Thread by @HeliosRunner

1/ Operational situation update/ #russian_invasion in #Ukraine on March 15, 2023
quick update -
#RussianArmy is not making any progress all along the 700km of frontline except for some marginals gains in the #Bakhmut area & in the city
Quick recap of last infos
#UkraineMap

2/ So basically the situation remains the same in the north East : " #Kupyansk and #Lyman axes: the adversary does not abandon its attempts to break through the defense of Ukrainian troops. The enemy conducted unsuccessful offensive operations in the vicinities of settlements of

3/ #Bilohorivka and "Spirne. Ru are shelling like crazy fcks with artillery at the vicinities of settlements of #Dvorichna, #Hryanykivka, #Kupyansk, #Krokhmalne (Kharkiv oblast), #Novoselivske, #Nevske, #Dibrova, #Bilohorivka (Luhansk)
so situation is quite unchanged there...

4/ In the area of #Bakhmut : the enemy continues to assault the city itself and had some success in the north of the city. #Ukrainian defenders repelled adversary attacks in the vicinities of settlements of #OrikhovoVasylivka and #bohdanivka but Ru took #Zaliznyanske
#UkraineMap

5/ " #Pryvillya, #OrikhovoVasylivka, #Hryhorivka, #Bohdanivka, #Bakhmut, #ChasivYar, #Predtechyne, #OleksandroShultyne, #Kurdyumivka, #Ozarianivka, and #Shumy (Donetsk oblast) came under enemy fire.." , indicating some "limits" of Ru controled areas.

6/ Now back to #bakhmut, the situation is still evolving every day on the north & the south and Wagner are progressing with the tremendous amount of men they are able to through away in this battle, also they still have enough artillery to support them, and their leaders remain

7/ on the rear, well protected, so this could go on for a long time like that (they are not engaging directly in the front lines right now are better protected than some of the Ukr units leaders.
Also on this area they are utilizing much more recent drones for tactical advantage

8/ So right now and it was the big news, today they apparently gain the little village (but as we speak nobody knows the exact extent of this new gain) of #Zaliznyanske #Залізнянське 84536
so if they also took the heights as claimed this is will open some new perspective for

9/ moves and probably next gain of little villages in the area.
Ru can now move forward for couple km down to #Vasyukivka or #Bondarne or #Pryvillya & of course #Minkivka
but they'll also face some limits when they'll reach the lowest part of the valley & experience almost the

10/ the same problems they are having in the approach of #Fedorivka or #Rozdolivka

the global situation now looks like that in term of 3D color topomap of the area :
they r still not able yet to reach the canal on the north of #ChassivYar. Almost all the high grounds remain UKR

11/ now if we look at the general area in terms of progress & perspectives, they have accomplish in 45 days & if they are still able to project the same power & push they should be able to gain the equivalent by early May (more or less) :
Would perfect timing to push them back..

12/ just finishing the area with specific map of #Bakhmut [We can't be exactly sure of the exact limit of the RU and Ukr in the city but this Feba line is quite close to what i believe is "accurate".

13/ why do i think this is quite under control (i mean you can't say it is fully under control, but more like "damage control" like a pro sliding on ice with a car, it's not secure, but you can avoid the worst) it's because of all the main dangerous points, UKR are still in

14/ control of their flanks & if you remember the image of the drawer, i took, last week or so, they are, as the control area diminish, pulling back. so we can expect some changes maybe by the end of the week if the south "collapse" as they will move out certainly of most

15/ dangerous places. i think the high command knows exactly how they can move out & what is still vital (primal importance) for them to keep a safe corridor in order to be able to move out without risking more damages than it is necessary to take.

16/ now for the south part : #Avdiivka, #Mariinka, and #Shakhtarske axes: the adversary conducted unsuccessful offensive operations in the vicinities of settlements of #Stepove, #Kamyanka, #Sjeverne, #Mariinka (still free for ever.. yes destroy so free for ever), and #Vuhledar.

17/ i'll try if i have more time to make a more precise assessment in the area, but frankly right now, Ru are progressing at a "staggering" rate of 200 per months or so.. so we r not in a big big rush to be honest.
only the "news" r giving us the impression of "quick moves"
NOPE

18/ and this is the last Gen staff report :

19/ and the days are going quite well right now.
no surprise we start to see Ru materials dating from the 50's or older, coming on the battleground right now.

20/ there were tons of vids today but i can't do all right now, so just giving you this last "precious" moment..
lmao all day long...
this so much on pair with the Russian abilities and "luck" these days.

https://twitter.com/officejjsmart/status/1635942932585873412

21/

https://twitter.com/DefenceU/status/1635610726734626816