Shyam Sekhar Profile picture
Feb 3 8 tweets 2 min read
#newtaxregime - good or bad?
The debate has just begun.
Firstly, no sensible person saves or invests to avoid taxes.
We do it because we know we need to.
It's for our own good.
By investing a part of our income, we ensure we have enough money when our income stops or reduces.1/n
When we invest for our future, we need to have a plan.

We need to have measurement.

We need flexibility.

We need to practice a blended approach.

When one studies what people did with their tax savings, it will be amply clear their investing lacked on these critical needs. 2/n
Here are some glaring blunders.
Firstly, look at insurance.
Most people were missold insurance.
Yet they ended up being under insured.
People bought 50k worth of insurance policies.
Yet, they weren't even insured for 1 cr .

They saved taxes. But, still were exposed to risks. 3/n
ELSS is another story.
Most people never let ELSS investments compound beyond 3 years. They recycled it.
So the same money was rotated to save taxes.
The appreciation was skimmed off as dividends.
End result- only tax saving.
Very limited wealth creation. No compounding.4/n
PPF was probably the best chance in compounding. Locking investment for 15 years was its strength. But, it gradually lost sheen as debt investing stopped appealing to GenX. They don't want stick to investing in PPF year after year. Erratic investment in PPF serves no purpose. 5/n
Misselling was rampantly impacting tax saving investments in insurance. If a banker wrongly sold you a ULIP or money-back or endowment, you got stuck in it. You lost years. Also, if you wish to correct the mistake, you actually lost some money already invested as tax savings. 6/n
What does #newtaxregime do?
It leaves it to you.
Puts more money in your hands.
You can choose now.
You can take a term.
Do a SIP.
Get #healthinsurance.
Invest in debt/PPF/EPF.
Create a balanced portfolio.
Avoid misallocating money.
Allow compounding.
Measure and grow.7/n
Importantly, you will think beyond taxes while making your critical investment decisions. You will start seeing the merit of the decisions far more clearly.

You will be more critical. But you will also become more conscious. And, you cannot escape becoming more responsible.8/n

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More from @shyamsek

Feb 5
Owning vast tracts of farm land was sign as wealth in 60s and 70s. Losing that land was seen as economic failure. So if you wanted to make a community lose economically, you had to make them sell their land. If they lost economically, they would automatically lose social status.
If they lose social status, they will have nothing left that motivates them to stay. So making people sell their land and leave was seen as political genius.

It worked for a few decades. Actually, it worked very well. People sold their lands, misallocated their monies and fell.
The fall was social, economic and political. It had a triple whammy. But, opportunity is always universal. It's the basic human spirit to somehow regain what you lost. Meet generations that follow people who lost everything & you will see a raging fire within them to succeed.
Read 15 tweets
Dec 29, 2022
Time for some fun.
Instead of mocking others, let's do some self mocking.
This is the "best collection" of stocks.
I'm going #equalweight.
Just Ten MostBoring Stocks.
All-in-one Hall of fame list.
Presenting
The #BoringStocks of 2023.
Feel free to track & ridicule.
Here we go.
#HDFC. The mother of all boring stocks. Soon to be #hdfcbank.
Should do better simply because the expectations have never run so low.
1/10
#COALINDIA. No less boring. Much hated. Much bitched on WhatsApp. Everybody loves to abuse." Dividend play that's a widow stock" is what #BAAP Moghuls will call it on TV.
Most "intelligent investors" feel the same way about its owner as they do about their own mother-in-law.2/10
Read 13 tweets
Nov 11, 2022
This is for #Nykaa investors.
Assume you hold 100 Nykaa shares from the #IPO.
The IPO price was 1125.
A 5:1 bonus was issued.
Today you own 600 shares.
The cost of your original 100 shares will be your IPO purchase price.
If you sell now at 175, let's see the overall impact. 1/n
First , let us see the tax impact.
Your original 100 shares cost ₹1125.
IPO listing date was November 11, 2021. Share allotment date was between November 1 and 8, 2021.

If you sold your original 100 shares at ₹175, you attract a long term capital loss of ₹950. #Nykaa 2/n
Now to the bonus shares of 500. The cost of these 500 shares will be zero.
When you sell them within a year from the allotment date of the bonus shares, you will attract a short-term capital gains tax of 15%.

In reality, you never made a profit. You actually made ₹75 loss. 3/n
Read 7 tweets
Sep 18, 2022
Assume your stock is trading at 1000.
PE is 50.
EPS is 20.
If earnings go up by 15% &
PE multiple falls by 30% .
What will be the impact on your investment?

If you understand this simple math, it will help you learn what 100 videos on #BAAP #Quality stocks don't teach you.
Assume your stock is trading at 1500.
PE is 75.
EPS is 20.
If earnings go up by 15% &
PE multiple falls by 30% .
What will be the impact on your investment?

When PE is higher, derating can hurt far more. If you fall from a higher place, then the injury will be worse.
Simple.
Assume your stock is trading at 2000.
PE is 100.
EPS is 20.
If earnings go up by 15% &
PE multiple falls by 30% .
Imagine the PE contracts and earnings expand at the same rate 2 years in a row.

What will be the impact on your investment?

What if this happens 3 years in a row?
Read 4 tweets
May 23, 2022
Here is a thread on #SBI. It simply shows what storytelling is lying all the time to you.
"Changing timelines can change the Narrative and numbers." The next line of defense is just about to be taken down. So,here is the first image that seems to support that arugument. But, wait.
"But,how do I know when to buy and sell. I need enough track record or clear buy signals." This crowd would have failed miserably because when the signals and charts were perfect, only losses followed.
Read 5 tweets
May 21, 2022
The space where institutions don’t own any shares, or own insignificant part of the equity maybe the GoTo place for new ideas.

If you can find five to seven good companies in the next two years and buy enough of them, you are going to remember this phase all your life.

1/5
Why should you not look at companies with heavily institutionalised ownership? Simple. Institutions will be forced to change their portfolios in tthe next two years. They will be forced to sell down their weaker, non performing stock holdings and buy newer stock ideas. 2/5
By not buying stocks which are heavily institutionally owned, you will avoid facing the brutal selling and seeing your portfolio value go down very badly. This risk is real in illiquid stocks especially in #smallcap and #midcap space. Escape the drawdown and steer to safety. 3/5
Read 5 tweets

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