RSI above 50, overbought-oversold zone, positive – negative divergences, RSI and signal line crossover etc.
How about reducing the noise of the RSI indicator?
See the chart.
Move A is an uptrend. It’s a bullish swing.
Instead of calculating RSI in every candle, how if we calculate it just once for the entire swing? Since the price is up only.
See move B in the below chart. It’s a bearish swing.
We can calculate one RSI for this swing.
The idea is to calculate RSI for the entire swing rather than for every candle.
This way, we can reduce the fluctuation in the RSI indicator.
We can easily achieve that using P&F charts.
P&F chart plots the entire swing as a column. Price will remain in column X as long as the trend is bullish. Price remains in column O if the trend is bearish.
Therefore, a single column can have multiple sessions in it.
A column in the P&F chart represents one swing or one trend.
When we plot 14-period RSI on the P&F chart, it calculates RSI on the last 14 columns. That is, the last 14 swings, the last 14 trends.
How many sessions?
Price trends will decide that.
There will be a single RSI reading for the entire column (trend).
Have a look at the chart below for the same instrument (Nifty) and timeframe.
Observe the RSI on both charts.
RSI calculated on swings (P&F) eliminates the noise of the RSI indicator. Makes it smoother.
We can call it Noiseless RSI :-)
All methods of RSI indicator analysis can be applied to RSI on P&F charts as well.
This results in a different version of RSI. While the formula remains the same, the nature changes. RSI of swing instead of candles.
Even if you know basic P&F signals, they can be filtered with RSI and many decent trading systems can be designed using a combination of them.
You can also use a combination of RSI on candlestick & P&F charts.
RSI is an example. This way, you can take advantage of the nature of P&F charting & remove the noise of any indicator.
The concept is fascinating. Spend some time on it, and you'll see how effective it is.
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Thread: Ulcer Index (UI) – Bears’ indicator, Exit indicator.
Study of and indicator from learning perspective.
Not so known but a useful indicator.
The Ulcer Index indicator was developed by Peter Marin and Byron McCann. The indicator was first introduced in their 1989 book, The Investor's Guide to Fidelity Funds.
It was designed to analyse MFs. Ulcer index is known as a volatility indicator but I would not call it that.
It is more of a drawdown indicator. It measures the amt of drawdown occurred over a period. It is an entry indicator for bears, & an exit indicator for bulls.
Basic premise for developing this indicator was to take investment decisions based on the downside risk of investment.
I hv back-tested patterns shown below on 500 stocks (Nifty 500 stock group as on today) since inception on daily timeframe charts.
Below is some interesting information.
I was doing to design multi-chart setups. But the information in the thread can be useful for people practicing candlestick chart patterns. There are many patterns & we keep coming across more. The data can give you a rough idea about the past performance of patterns.
Patterns are defined based on the popular rules of identifying them. I have also tested bearish patterns for bullish trades and vice versa (Contra approach).
Criteria: Hit ratio & returns of pattern giving 1:1 risk-reward if the entry is at the closing price of the pattern.
Many traders analyse and practice western chart patterns. There are many such patterns and enough is talked about them in various books and resources.
Long back, I read a book “Encyclopedia of Chart Patterns” by Thomas N. Bukowski. It’s a brilliant work (Must read).
He backtested many patterns & ranked them based on their performance. Most imp is that he separated the patterns based on their performance in uptrend & downtrend.
I read about those patterns at many other places & in different theories and I realised that most of them are-