there is roughly 2-2.5 billion ounces in deliverable form and another 3B or so in smaller bullion form globally

And he always argues against the notion of shortage or squeeze potential
Just pointing out what blatant lie Jeff Currie said on TV and podcasts multiple times

For the head of commodity research he seems to know nothing about silver

He also claimed copper was the “most conductive metal on the periodic table of elements”

But that’s actually silver
So the guy CNBC and Bloomberg trust the most either has no idea what he’s talking about, or has sinister motives regarding silver

Idk which but it’s sad the misinfo that gets out there
And I would be remiss to not also mention @TheLastDegree

He posted #silversqueeze first on WSB

My post simply blew up more on Reddit and got media attention, but his was first!

I didn’t have a Twitter yet but I’m told he got #silversqueeze trending here as well
So many have played a big part in the movement since

It’s been fun getting to know a lot of you!

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More from @ThHappyHawaiian

Jan 28
We waste so much time on the fed and their supposed ability to stop #inflation

They can't control it, they just affect the timing

Tightening now just means more inflation later, it's kicking the can

The inflation is inevitable, Powell simply decides the WHEN, not the IF
"if Powell eases now he'll repeat the mistakes of Arthur Burns and allow inflation to become a bigger problem"

The reality is inflation is going to be a big problem no matter what, but Powell has the choice to cause economic downturn to delay it
The issue mutli-fold

Massive under investment in energy and commodities for a decade means we are short just about everything we need if the economy is allowed to grow

Investments in expanding supply won't happen unless prices move much higher to make projects feasible
Read 9 tweets
Nov 21, 2022
This could be a huge month for #silver in December

Dec 2020: 47m oz delivered
Dec 2021: 46m oz delivered

Currently there are only 36m oz of registered inventories in COMEX vaults

If we had 45m oz delivered for Dec 2022 it would be the 1st time that deliveries exceed registered Image
There's still 9 days to go till first notice so we'll have to see how many contracts do indeed stand for delivery, but so far we're roughly tracing the 2021 path on open interest for December

CME will play their games though!
Of course the denominator could change as well (the 36m in registered), but the recent trend on registered is lower

Open interest is the far more volatile piece of the equation typically so it's more worth watching over the next week
Read 6 tweets
Nov 21, 2022
Looking for informal opinions from any lawyers who follow me.

Hypothetical situation here, let me lay it out, and you tell me if this person could go to prison or not

An investor with a huge following does an angel investment round with a new financial services startup
This startup will make risky loans to other startups that earn yields higher than junk bonds due to their level of riskiness

To fund these loans they will seek out retail consumers to provide the capital

To convince these retail investors to make these ‘deposits’ they say..
That the deposits are similar to any old savings or checking account but just way better because it pays 9% instead of 0%

So why wouldn’t everyone want to put their money into a “savings account” that pays 9%?

Then, defaults pour in on the risky loans, new company goes bankrupt
Read 4 tweets
Oct 25, 2022
As the midterms approach, it’s important to remember the @uscensusbureau admitted to significantly over counting in some states and under counting in others

And we all just shrugged and said “well we’ll fix it in 2030”

RI and MN should have one less seat and TX and FL one more
Just crazy to me that in May 2022 with plenty of time to fix the mistakes before this election we didn’t

And not only that, but we aren’t going to fix it for the next 4 elections either

TX and FL are going to be underrepresented in the house for a decade now and MN and RI over
It’s also a potential swing of 4 electoral votes as well

If MN and RI both go blue and TX and FL both red, that’s a 4 vote swing

Hopefully the election isn’t that close & it doesn’t matter. But if it is, then this mistake could actually be a real threat to our electoral process
Read 5 tweets
Oct 25, 2022
Home prices as measured by the Case Shiller index fell 1.3% in the month August

Year over year home prices are up 13%

The fed continues to break the economy and even moreso housing with mortgage rates over 7% Image
People keep saying “Powell needs to a pull a Volcker to kill inflation”

Well when it comes to housing he already has

This is the inflation adjusted mortgage payment index

We’re at the highest levels since 1981 and nearing all time highs

He’s done too much too fast Image
And look, I get it if he wants higher rates to slow housing

But the real travesty is how much he’s hurting long term access to mortgages

By killing MBS so quickly, markets have to price in higher volatility now
Read 7 tweets
Sep 13, 2022
Another 2% of #platinum NYMEX inventories gone today

229k ounces left

#platinumsqueeze continues to build Image
Another 1% today, chippin away Image
The trickle continues, 225k ounces left Image
Read 15 tweets

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