Here's an earlier vioew from theis morning while the spinning up cyclone - now commencing its second pass across the Mozambique Channel started intensifying rapidly, very quickly developing a clear eye.
Here's a 24h animation over night and into this morning.
The ensemble spaghetti track and intensity plots for Freddy suggests that if the storm strengthens too fast it may turn around.
The ECMWF model PWAT forecast.
And the GFS rainfall solution. However the speed of strengthening is such that this could well be subject to significant error. But it is clear that there will be a lot of rain. In this solution you can see the storm crossing and recrossing the Mozambique channel for a second… twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
Having first traversed the entire Indian Ocean from Australia to to reach Madagascar, Freddy is already in the cyclonic history books as one of the longest surviving cyclonic systems on record. This forecast suggests it could last another fortnight yet. On its way back from… twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
The full story of #CycloneFreddy#Freddy, which began on Jan 30th can be found in the wikipedia entry on the storm. The latest forecasts suggest it could remain a cyclone through to Equinox on March 20th. en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cyclone_F…
This @nytimes New York Times report is startling in its implications. Trump appears to have won the dominance contest OVER @IsraeliPM Netanyahu, who has been it seems diminished within Israel politically as a consequence of @realDonaldTrump’s interventions.
I, for one hope very much that he succeeds in his objectives.
Very importantly Trump is holding the line on extremist Israeli efforts to annex the West Bank. Should Trump hold course the possibility of a real long term 2 state solution - with Israeli and Palestinian cooperation may yet come into view.
:
Netanyahu’s Desperate PANIC & Massive Cover-Up Exposed via @YouTube
FWIW Max I think the next step is to look more closely at the Magdeburg and New Orléans terror attacks…. The Magdeburg one is especially suspicious abd the new Orléans one accompanied by Elon musk’s cyber car explosion are both linked to Elon.
He tweeted “only AFD can save germany” both before and after the Magdeburg attack
And the New Orleans attack modus operandi was almost identical to the attack in New Orleans
If @realDonaldTrump chooses to join Netanyahu’s genocidal campaign if he is not obeyed …. he WILL find himself indicted in the international criminal court in The Hague.
And he will then have to make a decision on whether he is willing to remain in the U.S.
@realDonaldTrump Should he proceed as he has intimated that he should now be pursued by protestors everywhere he goes.
There is a lot of concern about evacuations of civilians from Gaza in the flotilla as anyone leaving may not be able to return any time soon. /2
But the moral hazard here is palpable. There are thousands of injured and starving mostly women and children. And we saw the young babies dying in the hospitals in the early stages of this war. /3
More and more naval vessels from Europe and the Middle East are being deployed to protect the Global Samir Flotilla as it moves slowly but surely towards Gaza where it intends to deliver aid and global attention. /1
Attacks from drones on the flotilla have resumed and Israel is presumably responsible for this. It is because of this that naval vessels from Europe are now joining the flotilla to protect their citizens rights of travel in international waters. /2
The escalation appears fairly slow at present and the flotilla is still within Greek waters at present /3