The #SVBCrash also further exposes the uselessness of the Basel 3 Accord and its modifications over the years
Why nobody is discussing the utter failure of @BIS_org which makes financial institutions invest billions in technology and staff recruitment, etc
We need answers
@BIS_org And the liquidity risk metrics reporting and filing which were introduced by @BIS_org under BASEL 3 were not fully implemented by the FED beyond certain large banks
But, still, certain aspects of Basel 3 were fully incorporated by the #SVB to make risk disclosures to the public.
The basic lesson we learned during the GFC was that liquidity risk factor/s and CAR Capital Adequacy Risk are interlinked.
A bank can default due to liability-side funding risk or asset-side market inability risk (which implies the bank is unable to liquidate or offload assets)
Some financial institutions compute #DVaR or EVaR for all financial instruments blindly.
Daily value at risk cannot be a useful measure of the market risk if an asset class has a settlement that is not categorized as T+1 or if it takes longer than a day to sell it
E.G. PE/VC
Stupid risk managers assume that price model distribution is normal, the lognormal returns are i.i.d and volatility remains constant applying the square root rule of time, & thereby aggregate risks forecast which ignores P&L Autocorrelations, intertemporal price innovations, etc
No lessons learned from the #LTCM CRASH?
What went wrong at the infamous hedge fund which was managed by two Nobel Prize winners in economics?
They were misunderstanding and misapplying the #BSOP Black Scholes option pricing model and were computing #DVaR of illiquid assets
#SVB

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More from @SAH16928046

Mar 13
Not every financial company should be structured as a bank, thereby accepting deposits, intermediating funds across markets, and reporting capital adequacy ratios using the @Bis guidelines.
This is the lesson I derive from the #SVBCollapse
#SVBCrash
@Bis What is the point of pasting SVB CAR and Capital Ratio Metrics?
What sense could one derive from them before the run began?
They didn't reveal the full picture to the creditors, depositors, or shareholders.
CAR is a metric which exemplifies loss absorption capacity
Now?#SVBCrash
We need to revert to the Glass Steagall Act to understand economic history.
Why it was introduced in the aftermath of the Great Depression.
Why FDR and his team drew Chinese walls between Investment and Retail Banking institutions?
federalreservehistory.org/essays/glass-s….
Read 6 tweets
Mar 13
Yes, we have spoken a lot about public failure and the lessons we draw from the Socialist Bloc nations of Eastern Europe during the Cold War and the USSR as their patron-in-chief, which broke up due to state inefficiencies
We are not quick to pontificate about Market Failure
#SVB
After GFC and several other frauds and financial failures within the private sector post-2008, it is time we hold corporate white-collar workers accountable for their misdeeds.
Yes, not everything is Fraud or portends to be a Financial Crime.
But, incompetence is a Moral Crime!
LTCM, Enron and WorldCom, GFC were only the tips of the iceberg.
American Corporate Management Standards have tremendously deteriorated due to a lack of professional ethics, or possibly due to a lack of competition.
When Japan & West Germany were competing, the Yanks did well.
Read 4 tweets
Mar 12
Mutual funds do come with lock-in features! Especially if you are investing in a capital-protected product, you are not entitled to early encashment for a certain time.
Redemptions are deterred with the backend load.
#Backstops are required in the banking arena beyond penalties
Of course, if you park liquidity in a time deposit liability side product, at a bank, you might have to pay a penalty for early withdrawal.
But, the highest liquidity risk is emanating from the sight deposits pool.
Run-on-the-bank risk is hard to mitigate if assets don't sell
Also, the standard practice is to call in the treasury department and borrow short-term through the interbank market to fund liquidity drains.
Call and Clean lending is done via the wholesale market for Fi credits.
Also, Repo markets can be used.
Read 16 tweets
Jan 30
#Incident reporting should follow & precede #riskmanagement?
The two are slightly different areas of specialization
in the office environment.
It is akin to the debate between #reliability and #safety.
Both are contrasting concepts in organizational #resilience studies.
They are certain leading businesses including big banks that have separated incident reporting desks from risk management co-ordination cells.
Actually, incidents are events which require an eye and a taxonomy for recognition.
Coding outcome events into loss database is essential
The most difficult area in financial risk management was the coding of operational risk incidents or potential events having adverse negative probabilistic outcomes, which can yield material quantifiable losses in the financial statements.
@BIS_org changed the AMA RiskMetrics
Read 13 tweets
Jan 30
What makes you wait, bitterly, might not exist at all!
That is the risk of believing in something.
That "something" could be anything.
#doubt #disbelief #mysticism #existentialism
Enter into a void as described by #Kierkegaard.
This void needs to be filled in.
This is what humans waste their time on, mostly.
Filling the #void to overcome the crisis of existence.
Psychologically broken people may be looking for others to combine and complete themselves.
Read 4 tweets
Jan 26
There is a problem in the financial risk management and financial engineering profession, that #quants tend to overwhelm their customers (in-house staff or external parties) with mathematical informatics.
Big Data science and ML Machine learning dashboard analytics & traditional time series econometrics presented via the system screenshots or PDF sheets attached to emails could be more helpful for the telephone operator mindset traders and dealers, only if appropriately described
More information can at times backfire!
It tends to obfuscate the human mind, negatively impacts decisions and actions in real-time, and renders the decision support systems incapacitated with tech-savvy dipped acronyms, notations,& expressions.
Disseminating Communication risks
Read 15 tweets

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