Alastair Thompson Profile picture
Feb 27 10 tweets 3 min read
2. Landfall in Madagascar 21 Feb
3. #Freddy exits Madagascar and makes its way into the Mozambique Channel and begins to reform. It appears to be being supported in this by an atmosphericn river which may originate in South America. Surface flows of PWAT are in opposite direction.
4. Freddy becomes a chyclone again just off the coast of Mozambique. It continues to be supported by PWAT flows both over Madagascar and South East Africa.
5.2. ^^ Feb 24-25 and here is where the situation starts to get weird and very dangerous. During daylight hours Freddy's remnants strengthen over land and continue to look like a cyclonic event.
6. The following day 25-26 Feb. Cyclone Freddy is experiencing a lot of shear and being blonge apart. But it remains intact anyway.
7. 26-27 Feb. Freddy contines to fight back. The atmospheric river coming across Southern Africa from the North West contines to feed the storm and it continues to push inland as a cyclonic storm over land. There are also flows coming in from the North East over Madagascar.
7.2 There is much more going on in this sattelite imagery, most notably a very large convective burst over the East African coastline heading south. Also powered by the PWAT flows coming in from the North East.
Satellite imagery of Freddy appears to now be unavailable via @zoom_earth. At least it is to me anyway. Possibly being blocked by cloudflare or something else because of the precautions I have had to take to post this thread.

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More from @althecat

Feb 28
This tweet was posted by @EmmanuelMacron in the immediate aftermath (it finished 20/11 am) of #COP27 in Egypt. And the conference appears to be going ahead.

To speed the process of provding relief to poor countries France 🇫🇷 is now proposing “rechannelling” of unused SDRs.
During Cop27 Climate Economist Professor Stern provided an update on the level of finance which is needed to address global climate mitigation and adaptation needs - an eye watering 4 trillion + dollars a year.

I wasn’t aware till recently how much progress was being made.
A couple of weeks ago I attended a German video media event (in english) discussing World Bank Reform. The proposals for which are considered by many to be inadequate. Particularly considered against continued World Bank financing for fossil fuel infrastructure.
Read 9 tweets
Feb 26
I think @SimeonBrownMP is impressed that someone is talking about National Policy

… and hoping that will win him some exposure for his daft Ill thought out ideas - ideas which he seems disinterested in even trying to understand.
Tactically drawing attention to a powerful critique of your own policy isn’t really SOP in elections.
I wonder if @SimeonBrownMP remembers how the Don Brash effort to get elected by playing this game failed. And if anything Brashwas playing to a more fertile voting base for dog whistle posturing than NZ had today - he certainly had more profile and polling positives than Luxon.
Read 4 tweets
Feb 24
This account of the Tigray War origins is a self serving pathetic attempt by @martinplaut to pre-empt what he well knows has already been clearly established in numerous authoritative accounts of the war.
The eyewitness accounts include two books by survivors of the shocking massacre in the night of Nov 3rd-4th 2020 when 1000s ENDF forces who had gathered in Mekelle for a handover of the Northern Command were killed. Many had their throats slit as they slept.
Six other outposts of the ENDF in Tigray Region were also scène to surprise late night murder and mayhem, including a base in Dansheha north of Gondar on the road to Humera.

People I spoke to in Alamata Raya on Nov 2O22 also provided accounts of TPLF forces deploying there.
Read 13 tweets
Feb 21
So much for deescalation. #UkraineRussiaWar

Biden visits Ukraine and Russia responds with this….

The likelihood of internal NATO tension around strategy here is increasing. And the Seymour Hersh revelations r.e. Nordstream sabotage are still lingering in the wings.
Three way talks between the EU, Russia and the US are needed to restore a possibility & a semblance of substance to notions this war will not just keep escalating.
This commentary is from January 7th during the lead up to the Leopard Tanks discussion which eventually led to a « compromise » that the US would provide Abrams Heavy Tanks - not withstanding the logistical obstacles.
Read 13 tweets
Feb 20
It appears 🇬🇧 🇺🇸 and Hargeisa have come to their senses and backed off a several month long ruinous path towards a secession of #Somaliland.

Albeit only after a lot of conflict and needless death. Excellent interesting report here via ⁦…
It is revealing that the beginning of a return to sanity in Hargeisa in this imperialist - western power driven - lethal misadventure appears to have come after a tweet from @AsstSecStateAF Molly Phee (who has this past week been in Addis with a high level delegation.)
The most useful thing that the Western Powers - EU NATO & US (presently engaged in #JustifiedAccord DoD led exercises) could do to end this debacle once and for all would be to recall their provocateur in chief in this region - Matthew Bryden aka @dibjir.
Read 5 tweets
Feb 20
Is this normal now, or this more American exceptionalism.

"Q: Do I need to go through US immigration for a connecting flight?

A: Yes, all US intll airports have immigration and customs for all arriving passengers arriving in the US as their first port of entry into the US."
This shit seriously weirds me out. It all started with 9/11 and the box cutters. Within hours it "FELT like" we had scanners on every flight in NZ (actually took a while of course).
China and India now have biometrics on arrival too. Which I am certain is just a passive aggresive response to US stupid.
Read 4 tweets

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